polls

Here’s the latest news today out of New Jersey courtesy of Monmouth University’s latest poll: x NEW JERSEY POLL: @GovMurphy job approval still significantly higher than his pre-pandemic ratings.57% approve (71% in April 2020)35% disapprove (21%)  8% no opinion (8%) APPROVE By PARTY:88% – DEM (92% in April 2020)48% –...

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  • May 5, 2021

I love dogs. I didn’t used to. My wife had dogs when we started dating, and I came to love the little monsters. Now it’s hard to imagine a life without a furry friend/fiend. So when I found out dogs would be returning to the White House after a four-year hiatus,...

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  • March 17, 2021

I love dogs. I didn’t used to. My wife had dogs when we started dating, and I came to love the little monsters. Now it’s hard to imagine a life without a furry friend/fiend. So when I found out dogs would be returning to the White House after a four-year hiatus,...

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  • March 17, 2021

Here’s the latest news today out of Colorado: Three polls released Sunday and Monday hint at big wins for Democrats at the top of Colorado ballots: Joe Biden and John Hickenlooper. On Monday, the data firm Morning Consult released the results of its final 2020 election survey, which was conducted Oct. 22-31. Biden leads President Donald...

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  • November 3, 2020

There’s a whole bunch of polling out of Michigan today and over the weekend. First, from Research Co.: Trump ended a streak of six consecutive presidential elections where the Great Lakes State was won by Democrats, defeating Hillary Clinton by 10,704 votes in 2016 (47.5% to 47.3%) Biden heads to...

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  • November 2, 2020

When the DesMoines Register poll for Iowa done by Ann Seltzer, considered the Gold Standard not just for that state but among state pollsters, was released last night, Twitter went on fire.  In 2016 Seltzer had released a late Iowa poll that showed Trump up by 9, a margin that...

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  • November 1, 2020

Is getting angry better than being nervous. One poll does not a victory make. Nate Cohn calls the Selzer poll result for Iowa a “miss”, but it does suggest a trend, like the closing state poll in Florida. More useful is Cohn’s conclusion that at this moment Biden wins with...

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  • November 1, 2020

Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate.  It would mean Democrats would likely roll up good numbers in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. Even Ohio, which was 8% more Republican than Michigan in 2016, would...

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  • October 25, 2020

I don’t know if any of these polls have any scientific basis, but it does look like Biden held his own, at first glance. x BREAKING: Based on our snap poll of 772 likely voters who watched tonight's debate, 52% say Joe Biden won the debate overall. 39% say Donald...

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  • October 23, 2020

It’s becoming the story of the election that the suburban areas, especially those with many well-educated people are shifting strongly toward Joe Biden and Democratic candidates. According to Dave Wasserman of Cook Reports, most congressional districts are shifting by about 8 points, but some suburban districts are shifting more. It...

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  • October 22, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Morning Consult is waking us up this morning  with a number of great state polls, with the Arizona poll being about the only one that’s not great. The polls were taken October 11-20 of likely voters. This pollster is rated B/C by 538. State Presidential Polls 10/22 from Morning Consult State...

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  • October 22, 2020

In a day full of polls, Fox News adds to the stack of largely favorable surveys for Joe Biden. These polls of likely voters were taken October 17-20; 538 rates Fox News Poll as A-. Presidential Polls published 10/21 (after 4 p.m.) ST. Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Others Trump 16 MI Fox...

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  • October 21, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… It’s nearly all plus signs for Joe Biden in today’s state polls. The forecast from 538 has Biden with a 87% of winning and a 10% national lead (some of today’s national polls are quite Republican). Being tied at 47% in Texas is a great achievement for the Biden campaign. poll.qu.edu/…...

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  • October 21, 2020

There’s better news for 2020 because the Dornsife poll had predicted the approaching bad news for Clinton in the 2016 election, however accidentally. Biden is in much better shape with three weeks left. But there will be disinformation as the GOP gets desperate. For example, it can be hazardous to draw broad conclusions...

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  • October 12, 2020

Steve Schmidt made it clear we are in for a solid Biden win. Karl Smith on how to promote our Progressive ideas. The polls are talking. Steve Schmidt continues at it. x x YouTube Video Politics Done Right Live weekdays @ 3:00 PM Central Video Zoom: LINK — Live Calls:...

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  • October 7, 2020

We don’t know how Trump’s infection by Covid-19 will affect the presidential race which has remained incredibly stable for more than a year. One would have to guess it will, to some degree, dishearten his supporters and destroy his narrative that the pandemic is pretty much going away. Most likely there...

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  • October 2, 2020

Trump is workshopping the false victory declaration for election day. Oh, honey… https://t.co/52cbPTztpI https://t.co/aTXhzmOVXk pic.twitter.com/DBVq7E2K2z — Daniel W. Drezner (@dandrezner) October 1, 2020 There were also focus groups, and Vox’s Andrew Prokop summarizes the findings of Frank Luntz’s group quite nicely: Asked to describe Trump in one word or phrase, the responses...

