CNN Debate: You're a Frontrunner When Everyone Takes a Swing at You.

Actions speak volumes over words, and the punches thrown by the Democratic presidential candidates at Elizabeth Warren tonight scream, “She’s the frontrunner!”  I don’t give a shit how often they say, “Polls don’t matter!  I meet all kinds of people out on the campaign trail…blah, blah, blah.”  The rest of the crowd on that stage tonight…

Some Predictions About Tonight's Democratic Presidential Debate.

Safe Bets For Tonight: It’s hosted by CNN and NYT, so the questions to the candidates are going to suck. The moderators want this to become a professional wrestling match, so look for lots of questions crafted to spark fights among the candidates. I predict Erin Burnett will ask Warren and Sanders about how they…

The Test Of Joe Biden's Toughness and Electibility Is Now.

Whether Joe Biden supporters like it or not, now is the testing of Joe Biden’s thesis that he is the best Democrat to defeat Trump.   Yes, I am not a Biden supporter.  Check that off.   But Trump had decided to crash the Democratic primary process, and his main target is Joe Biden.  Instead of waiting…

Tiger Beat Outlines Joe Biden's Super Tuesday Fortress Strategy.

According to Tiger Beat, the Biden campaign is building a Super Tuesday fortress strategy.  There are far more delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday than in the first four contests (1300 delegates Vs. 155).  A number of the states on Super Tuesday have high concentrations of black and more moderate voters, so Biden is…

NBC/WSJ Poll: Biden in Lead, But Warren Support Continues to Grow.

NBC/WSJ latest polls shows that Biden is still in the lead (31%,+5 points since July), but Warren support continues to grow (25, +6 points since July). There is the usual breakdown of who is supporting who.  I think you can guess that Biden is getting most of the moderate and black voters, while Warren gets…

Biden Signals How He Will Take On Warren And Sanders In Tomorrow's Debate.

Not that Warren and Sanders had not already figured this out, but CNN reports that Biden will obliquely criticize Warren — and IMO Sanders — with the line “We need more than plans” from the eventual Democratic nominee.  According to Biden, you need someone who knows how to get things done and has a proven track record…

Kamala Harris Calls For Abolishing The Filibuster To Pass The Green New Deal

A little while ago, I wrote about how the former U.S. Senate Majority & Minority Leader, Harry Reid (D. NV), gave the 2020 Democratic candidates a new litmus test when it gets to getting shit done once elected: Former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) said this week that should Democrats take control of the upper chamber during the…

What Bernie Sanders gets right with his critique of the corporate media

For generations, the politicians consistently and publicly finding fault with the news media have largely been Republican. But as frustrations rise on the other side of the aisle this campaign season, more Democrats are speaking out, led by Sen. Bernie Sanders. His structural critique of corporate media in America is an important one and goes to…

New Iowa Poll Has Elizabeth Warren Leading The Field With 28%, Biden & Sanders Both Get 17% Each

Breaking: SHAZAM! Iowa:Warren 28%Biden 17%Sanders 17%Buttigieg 13%Harris 8%Booker 3%O'Rourke 3% Change Research poll, caveats apply, please read all fine print, all wagers finalhttps://t.co/zAXhmsvbf3 — David S. Bernstein (@dbernstein) August 15, 2019 Here’s some more info: Elizabeth Warren’s early investment in Iowa is paying off. A new Iowa Starting Line-Change Research poll shows the senator opening…

The most important issue for Democrats in 2020? The courts

As the 2020 election season heats up, voters’ priorities are coming into sharper focus. As in years past, there is a great divergence in what each party ranks as its top issues. Earlier this year, the Pew Research Center found that Republicans identify terrorism, the economy, Social Security, immigration, and the military as their five greatest…

“Where have you gone, Joe Centrist? America Turns Its Lonely Eyes to You!”

Since the first set of Democratic Presidential Debates, it’s been a rocky road for centrists.  The heavy weight champ of centrism, Joe Biden, took some hits.  And while some Biden supporters have been saying, “Well, it was just one poll!,” subsequent polls have shown that Biden has lost some steam.  And the other centrists in the…

Dem insider: 'The inevitability of Joe Biden is over'

I’ve been loath to criticize Joe Biden for a couple of reasons: I like him, more or less. He has a certain avuncular charm, and he’s definitely not an evil guy. Maybe he's a little out of touch and backward-looking, but he’d be a marked improvement over Orange Palpatine. He could very well be our nominee,…

Democratic Moderates Owning Their Mistakes? So E.J. Dionne Says.

