NJ-Gov: New Monmouth Poll Shows Gov. Phil Murphy (D) In Good Shape For Re-Election

Here’s the latest news today out of New Jersey courtesy of Monmouth University’s latest poll: x NEW JERSEY POLL: @GovMurphy job approval still significantly higher than his pre-pandemic ratings.57% approve … Read More

Even after bite incident, Major Biden still polls better than Trump's lapdog, Lindsey

I love dogs. I didn’t used to. My wife had dogs when we started dating, and I came to love the little monsters. Now it’s hard to imagine a life … Read More

Even after biting incident, Major Biden still polls better than Trump's lapdog, Lindsey

I love dogs. I didn’t used to. My wife had dogs when we started dating, and I came to love the little monsters. Now it’s hard to imagine a life … Read More

CO-Sen: Two More Polls Confirm Hickenlooper (D) Crushing Gardner (R) Heading Into Election Day

Here’s the latest news today out of Colorado: Three polls released Sunday and Monday hint at big wins for Democrats at the top of Colorado ballots: Joe Biden and John Hickenlooper. On Monday, the … Read More

MI-Sen: Final Round Of Polls Give Sen. Gary Peters (D) 5 To 7 Point Lead Over John James (R)

There’s a whole bunch of polling out of Michigan today and over the weekend. First, from Research Co.: Trump ended a streak of six consecutive presidential elections where the Great … Read More

Polls, people, and panic

When the DesMoines Register poll for Iowa done by Ann Seltzer, considered the Gold Standard not just for that state but among state pollsters, was released last night, Twitter went … Read More

Calm down. GOTV. Individual polls still need to be ignored as Biden still leads

Is getting angry better than being nervous. One poll does not a victory make. Nate Cohn calls the Selzer poll result for Iowa a “miss”, but it does suggest a … Read More

State Polls: Biden Tied in GA, MI +13%, TX +3%, NC +4%, FL +2%

Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate.  It would mean Democrats would likely roll up … Read More

Biden Wins 4 Instant Debate Polls by Double Digits, May Have Improved Favorable Rating

I don’t know if any of these polls have any scientific basis, but it does look like Biden held his own, at first glance. x BREAKING: Based on our snap … Read More

Private Polls Are Showing Big Swings to Democrats in the Suburbs

It’s becoming the story of the election that the suburban areas, especially those with many well-educated people are shifting strongly toward Joe Biden and Democratic candidates. According to Dave Wasserman … Read More

Morning Consult Has Mostly Great State Polls

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Morning Consult is waking us up this morning  with a number of great state polls, with the Arizona poll being about the only one that’s not great. The polls were taken … Read More

State Polls: Biden Tied in TX, +8 PA, +4 FL, +5 IA, +9 NV, +10 MN

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… It’s nearly all plus signs for Joe Biden in today’s state polls. The forecast from 538 has Biden with a 87% of winning and a 10% national lead (some of today’s … Read More

In 2016, the last 9 @USCDornsife polls showed Trump leading Clinton. This time it's much better.

There’s better news for 2020 because the Dornsife poll had predicted the approaching bad news for Clinton in the 2016 election, however accidentally. Biden is in much better shape with three … Read More

Steve Schmidt: Trump will lose. Karl Smith on progressive messaging. Polls.

Steve Schmidt made it clear we are in for a solid Biden win. Karl Smith on how to promote our Progressive ideas. The polls are talking. Steve Schmidt continues at … Read More

Polls Showed Nearly a Sea of Blue Before October Surprise

We don’t know how Trump’s infection by Covid-19 will affect the presidential race which has remained incredibly stable for more than a year. One would have to guess it will, … Read More

In rehearsing for 3 November, Trump says “I won the debate big, based on compilation of polls etc.”

