The website 538 lists five presidential polls in Florida since April 1 and Donald Trump does not lead in any of them.
Each of the polls are by different pollsters and use different methodology.
|Florida Atlantic University||53||47||5/8-5/12||business.fau.edu/…|
|St. Pete Polls||48||48||4/16-4/17||stpetepolls.org/…|
|University North FL||46||40||3/31-4/4||www.unf.edu/…|
The poll released today by Florida Atlantic University shows Joe Biden with a lead slightly greater than the margin of error of 3.1%. Biden also has a lead greater than the 2.6% margin of error in the Quinnipiac Poll and the 1.7% margin of error for the poll from the University of North Florida.
The Florida Atlantic University poll gives Biden the best news. In their March survey, Trump was leading 51% to 49%. It is pretty clear that the Sunshine State will once again be close.
A key group of voters are Independents, who currently are slightly breaking for Biden 41% to 39%. However, 63% of Independent voters voting for Trump are excited to support him while 50% Independent voters voting for Biden are excited to support him.
Regionally Biden leads in South Florida (Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties) 61% to 30% while Trump leads in the rest of the State 48% to 42%. Expectations of who will win vary between South Florida thinking Biden will win 56% to 44% while those in the rest of the State expect Trump to win 57% to 43%.