Recount 2020: Contested states and their recount rules

So, as I’m writing this, it’s pretty clear that Biden is going to win enough states to be the next President. But that won’t be official for awhile. Some of … Read More

State Polls: Biden Tied in GA, MI +13%, TX +3%, NC +4%, FL +2%

Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate.  It would mean Democrats would likely roll up … Read More

Morning Consult Has Mostly Great State Polls

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Morning Consult is waking us up this morning  with a number of great state polls, with the Arizona poll being about the only one that’s not great. The polls were taken … Read More

Map Shows Biden Whopping Trump in Ad Buys

We’ve all been hearing that Democrats have ad money to burn (so much that they’re running out of places to spend it) while Trump and his ilk are broke. But … Read More

Siena Poll: Biden +4% in NC; Quinnipiac Poll: Biden +7% in GA, +1% in OH

int.nyt.com/… The NYT/Siena Poll, rated A+ by 538, shows Joe Biden with a 46% to 42% lead over Trump in North Carolina with minor party candidates taking 4% of the … Read More

Trump's Support in West Virginia Has Fallen by 28% Since 2016, but He Should Still Win

http://www.documentcloud.org/… West Virginia put a lot of faith in Donald Trump in 2016 and he won the state by 42.1% (68.6% to 26.5%). Today Research America’s poll shows Trump leading … Read More

Top Rated Pollster Shows Biden Leading by 3% in IA and Tied in GA; Trump +3% in TX

http://www.nytimes.com/… The A+ rated NYT/Siena College Poll released this morning shows that Joe Biden is leading in Iowa 45% to 42% and is tied in Georgia with 45%. Trump has a 45% … Read More

This Morning's Polls: Biden Winning WI (+9), AZ (+9), ME (+17), NC (+1)

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were … Read More

This Morning's Polls: Biden Winning WI (+9), AZ (+9), ME (+17), NC (+1), PA (+7%), MI (+8%)

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were … Read More

Cook Reports Changes Arizona to “Lean Biden”; Two Polls Today Show Small Biden Lead in AZ

http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 2% edge in Arizona among likely voters but says the race is tied under a lower turnout scenario. Biden leads Trump 48% … Read More

Cook Report Changes Arizona to “Lean Biden”; Two Polls Today Show Small Biden Lead in AZ

http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 2% edge in Arizona among likely voters but says the race is tied under a lower turnout scenario. Biden leads Trump 48% … Read More

Biden Leads by 5% in FL, 10% in WI, and 3% in NC

Several state polls released this afternoon show the Biden campaign doing fairly well in a number of key states. http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 50% to 45% … Read More

DeJoy In Legal Trouble in North Carolina

Trump’s handpicked (with all the gross implications that word conjures up) Postmaster General Louis DeJoy has almost certainly broken a lot of federal laws, including conflict of interest laws, in … Read More

Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate … Read More

Politico: Some Trump Supporters Say They May Not Vote If a Ballot Arrives by Mail

Politico has a very interesting article on how Trump’s campaign to cast doubt on the legitimacy of voting by mail may end up destroying any chance Republicans could win. http://www.politico.com/…Read More

CBS Poll: Biden Leads by 4% in North Carolina and Has 1% Edge in Georgia

A newly released CBS/YouGov poll shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump 48% to 44% in North Carolina and by 46% to 45% in Georgia. cbsnews_20200802_GA_1 Further good news is Cal … Read More

North Carolina Polls: Biden leads by 7%, Cooper by 20%, and Cunningham by 9%

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The NBC/Marist College Poll, a pollster rated A+ by 538, gives Joe Biden a significant lead of 7% in North Carolina, a state where the polls have been back … Read More

Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from … Read More

Cook Report Moves Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to Lean Democrat, Biden leading with 279 EV

cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report is shifting its ratings of the key states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”. Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district is also moved to “Lean Democrat” and … Read More

State Poll Summary: Three Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Three separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton Strategies all released … Read More

State Poll Summary: Four Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Four separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Fox News Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton … Read More

State Poll Summary: Is Trump's Base Starting to Crack?