Trump is workshopping the false victory declaration for election day. Oh, honey… https://t.co/52cbPTztpI https://t.co/aTXhzmOVXk pic.twitter.com/DBVq7E2K2z — Daniel W. Drezner (@dandrezner) October 1, 2020 There were also focus groups, and Vox’s Andrew … Read More

2020 is not 2016 but both polls are and were accurate, Political Analyst’s winning message

Trump is trying to instill fear in Americans. 'Remember the 2016 polls! I will win.' Hogwash. Political Analyst Cornell Belcher understands it all. Given recent polls, if we do out the job, … Read More

Senate Polls: Collins, McSally, and Tillis Losing; Lindsey Graham and John Cornyn Are in Tie Races

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… While the polls are showing Joe Biden maintaining his lead (Siena +8%, and ABC News +10%), Senate polls are almost all favorable for Democratic candidates. Recent Senate Polls State Pollster … Read More

Four National Polls Give Biden a 10 Point Lead

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… National Polls released today by Quinnipiac University (rated B+), Marquette University (rated A/B), and USC Dornsife (rated  B/C), and Politico (B/C) each give Joe Biden a lead of 10% … Read More

Poll Summary: Biden Expands National Lead Slightly as Polls in FL and AZ Conflict

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… While website 538 shows a small improvement in Joe Biden’s national polling average over the last few days from 6.6% on September 17 to 7.1% today, an ABC News/Washington Post Poll … Read More

This Morning's Polls Show Biden Tied in Iowa and Georgia

Seltzer & Co., an A+ rated pollster from Iowa, published a poll that shows Joe Biden and Trump are tied in that state at 47% each. The survey shows 3% undecided … Read More

Senate Polls: Ossoff Tied in GA, Bullock -1% in MT, Greenfield +3 in IA

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Polls this weekend are showing a number of close races for Republican held US Senate seats. Democrats have a pretty good chance of winning the upper body of Congress. … Read More

This Morning's Polls: Biden Winning WI (+9), AZ (+9), ME (+17), NC (+1)

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were … Read More

This Morning's Polls: Biden Winning WI (+9), AZ (+9), ME (+17), NC (+1), PA (+7%), MI (+8%)

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were … Read More

Cook Reports Changes Arizona to “Lean Biden”; Two Polls Today Show Small Biden Lead in AZ

http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 2% edge in Arizona among likely voters but says the race is tied under a lower turnout scenario. Biden leads Trump 48% … Read More

Cook Report Changes Arizona to “Lean Biden”; Two Polls Today Show Small Biden Lead in AZ

http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 2% edge in Arizona among likely voters but says the race is tied under a lower turnout scenario. Biden leads Trump 48% … Read More

Trump Could Outperform the Polls by 3% – And Still Lose

The Princeton Election Consortium posts a daily map of the electoral college predictions based on current polling. In addition to the most likely scenario, they also post maps showing how … Read More

Quinnipiac Polls: Lindsey Graham Tied, Susan Collins Losing by 12%

poll.qu.edu/… Quinnipiac has polls for three high profile US Senate races. Two Republicans are in big trouble. New Quinnipiac polls of several interesting U.S. Senate races: Maine: Sarah Gideon (D) 54%, Susan … Read More

Eleven National Polls Today; Average Lead for Biden Is 7.8%

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Almost everybody has gotten into the act today, bringing out a national presidential poll. Biden leads them all, but some readers might want to see how they compare. National … Read More

Do polls undercount Trump support like COVID deaths

The strangest thing is the GOP attempt to con the nation into forgetting about a massive and avoidable death toll.   x If this makes you feel rage, then you’ve got … Read More

UPDATE MA-Sen: 3 Polls Confirm Sen. Ed Markey (D) Beating Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D) In The Primary

Some good news today out of Massachusetts courtesy of two news polls. First, Data For Progress: x 🚨#MASEN Poll🚨 Markey: 46% (+8)Kennedy: 38% (w/leaners) Markey: 50% (+7)Kennedy: 43% 732 N … Read More

Bernie’s message to Progressives, New Progressive Organizing tool, Polls, Trump convert

Bernie Sanders’ message is one that all progressives should heed. We talk to the co-founder of Organiz. Trump beating Biden in polls on the economy, crime, & fortitude? Progressives need … Read More

Republicans will be aggressively harassing voters at the polls. They call it ‘ballot security’