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  • October 1, 2020

Trump is trying to instill fear in Americans. 'Remember the 2016 polls! I will win.' Hogwash. Political Analyst Cornell Belcher understands it all. Given recent polls, if we do out the job, it is a landslide. 2016 polls were right and so are the 2020 polls. x x YouTube Video See full...

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  • September 28, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… While the polls are showing Joe Biden maintaining his lead (Siena +8%, and ABC News +10%), Senate polls are almost all favorable for Democratic candidates. Recent Senate Polls State Pollster & Rating Democrat Republican AZ Hart (B/C)* Data Prog. (B-) Kelly                   55%...

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  • September 27, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… National Polls released today by Quinnipiac University (rated B+), Marquette University (rated A/B), and USC Dornsife (rated  B/C), and Politico (B/C) each give Joe Biden a lead of 10% against Trump.   poll.qu.edu/… “Voters think Biden is smarter, more honest, more level headed, and cares more about Americans than the...

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  • September 23, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… While website 538 shows a small improvement in Joe Biden’s national polling average over the last few days from 6.6% on September 17 to 7.1% today, an ABC News/Washington Post Poll (rated A+) shows Trump taking slight leads in AZ and FL among likely voters. The ABC Poll has Trump leading...

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  • September 23, 2020

Seltzer & Co., an A+ rated pollster from Iowa, published a poll that shows Joe Biden and Trump are tied in that state at 47% each. The survey shows 3% undecided and 4% supporting someone else. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/… Iowa has emerged as an unlikely battleground state this year after Trump carried it by 9...

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  • September 22, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Polls this weekend are showing a number of close races for Republican held US Senate seats. Democrats have a pretty good chance of winning the upper body of Congress. The same set of polls showed Trump has a 1% edge in Georgia and leads by only 2% in Texas....

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  • September 20, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were taken September 11-17 (10-16 for AZ) from likely voters by Siena, which is rated A+ by 538. Siena/NYT Upshot Poll...

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  • September 18, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were taken September 11-17 (10-16 for AZ) from likely voters by Siena, which is rated A+ by 538. Siena/NYT Upshot Poll...

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  • September 18, 2020

http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 2% edge in Arizona among likely voters but says the race is tied under a lower turnout scenario. Biden leads Trump 48% to 46% with higher turnout, and they are tied at 47% each with lower turnout. The poll says Trump has...

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  • September 17, 2020

http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 2% edge in Arizona among likely voters but says the race is tied under a lower turnout scenario. Biden leads Trump 48% to 46% with higher turnout, and they are tied at 47% each with lower turnout. The poll says Trump has...

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  • September 17, 2020

The Princeton Election Consortium posts a daily map of the electoral college predictions based on current polling. In addition to the most likely scenario, they also post maps showing how the results change if either candidate outperforms the polling by 3%. This is important because 3% is the difference between...

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  • September 17, 2020

poll.qu.edu/… Quinnipiac has polls for three high profile US Senate races. Two Republicans are in big trouble. New Quinnipiac polls of several interesting U.S. Senate races: Maine: Sarah Gideon (D) 54%, Susan Collins (R) 42% South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) 48%, Jaime Harrison (D) 48% Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) 53%, Amy McGrath...

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  • September 16, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Almost everybody has gotten into the act today, bringing out a national presidential poll. Biden leads them all, but some readers might want to see how they compare. National Presidential Polls released 9/2/2020 Pollster 538 rating Biden Trump Margin Seltzer & Co. A+ 49 41 8 Suffolk A 50...

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  • September 2, 2020

The strangest thing is the GOP attempt to con the nation into forgetting about a massive and avoidable death toll.   x If this makes you feel rage, then you’ve got to vote. pic.twitter.com/hnFgB4lbUX— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) August 26, 2020 In polling, there’s still too much horse-racing as “gap-tightening” memes...

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  • August 27, 2020

Some good news today out of Massachusetts courtesy of two news polls. First, Data For Progress: x 🚨#MASEN Poll🚨 Markey: 46% (+8)Kennedy: 38% (w/leaners) Markey: 50% (+7)Kennedy: 43% 732 N | 8/24/2020 – 8/25/2020 | Text-to-webhttps://t.co/kJ9eFvEsZf— Data for Progress (@DataProgress) August 26, 2020 Click here for the full results. Second,...

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  • August 26, 2020

Bernie Sanders’ message is one that all progressives should heed. We talk to the co-founder of Organiz. Trump beating Biden in polls on the economy, crime, & fortitude? Progressives need to message right and promote widely. x x YouTube Video Politics Done Right Live weekdays @ 3:00 PM Central Video...

