YouGov

CBS News/YouGov conducted a poll this weekend, and there is some disturbing news: CBS News poll: Widespread agreement with Chauvin verdict Three in four Americans think the jury reached the right verdict in which former police officer Derek Chauvin was found guilty of murder in the death of George Floyd,...

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  • April 26, 2021

Friendly reminder, there’s a big Governor’s race in Virginia this year: Virginia Republican state Sen. Amanda Chase is no stranger to making provocative statements, and comments she made this week related to the Derek Chauvin murder trial have once again stirred up controversy. After a jury found Chauvin guilty of killing...

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  • April 22, 2021

More Charlie than Kevin, McCarthy now tries to polish a turd about the insurrection, tiptoeing a fine line between Trumpists and “post-trumpist” GOP constituencies. McCarthy is just not good with shiny objects to distract the media, as he defaults to the GOP’s more covert racial messaging. x Wherein @GOPLeader indignantly refuses...

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  • January 21, 2021

Donald Trump’s closing argument for another term boils down to … COVID isn’t such a big deal after all and Joe Biden is super-corrupt. Of course, Trump has long since locked down the delusional asshole vote, but a new poll suggests he’s failed to make inroads among members of the sane community. To wit:...

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  • October 27, 2020

Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate.  It would mean Democrats would likely roll up good numbers in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. Even Ohio, which was 8% more Republican than Michigan in 2016, would...

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  • October 25, 2020

news.yahoo.com/… The Yahoo News/YouGov poll, rated “B” by 538, shows Joe Biden taking his biggest lead yet at 51% to 40% among likely voters surveyed October 16-18. The president has struggled to rebound over the past three weeks from a widely panned first debate performance and a COVID-19 outbreak that sent...

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  • October 19, 2020

Here’s the latest news out of Iowa today courtesy of CBS News/YouGov’s latest poll: x IOWABiden 49%Trump 49%.#IAsen:Greenfield (D) 47% (+4)Ernst (R-inc) 43%@YouGovAmerica/@CBSNewsPoll, LV, 10/6-9https://t.co/kcXxQoy7Y2— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 12, 2020 In Iowa, Republican Senator Joni Ernst is down four points to her challenger, Democrat Theresa Greenfield. In each of...

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  • October 12, 2020

From The Huffington Post: x YouTube Video NextGen America, which focuses on turning out voters under age 35, is expanding its target list to include Senate races in Alaska and South Carolina, and House elections for Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District and Kansas’ 2nd and 3rd Congressional districts. The group, funded...

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  • October 8, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Let’s start by saying the national polls don’t look promising for Trump. YouGov, a B rated pollster, has Biden leading 51% to 42%, and USC Dornsife, B/C rated, has him ahead 53% to 42%. The unkindest poll of all for Trump is Rasmussen, C rated, which has Biden leading 52%...

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  • October 7, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… While the polls are showing Joe Biden maintaining his lead (Siena +8%, and ABC News +10%), Senate polls are almost all favorable for Democratic candidates. Recent Senate Polls State Pollster & Rating Democrat Republican AZ Hart (B/C)* Data Prog. (B-) Kelly                   55%...

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  • September 27, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… National Polls released today by Quinnipiac University (rated B+), Marquette University (rated A/B), and USC Dornsife (rated  B/C), and Politico (B/C) each give Joe Biden a lead of 10% against Trump.   poll.qu.edu/… “Voters think Biden is smarter, more honest, more level headed, and cares more about Americans than the...

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  • September 23, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Polls this weekend are showing a number of close races for Republican held US Senate seats. Democrats have a pretty good chance of winning the upper body of Congress. The same set of polls showed Trump has a 1% edge in Georgia and leads by only 2% in Texas....

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  • September 20, 2020

End this long national nightmare. GOTV The Senate seats most likely to flip in November Republicans have a slim, three-seat majority in the Senate that they’re trying to hold on to in November. And they are in for a battle to do it: There are 13 chances on this list...