E.J. Dionne Jr. wrote a recent column that covers the recent Third Way meeting in Charleston, SC.  There is the usual blather from the attendees who describe themselves as “moderates” against leftists in the Democratic Party.  But Dionne goes on to take some quotes from Third Way President Jon Cowan that supposedly demonstrates that centrists…

The Primary Primer – June 4, 2019

This isn’t going to be a daily feature, it’s too early for that, and too jumbled. Rather, it’s going to be more of a weekly or bi-weekly digest of things that happened in the primaries that may have flown under the radar, or you might want to bookmark to look back on later. The Media…

Out of the mouths of babes.

Did this ever happen to you? You’re sitting quietly with friends at your favorite local watering hole, and at the end of the bar is the mandatory big mouth, loudly spouting off on every event of the day, and with every shouted opinion, proving he has his head so far up his ass he’s performing…

Persuadable Voters Reached Through FOX?

Bernie and others are saying that there are persuadable voters who can be reached through Democrats appearing on FOX or Trump TV and making arguments for progressive policies (part of this belief may be based upon this Vox report).  I have to confess that I am in the “stay the hell away from FOX” crowd. …

A few reflections on the state of the Democratic primary contest

in which I am making no commitment to any candidate, but am laying down several markers, at least as I consider my support. And I will preface this by noting my spouse is quite impressed by Buttigieg and has contributed to him (2x) and to Inslee (b/c of Jay’s commitment to the environment). First, unless…

'OPERATION DIVIDE THE LEFT': Recent assault on Democratic candidates traced to 200 suspect accounts

A team of analysts at Politico found a small group of 200 accounts—specifically these guys—drove a “disproportionate” amount of racist and negative disinformation, over a 30-day period, targeting four Democratic presidential candidates for 2020: Sen. Kamala Harris, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke. In fact, between 2-15% of all Twitter mentions concerning these…

Bernie Sanders raises $4 million in first 12 hours of campaign

Whatever you think of him (I have positive, if not fuzzy-warm feelings), Bernie Sanders is likely going to stay relevant for at least one more election cycle. From The Huffington Post: Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-Vt.) second bid for the White House is barely out the gate, but the lawmaker already has a formidable war chest…

A majority of *Republican* voters now support a wealth tax

Thank you, Elizabeth Warren. Thank you, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Thank you, Bernie Sanders. Thank you every Democrat who has made income inequality an issue and shifted the national discourse back to an embrace of real traditional American values. It’s working. A recent New York Times poll revealed that many Americans want the government to tackle income inequality. That’s…

Welcome back, Bernie; now please stop calling yourself a socialist

Let me get all my caveats out of the way as I hastily don my flak jacket. I like Bernie Sanders. After seriously considering Hillary Clinton, I voted for Sanders in the 2016 Oregon primary. When Hillary won the nomination, I enthusiastically backed her, and was just a bit peeved that Bernie refused to back…

Nate Silver tweets results of Daily Kos presidential straw poll

Election maven Nate Silver has taken note of our humble l’il community’s presidential preferences, which means we’re on the vanguard of … something. A Kamala Harris surge, maybe? x Pretty big drop for Beto in addition to a big gain for Harris in this Daily Kos straw poll, which is a pretty interesting cross-section of high-information…

Poll: Every potential Democratic candidate would defeat Trump

It’s very, very, very early, but so far it’s hard to find a Democrat running for president (or considering a run) who wouldn’t defeat Donald Trump were the election held today. That’s according to Public Policy Polling’s latest survey, which reveals that Trump gets just 41 or 42 percent support no matter which Democrat he’s pitted against: PPP's…

South Carolina is going to be a busy place for the next year.

Ahhh, South Carolina. Land of southern beauty and hospitality. I’ve never had the pleasure of visiting the state, but all of the photos and video I’ve seen of it are charming and beautiful. But if I wanted to go there on the cheap, I’d declare myself as a Democratic candidate for President, and let my…