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  • August 17, 2020

​By now, it’s painfully obvious that Donald Trump and the Republicans are blatantly sabotaging the U.S. Postal Service in order to deliberately delay mail-in ballots for this upcoming election, despite an ongoing pandemic. Trump even admitted to it. His administration is literally collecting mailboxes. But they also have plans for those who want...

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  • August 15, 2020

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate can have some impact for that state’s Presidential or Senate elections, at least for states that having really close elections.  Most of...

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  • August 12, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The NBC/Marist College Poll, a pollster rated A+ by 538, gives Joe Biden a significant lead of 7% in North Carolina, a state where the polls have been back and forth, usually within the margin of error. Biden has the support of 51% compared to 44% for Trump. Just...

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  • July 27, 2020

MoveOn.org teamed up will PPP to test polling in these three Senate battleground states: Voters in three key battleground states are closely following and by a significant majority oppose Donald Trump’s recent use of unidentified federal agents to suppress protests, according to new polling conducted by Public Policy Polling and...

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  • July 24, 2020

On the one hand, this is a heartening development. On the other hand, grossly mishandling a pandemic, threatening to sic the military on your own citizens, and tear-gassing peaceful protesters for a sacrilegious photo op that makes you look like a constipated barn owl should put your approval rating in the low...

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  • June 10, 2020

So I just released a diary about Fox News’ latest poll in Arizona show Joe Biden beating Trump in Arizona. Well Fox News also has polling from two other swing states. First off, Wisconsin: Majorities of Wisconsin voters rate the economy negatively and are concerned about coronavirus.  That helps explain...

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  • June 4, 2020

CNN has a new report on the history of the Biden-Trump polls: Biden's in one of the best positions for any challenger since scientific polling began There were more than 40 national public polls taken at least partially in the month of May that asked about the Biden-Trump matchup. Biden...

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  • May 31, 2020

What is wrong with these polls? Is Trump disinforming himself to make himself feel better (by reading Breitbart). Is Trump negging us by using an old poll right after doing his “first post-shutdown” mini-rally in Michigan? Today, Trump decided to cite a week-old 14 May Hannity page where a “poll conducted...

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  • May 22, 2020

The website 538 lists five presidential polls in Florida since April 1 and Donald Trump does not lead in any of them. Each of the polls are by different pollsters and use different methodology. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Presidential polls florida Pollsters Biden Trump Dates Links Florida Atlantic University 53 47 5/8-5/12 business.fau.edu/… Fox...

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  • May 15, 2020

A trio of polls in three critical races has good news for Democrats who need to win three or four Republican held seats this November to win control of the US Senate. ohpredictive.com/… A poll by OH Predictive Insights for Arizona shows Democratic candidate Mark Kelly is leading appointed Senator...

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  • April 15, 2020

Here’s some good news today out of Kentucky courtesy of Amy McGrath’s (D. KY) U.S. Senate campaign: x Two January polls for Dem Amy McGrath show her in close race with Mitch McConnell in #KYSEN. It's still going to be very tough to beat the incumbent with Trump leading the...

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  • February 24, 2020

Chris Matthews attempted to belittle Bernie Sanders ascent in the polls with a novel theory used to propel Mike Bloomberg given the expected Biden demise. Even as Bernie Sanders is starting to surge, the New York Times decided to endorse two candidates; neither being him. And now the mainstream media, here...

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  • January 24, 2020

http://www.surveyusa.com/… The state of Georgia has not voted for a Democrat for President since 1992. But Hillary Clinton came within about 5% of winning the Peach State in 2016 or within 212,000 votes. A Survey USA poll released today shows several Democrats beating  Donald Trump in Georgia as the candidates...

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  • November 20, 2019

Tough sitting at the tipping point — when 55% polled want Trump impeached. x BREAKING: A new Fox News poll shows that 55% of Americans think Trump should be impeached — and 51% believe he should be removed from office. Only 40% are opposed.#ImpeachmentTaskForce pic.twitter.com/WHBWMCFORY— Jon Cooper (@joncoopertweets) October 9, 2019...

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  • October 9, 2019

http://www.foxnews.com/… Two new national polls are consistent in showing leading Democrats are running ahead of Donald Trump and that enthusiasm for the 2020 Presidential election is very high. Fox News National Poll 9/15-17 Democrats Trump Biden              52% 38% Sanders         48% 40% Warren ...

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  • September 18, 2019

Democratic candidate Cal Cunningham has a two point edge in the 2020 Senate race in North Carolina over Republican incumbent Tom Tillis who has a high unfavorable rate. thehill.com/… The poll, conducted by the left-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) and commissioned by the Democratic outside group End Citizens United, shows...

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  • September 18, 2019

http://www.theadvocate.com/… An Independent Poll for the Governor’s race in Louisiana shows Democrat incumbent John Bel Edwards with a lead over two Republicans for the October 12 jungle primary. The poll by Market Research Insight shows Edwards with 52% against 25% for Ralph Abraham and 19% for Eddie Rispone.  A candidate...

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  • August 30, 2019
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