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  • September 16, 2020

50 days and Biden still leads nationally but there are fewer undecideds than 2016 in the details when you get to registered and likely voters, even if they have been declining since July. Like most polling, the devil’s in the details. x NEW via @AP: Biden is beating Trump nationally...

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  • September 15, 2020

news.yahoo.com/… Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump has grown to 10%, according numbers released today in a Yahoo News/YouGov poll and news story. Biden now leads 49% to 39% over Trump in the survey taken September 9-11. In the previous poll for Yahoo News released August 29, Biden’s lead was 47% to...

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  • September 11, 2020

Received this e-mail today from Slate Magazine’s The Surge that re-evaluates the top seven swing states the Biden-Harris ticket should keep an eye onn: 1. Florida Pipe down, Pennsylvania. Sit on it, Wisconsin. Go suck an egg, Michigan! When it comes to election anxiety production, Florida, the Terror State, has...

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  • September 11, 2020

Some good news today out of Wisconsin: Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 6 points in the battleground state of Wisconsin, according to a new poll. Half of likely voters in Wisconsin said they will vote for Biden in the election, while 44 percent said they will vote for Trump, according...

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  • September 6, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Almost everybody has gotten into the act today, bringing out a national presidential poll. Biden leads them all, but some readers might want to see how they compare. National Presidential Polls released 9/2/2020 Pollster 538 rating Biden Trump Margin Seltzer & Co. A+ 49 41 8 Suffolk A 50...

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  • September 2, 2020

A poll by Global Strategy Group shows Joe Biden has a 47% to 45% lead in Texas over Trump. Trump won the Lone Star State by 9 points in 2016. http://www.chrystafortexas.com/… Texas presidential polls have been variable with YouGov and Trafalgar Group showing Trump with a lead of six or seven points...

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  • August 20, 2020

http://www.chrystafortexas.com/… A poll by Global Strategy Group shows Joe Biden has a 47% to 45% lead in Texas over Trump. Trump won the Lone Star State by 9 points in 2016. Texas presidential polls have been variable with YouGov and Trafalgar Group showing Trump with a lead of six or seven points...

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  • August 20, 2020

An ABC News/Washington Post Poll shows Joe Biden leading Trump nationally by 10% or better. Biden leads Trump by 54% to 44% among likely voters and leads by 53% to 41% among registered voters. The ABC News Poll is one of only six pollsters rated “A+” by website 538. http://www.langerresearch.com/… Trump’s...

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  • August 17, 2020

Here’s the latest news out of Texas: x Texas Senate GE:Cornyn (R-inc) 44% (+7)Hegar (D) 37%McKennon (L) 3%Collins (G) 2%@YouGovAmerica/@TexHPF/@BakerInstitute, RV, 8/4-13https://t.co/U3JatFB90k #TXsen— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 17, 2020 From the polling results: Among all voters, Republican John Cornyn’s vote intention is 44.4%while Democrat MJ Hegar’s vote intention is 37.4%....

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  • August 17, 2020

Decisive winning and GOTV will be important now that we know many of the things that Trump is obviously trying to do to “rig” the election. Belarus shows us that we also know what bad elections look like and why external actors are engaged in the process. Sometimes referred to...

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  • August 10, 2020

Here’s some good news out of Georgia and North Carolina courtesy of CBS News/YouGov’s latest poll: x Georgia Senate GE:Perdue (R-inc) 45% (+2)Ossoff (D) 43%@YouGovAmerica/@CBSNews 7/28-31https://t.co/rYA6avzYHm #GAsen— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 2, 2020 Both Georgia and North Carolina have Republican senators running for reelection this year, and neither appears to...

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  • August 3, 2020

A newly released CBS/YouGov poll shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump 48% to 44% in North Carolina and by 46% to 45% in Georgia. cbsnews_20200802_GA_1 Further good news is Cal Cunningham is leading Republican incumbent Thom Tillis in the crucial North Carolina Senate race by 48% to 39%.  Democrat Jon Ossof...

