Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…

Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden

insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…

Poll: 51% Disapprove of Trump's Handling of Pandemic; Most Don't Expect to See Changes to Their Life

http://www.politico.com/… http://www.documentcloud.org/… A NYT/WSJ poll released today shows that 51% of American voters do not approve of the President’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak compared to 45% who approve, closely matching his overall approval rates. The partisan split on Trump’s handling of the virus is wide: While 81 percent of self-identified Republican voters approve of…

Changes During Public Impeachment Hearings (Part II)

As we discussed in our previous post, Trendency has been tracking the opinions of registered voters on the impeachment of President Donald Trump since the beginning of the year. Through most of 2019, even during the height of the Mueller Report becoming public, the public did not favor the impeachment of the President. This dynamic…

Registration Changes May Imperil More California Republicans

elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/… California Secretary of State has published registration figures that show state voters are registering as Republicans at lower and lower rates. Since January 2016, registered Republicans have dropped by four points while Democratic registration has increased by one percent. Total registration is up sharply. Since the last 154-Day Report of Registration for a primary…