Polls Showed Nearly a Sea of Blue Before October Surprise

We don’t know how Trump’s infection by Covid-19 will affect the presidential race which has remained incredibly stable for more than a year. One would have to guess it will, to some degree, dishearten his supporters and destroy his narrative that the pandemic is pretty much going away. Most likely there will be no more presidential…

This Morning's Polls: Biden Winning WI (+9), AZ (+9), ME (+17), NC (+1)

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were taken September 11-17 (10-16 for AZ) from likely voters by Siena, which is rated A+ by 538. Siena/NYT Upshot Poll Biden Trump Arizona 49% 40%…

Quinnipiac Polls: Lindsey Graham Tied, Susan Collins Losing by 12%

poll.qu.edu/… Quinnipiac has polls for three high profile US Senate races. Two Republicans are in big trouble. New Quinnipiac polls of several interesting U.S. Senate races: Maine: Sarah Gideon (D) 54%, Susan Collins (R) 42% South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) 48%, Jaime Harrison (D) 48% Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) 53%, Amy McGrath (D) 41% Quinnipiac also polled…

Senator Susan Collins Losing by a Concerning 7% in Maine

A newly released poll by RMG Research finds that Republican Senator Susan Collins is losing 48% to 41% to Democratic challenger Sara Gideon in the state of Maine. US Term Limits Survey Joe Biden is leading in the Pine Tree state by 50% to 39% over Trump. Further, Trump’s approval is 43% in Maine while 56%…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

State Poll Summary: Trump Keeps Digging a Deeper Hole

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Most state polling and national averages are showing Joe Biden is maintaining a lead over Trump around eight points better than Hillary Clinton received in 2016, a 10% lead overall. According to website 538, Trump’s approval rate average is 40.4% with a disapproval of 55.8%, -15.4%. This is the worst for Trump since February 2019….

Cook Report Moves Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to Lean Democrat, Biden leading with 279 EV

cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report is shifting its ratings of the key states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”. Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district is also moved to “Lean Democrat” and Georgia is now a considered a “Tossup” state.  Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nebraska’s 2nd district move from Toss Up to Lean Democrat. Maine, once in Lean Democrat, moves to the…

Trump “lobsters” Maine, even if it's not affected until 2023

Trump’s going to have to do more than “lobstering” proclamations to save Susan Collins. Actually, Trump’s tariff war with China has damaged the Maine fisheries. x How to lobster pic.twitter.com/PZTlomCi5T— Sarah Cooper (@sarahcpr) June 9, 2020 x The BDN Editorial BoardJune 8, 2020: “Trump didn’t save Maine’s fishing industry”https://t.co/Nzch8M4FbX https://t.co/AkYih5FHEP — HG Tomato 🍅 Wash Your…

Trump in Maine, asks stupid questions about lobsters and calls Governor a “dictator”

Another photo-op and the misuse of an “official” trip as a campaign trip. x powerful image of plunger lady protesting Trump’s speech today in rural Maine pic.twitter.com/YMnwpI2Gu8— Nathan Bernard (@nathanTbernard) June 5, 2020 x “Are they the same lobster, would you say, basically? Would you say they're equivalent as lobster? Is there a difference in…

State Poll Summary: Senate Surveys Sweeten

fivethirtyeight.com This week’s presidential and senate polls continue to show a weakening of Republican strength, with Biden having about a seven or eight point national lead. Website 538’s average of Trump approval polls is minus 11% (53.6% to 42.6%), the worse it has been since December. Last week the same average was 10.1%. The Trump…