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  • August 2, 2020

There’s been a peculiar disconnect in the polls in the past few months: Most people disapprove of Trump, and most of those strongly disapprove — meaning that they won’t change their minds — and most voters say they will vote for Biden. But more people have also been saying they...

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  • July 28, 2020

apnews.com/… Public approval of Donald Trump’s handling of the Covid-19 pandemic continues its death glide, according to a survey by The Associated Press-NORC Poll. It is so sad that it takes the deaths of thousands of Americans each week to convince Trump’s devoted followers to abandon him. The poll finds that currently of 32% of voters...

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  • July 26, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The year 2020 has been quite a year, and we are only about half way through. It is 110 days until the election and less than six weeks until the first absentee votes are cast. Trump is in trouble, but his polling isn’t getting worse as fast as the pandemic...

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  • July 16, 2020

Here’s the latest news today out of Missouri: Our SLU/YouGov Poll shows that the gubernatorial race between Governor Parson and Democratic challenger, Nicole Galloway, is tightening with Parson now leading Galloway by only 2%, 41% to 39% among likely voters, which is within the poll’s error margin. In a poll...

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  • July 13, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Most state polling and national averages are showing Joe Biden is maintaining a lead over Trump around eight points better than Hillary Clinton received in 2016, a 10% lead overall. According to website 538, Trump’s approval rate average is 40.4% with a disapproval of 55.8%, -15.4%. This is the worst...

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  • July 9, 2020

This morning the Supreme Court refused to expedite a case brought by the Texas Democratic Party suing to remove absentee ballot restrictions. Right now, in Texas, you can request an absentee ballot without giving a reason if you are 65 or over, but younger folks have to meet one of...

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  • July 3, 2020

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Donald Trump can’t get no respect these days. The coronavirus won’t disappear as he said it would, and CNN won’t retract their national poll saying he’s 14 points behind Biden. To top that off, the Dow Jones Industrial stock index dropped 1861 (-6.9%) points today when Wall Street suddenly discovered...

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  • June 11, 2020

I know I touched upon this in a diary last week but I’m happy that Eleanor Clift at The Daily Beast brought this up today: Texas Senator John Cornyn voted 20 times to do away with Obamacare, but says that the “good news” for the millions of people who lost...

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  • May 21, 2020

The Great Orange Shitgibbet ™ has always operated on the “divide and conquer” principle. He has said he loves chaos, but what that also means is that he loves division, so that people get so busy fighting each other they are unable to unite against him. That strategy worked to...

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  • May 1, 2020

We are getting a pretty good look at what a rapid transition to green energy would look like if we ever act to slow down the looming apocalypse. Of course, we are in one now because of the trifecta of coronavirus, climate change, the sixth mass extinction, and predictions of...

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  • April 22, 2020

.Trump is trying to loosen constraints by May 1 and is willing to kill more people, saying “staying at home id death” Trump really wants a second wave of COVID-19 to  ensure his re-election. 130 pm EDT – Members of the Coronavirus Task Force Hold a Press Briefing In a conference...

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  • April 10, 2020

Even as I started as a Harris supporter, and then went to Warren and now to Sanders, the goal remains the same. GOTV That goal remains the same in spite of the Sanders suspension of campaigning. It is not like 2016 as much as GOP magical thinking might be projected by Trump....

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  • April 8, 2020

America “First” It’s going to get worse before it gets better, really. x Trump: “Nobody would have ever thought a thing like this could happen.” Again, many people thought a thing like this could happen, including the Trump administration, which conducted a simulation last year underscoring how underprepared the government...

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  • March 27, 2020

politicalwire.com/… http://www.economist.com/… YouGov has released a poll showing Democrats are taking the coronavirus pandemic much more seriously and are taking more precautions than Republicans. The poll taken March 8 throught March 10 showed 61% of Democrats are very or somewhat worried about coronavirus but only 37% of Republicans are. Some...