The New York Times reports that the Trump campaign is deeply worried about their candidate’s internal polls, and if they are anything like the publicly available polls, one can see … Read More

NC Governor Rejects Trump's Demands for 19,000 Person Convention; RNC Looking Elsewhere

Democratic Governor Roy Cooper sent a letter to the Republican National Convention refusing to guarantee a full scale traditional convention in Charlotte August 23rd as Donald Trump demands. http://www.charlotteobserver.com/… In a letter, … Read More

more plague spreading: Trump demands a contagious arena in North Carolina for the RNC

Trump needs/wants the big crowds, because he doesn’t care about the chaos of infection spread, especially if he will appear to be in a downward spiral approaching November Third. Do Republicans … Read More

Trump Polling Worse on Pandemic Than All 50 Governors

A survey of nearly 23,000 Americans across every state shows Donald Trump’s response to the pandemic gets a lower rating than every governor in their own state.  While this is not … Read More

State Poll Summary: Biden Leads, But Swing States Are Still Close

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… A number of recent state polls have been released over the past week and almost all have good news for Biden. The bump Trump got in his approval in … Read More

Bloomberg Forms Independent PAC to Attack Trump in Swing States

http://www.washingtonpost.com/… The Washington Post Reports that former presidential candidate  Mike Bloomberg is forming an independent campaign to attack Donald Trump  keeping alive his extensive, well-funded organization in battleground states. Bloomberg’s advisers have identified … Read More

Mark Meadows Is Third North Carolina Republican to Announce Retirement from the US House

Freedom Caucus leader and major Trump fan Mark Meadows of North Carolina’s CD-11 announced  he is leaving Congress possibly to join the Trump Administration. time.com/… “My work with President Trump … Read More

Top Democrats Leading Trump in Ohio; Impeachment Supported 47% to 43%

emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/… Three Leading Democrats are beating Donald Trump in Ohio, according to an Emerson Poll newly released. Bernie Sanders outpolls Trump 53% to 47%, Joe Biden by 53% to 47%, and … Read More

Two Polls Show Republican Sen. Tom Tillis in Trouble in NC Senate Race

Democratic candidate Cal Cunningham has a two point edge in the 2020 Senate race in North Carolina over Republican incumbent Tom Tillis who has a high unfavorable rate. thehill.com/… The … Read More

'Five-alarm fire' for Trump in suburbs

As Donald Trump’s approval rating has continued to stagnate, and people far and wide have come to see him more and more as just a flailing mass of gelatinous orange … Read More

McCready Has Small Lead in NC CD-9 Special; Congressman Shimkus Retiring from IL CD-15

http://www.insideelections.com/… drive.google.com/… An independent poll released today shows Democrat Dan McCready has a 4% lead in the September 10th rerun election for North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District. State Senator Dan Bishop … Read More

Survey USA Poll: Biden and Sanders Leading Trump in NC

http://www.surveyusa.com/… A Survey USA Presidential poll taken in North Carolina from August 1 to August 5 shows Donald Trump losing to Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden. Other major Democratic candidates … Read More

Senator Approval Poll: McConnell, Collins, Gardner, Tillis Are Unpopular

morningconsult.com/… Three Republican Senators up for reelection in 2020 have negative approvals in their home states. Collins in Maine, Gardner in Colorado, Tillis in North Carolina, and McSally in Arizona … Read More

Quinnipiac Poll: Trump Loses to All Democrats

poll.qu.edu/…  Today’s Quinnipiac poll finds all the better known Democratic candidates would defeat Donald Trump if the election were held today.          Joe Biden leads by 53% to 40% Bernie Sanders 51%, Trump … Read More

Reuters Poll: Biden Leading Trump by 14%; Sanders Leading Trump by 9%

fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/… An Ipsos/Reuters national poll shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump 50% to 36% for president. Trump also loses to Bernie Sanders by 46% to 37%. The poll was conducted … Read More

Swing State Presidential Polls Looking Good

http://www.vox.com/… Donald Trump’s approval rate is quite dismal in many of the key states that will decide the 2020 election, according to Morning Consult. This is one of a series … Read More

Mark Walker (NC CD-6) May Be Latest Republican Congressman Caught in Corruption Scandals

talkingpointsmemo.com/… Rep. Mark Walker (R-NC), a member of House GOP leadership, appears to be the unnamed “Public Official A” in a bombshell public corruption probe unsealed on Tuesday. A federal grand jury … Read More

GOP candidate for NC-9 seat tries to Photoshop AOC, fails hilariously

Okay, so a bunch of candidates are stepping up to fill Mark Harris’ shady shoes in the North Carolina District 9 take-two election, and one, Matthew Ridenhour, is attempting to make … Read More