Biden Should Mess with Texas

Beto O’Rourke, who narrowly lost to Ted Cruz for Texas’s Senate seat in 2018, and Tory Gavito, cofounder of Way to Win, have an op-ed in today’s WaPo urging Biden to fight for Texas’s 38 EVs: Joe Biden can end the drama on election night. All he has to do is win Texas. While there…

30-50 feral pigs are the Donald Trumps of coronaviruses

Feral pigs are the crying-wolf excuse for some firearm owners, as though the average hunter needed a modern sporting rifle (semi-auto long gun with large capacity magazine) to defend their home and children against predator species. Then there’s Kenosha’s 17 year-old killer and his AR-15 pattern rifle with 30-round magazine. The meme of marauding feral pigs…

Trump Could Outperform the Polls by 3% – And Still Lose

The Princeton Election Consortium posts a daily map of the electoral college predictions based on current polling. In addition to the most likely scenario, they also post maps showing how the results change if either candidate outperforms the polling by 3%. This is important because 3% is the difference between the final polls in 2016…

Biden Campaign Adds 13 Staffers in Texas

Joe Biden’s Presidential campaign, flush with cash and lifted by polls that show that Texas is essentially tied, is hiring on 13 more staff members. http://www.texastribune.org/… The Democratic nominee’s latest hires, shared first with The Texas Tribune, include several experienced Democratic operatives from the state. They include Dallas Jones, a Houston political consultant who will serve…

Trump is Failing His Latest Test: Hurricane Laura

Hurricane Laura is now a strong Cat 4, with winds up to 150 MPH (Cat 5 is 158 MPH, and it may get there). Storm surges are expected to push creeks and maybe rivers to reverse their flow. A meteorologist on MSNBC just predicted 15-foot flooding in Lake Charles, LA., which is only 15 feet…

Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate can have some impact for that state’s Presidential or Senate elections, at least for states that having really close elections.  Most of these polls are by partisan…

Louie Gohmert thinks he may have gotten COVID from wearing a mask

By now you’ve heard the superschadenfreudeisticexpialidocious news that GOP Rep. Louie Gohmert has contracted COVID-19. A positive coronavirus diagnosis would be chastening for most people — a reason to pause and reflect. But not for the dumbest man in Congress. According to KETK-TV in Texas, he’s determined to stay a maskhole until the day he dies….

Rest in Power, Garrett Foster

Garrett Foster was shot and killed as he tried to protect his disabled wife during a peaceful march in Austin Texas. The alleged killer has been arrested.  Austin PD, per NYT: “The driver opened fire from inside the car as Mr. Foster approached. Another person in the crowd pulled out a handgun and shot at…

Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…

Ted Cruz: 'We’ve got four months to stop a blue wave'

Less than four months, actually, but who’s counting? Well, I am. I may put together a “Goodbye, Asshole” advent calendar that counts down to Election Day. Wouldn’t that be fun? Sen. @tedcruz: "The left, it's not going to stop at anything to come after Texas and come after this country." pic.twitter.com/7koElO3jf5 — The Hill (@thehill)…

Biden Just Put Up a Great Ad for Texas

Joe Biden just released an ad aimed at Texas: x x YouTube Video as reported by Greg Sargent in the WaPo: Biden is advertising in Texas. That’s ominous for Trump. This ad never once mentions Trump. It focuses on how Texas is trying to cope with the coronavirus and how Biden promises to be there…

How to Win Texas in Spite of GOP Scams

This morning the Supreme Court refused to expedite a case brought by the Texas Democratic Party suing to remove absentee ballot restrictions. Right now, in Texas, you can request an absentee ballot without giving a reason if you are 65 or over, but younger folks have to meet one of a very restricted list of…

State Poll Summary: Three Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Three separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton Strategies all released state polls, some of which are surprising positive for Joe Biden, especially Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Presidential State Polls with Pollsters Ratings by 538 State…