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  • March 11, 2020

Trump spoke before the daily briefing of the COVID task force presser.at 630pm ET. More time was spent changing the podium seal from the VPOTUS to that of IMPOTUS* than Trump’s remarks. Trump announces payroll tax cut to be discussed with GOP leadership. Trump lies about being the first to shut borders....

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  • March 9, 2020

Weird night as Jill Biden tackled a protester on stage in California and voters waited over 5 hours to vote in Texas. Had Trump not gotten caught shaking down Ukraine, he might have won the 2020 election like 2016. Because of the GOP’s Biden(s) vitriol, the Arms for Dirt scandal and its subsequent impeachment may...

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  • March 4, 2020

Kudos to Rolling Stone for finding this: In a 2016 audio recording from what is thought to be a private Goldman Sachs event, Bloomberg first can be heard referring to the audience as “my peeps.” He then went on to talk about what his priorities would be if he were running for...

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  • February 25, 2020

Here’s something that will raise your spirits: x New CBS/YouGov national poll just out: Sanders 28%Warren 19%Biden 17%Bloomberg 13%Buttigieg 10%Klobuchar 5%Steyer 2%Gabbard 1%— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) February 23, 2020 Here’s some more info: Measuring sentiment among would-be Democratic primary voters nationwide, it's Sanders who is leading in overall preference to...

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  • February 23, 2020

Darn meteor sure gets lots of votes. What seems a quadrennial question more appropriate for the Rapture aficionado, Mike Pompeo, the prospect of another Trump victory now becomes even more eschatalogical. The University of Massachusetts-Lowell’s (UMass Lowell) Center for Public Opinion recently conducted a poll that asked New Hampshire Democratic Primary likely...

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  • February 8, 2020

Some final polls and trends before the caucuses. x FWIW, we're going to remove YouGov's poll today from our averages. What they published is really a MRP model, not a poll, and not comparable to previous YouGov polls of IA. Revised figures for top 5 are as follows:Sanders 22.2Biden 21.4Buttigieg...

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  • February 3, 2020

I couldn’t agree more! On Wednesday, presidential hopeful Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) unveiled a new plan to fight disinformation, aiming to stem the effect of the Russian troll campaigns that plagued the 2016 election. In particular, Warren proposes harsher laws against spreading misinformation for the purpose of voter suppression, as...

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  • January 29, 2020

ALMOST 50% OF AMERICANS SAY DONALD TRUMP WILL GO DOWN IN HISTORY AS ‘POOR’ OR ‘BELOW AVERAGE’ PRESIDENT, POLL FINDS An Economist/YouGov poll released today has 40% of Americans saying Donald Trump will go down in history as a poor president with 9% more saying he will be considered below average. Some...

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  • December 27, 2019

Forget about Kool-Aid. These idiots would swallow battery acid if Dear Leader told them to. And, you know, in a way they kind of are. You may have seen the recent Economist/YouGov poll in which 53 percent of Republicans claimed that Donald Trump is a better president than Abraham Lincoln.  Yes,...

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  • December 5, 2019

Polls are trending toward supporting the impeachment inquiry. Since House Democrats launched a formal impeachment inquiry last Tuesday, support for impeachment has grown, according to polls from Politico/Morning Consult, HuffPost/YouGov, NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist, CBS News/YouGov, and Quinnipiac. These shifts suggest that public sentiment could continue to change as the inquiry proceeds. Such increases in support could...

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  • October 12, 2019

Squid pro quo. The fiduciary value of political oppo-dirt in this case was $250+ million. Crazy. In the Sept. 9 exchange, obtained by ABC News, the concerns are expressed by Bill Taylor, the top U.S. diplomat to Ukraine. Gordon Sondland, the United States Ambassador to the European Union, responds to...

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  • October 4, 2019