Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate can have some impact for that state’s Presidential or Senate elections, at least for states that having really close elections.  Most of these polls are by partisan…

New OH Predictive Insights Poll Has Joe Biden Beating Trump In Arizona 49-45

Here’s some good news today out of Arizona: #AZPOP #POLL: #Presidential race in #Arizona (Change Since July)@JoeBiden (D): 49% (+/- 0) @realDonaldTrump (R): 45% (+1) N=603, MoE +/- 4.0%, Survey Conducted 8/3/20 – 8/4/20 — OHPI (@OHPredictive) August 10, 2020 #AZPOP #POLL: @realDonaldTrump Favorability Rating in #Arizona Total Favorable: 47% Total Unfavorable: 52% N=603, MoE…

Cook Report Moves 2 US House Races to Tossup, AZ CD-6 and MO CD-2

twitter.com/… Cook Political Report has changed its ratings on five US House races, four in the direction of the Democratic candidate. Kansas CD-2 became more likely to remain Republican after incumbent Steve Watkins-R lost his primary. Watkins was charged with voter fraud after he listed a UPS store as his official residence. David Schweikert of Arizona’s…

AZ, IA, ME & NC-Sen: Data For Progress Poll Has Democrats Leading In All Four Races

Here’s some very good news today: NEW @DataProgress Poll (7/24-8/2):#AZsen:Kelly (D) 50% (+10)McSally (R-inc) 40%.#NCsen:Cunningham (D) 49% (+8)Tillis (R-inc) 41%.#MEsen:Gideon (D) 48% (+3)Collins (R-inc) 45%.#IAsen:Greenfield (D) 45% (+2)Ernst (R-inc) 43% — Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 6, 2020 Here’s some more info: The surveys also show former Vice President Joe Biden leading against President Donald Trump…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

AZ-Sen: NBC News/Marist Poll Has Mark Kelly (D) Leading Martha McSally (R) 53-41

Some very good news today out of Arizona courtesy of NBC News/Marist’s recent poll: The NBC News/Marist poll released Sunday found Biden with 50 percent support among registered voters in Arizona, compared to the president's 45 percent. The results were barely outside of the poll's margin of error of 4.1 percentage points. That’s not all: Meanwhile, Kelly earned…

Only 32% Approve of Trump's Handling of Pandemic

apnews.com/… Public approval of Donald Trump’s handling of the Covid-19 pandemic continues its death glide, according to a survey by The Associated Press-NORC Poll. It is so sad that it takes the deaths of thousands of Americans each week to convince Trump’s devoted followers to abandon him. The poll finds that currently of 32% of voters support the President’s attempts at…

“Show me the death chart.”

That’s one of the statements Donald Trump made in his interview with Chris Wallace. RVAT (Republican Voters Against Trump) decided to fulfill that request, generated the following ad, for which they have bought time in AZ. Enjoy. x YouTube Video

Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden

insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…