​By now, it’s painfully obvious that Donald Trump and the Republicans are blatantly sabotaging the U.S. Postal Service in order to deliberately delay mail-in ballots for this upcoming election, despite … Read More

Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate … Read More

North Carolina Polls: Biden leads by 7%, Cooper by 20%, and Cunningham by 9%

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The NBC/Marist College Poll, a pollster rated A+ by 538, gives Joe Biden a significant lead of 7% in North Carolina, a state where the polls have been back … Read More

AZ, ME & NC-Sen: PPP's New Batch Of Polls Show Democrats Flipping All Three Senate Seats

MoveOn.org teamed up will PPP to test polling in these three Senate battleground states: Voters in three key battleground states are closely following and by a significant majority oppose Donald … Read More

Trump's approval rating falls into the 30s in several polls

On the one hand, this is a heartening development. On the other hand, grossly mishandling a pandemic, threatening to sic the military on your own citizens, and tear-gassing peaceful protesters for a … Read More

New Fox News Polls Also Have Joe Biden Beating Trump In Wisconsin & Ohio

So I just released a diary about Fox News’ latest poll in Arizona show Joe Biden beating Trump in Arizona. Well Fox News also has polling from two other swing … Read More

Biden Polls Persistently Give Him the Advantage – Why This Is Important

CNN has a new report on the history of the Biden-Trump polls: Biden's in one of the best positions for any challenger since scientific polling began There were more than … Read More

Polls, Damned Polls, and Probabilities because Trump's negging us with strange polling

What is wrong with these polls? Is Trump disinforming himself to make himself feel better (by reading Breitbart). Is Trump negging us by using an old poll right after doing … Read More

Latest Polls: Biden at 53% in Florida; Trump Leads by 2% in GA and 3% in NC

The website 538 lists five presidential polls in Florida since April 1 and Donald Trump does not lead in any of them. Each of the polls are by different pollsters and … Read More

Senate Polls: Kelly Up 9% in AZ; KS and NC Are Close

A trio of polls in three critical races has good news for Democrats who need to win three or four Republican held seats this November to win control of the … Read More

KY-Sen: Two Polls Confirm A Toss-Up Race Between Amy McGrath (D) & Moscow Mitch (R)

Here’s some good news today out of Kentucky courtesy of Amy McGrath’s (D. KY) U.S. Senate campaign: x Two January polls for Dem Amy McGrath show her in close race … Read More

Chris Matthews belittles Bernie Sanders ascent in polls. Why?

Chris Matthews attempted to belittle Bernie Sanders ascent in the polls with a novel theory used to propel Mike Bloomberg given the expected Biden demise. Even as Bernie Sanders is … Read More

Two Polls Show Presidential Race Will Be Close in Georgia

http://www.surveyusa.com/… The state of Georgia has not voted for a Democrat for President since 1992. But Hillary Clinton came within about 5% of winning the Peach State in 2016 or … Read More

even Fox News…. yes, Fox News polls at 51% for Trump's removal

Tough sitting at the tipping point — when 55% polled want Trump impeached. x BREAKING: A new Fox News poll shows that 55% of Americans think Trump should be impeached — … Read More

Democracy Corp and Fox Polls Both Show Trump Losing to Leading Democrats, Election Interest Is High

http://www.foxnews.com/… Two new national polls are consistent in showing leading Democrats are running ahead of Donald Trump and that enthusiasm for the 2020 Presidential election is very high. Fox News National … Read More

Two Polls Show Republican Sen. Tom Tillis in Trouble in NC Senate Race

Democratic candidate Cal Cunningham has a two point edge in the 2020 Senate race in North Carolina over Republican incumbent Tom Tillis who has a high unfavorable rate. thehill.com/… The … Read More

2019 Governor Polls: Democrats Lead in Louisiana and Kentucky, Mississippi May Be Close

http://www.theadvocate.com/… An Independent Poll for the Governor’s race in Louisiana shows Democrat incumbent John Bel Edwards with a lead over two Republicans for the October 12 jungle primary. The poll … Read More