Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate. It would mean Democrats would likely roll up good numbers in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. Even Ohio, which was 8% more Republican than Michigan in 2016, would be a likely win. This…
Category: Indiana
Private Polls Are Showing Big Swings to Democrats in the Suburbs
It’s becoming the story of the election that the suburban areas, especially those with many well-educated people are shifting strongly toward Joe Biden and Democratic candidates. According to Dave Wasserman of Cook Reports, most congressional districts are shifting by about 8 points, but some suburban districts are shifting more. It seems Andrea Mitchell of NBC…
Indiana Brings Back Aztec Human Sacrifice, Otherwise Known As Kids Going Back To School NOW!
Well, Indiana has decided to start sacrificing kids, their parents, and definitely their grandparents to COVID-19 starting TODAY. In other words, kids are going back to school. Parkview and 17 other schools in the Greater Clark County Schools district welcomed more than 10,000 students Wednesday, becoming the first school district in the Louisville area…
Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden
insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…
Crystal Ball Shifts 7 States from Safe to Likely GOP; Gravis Poll has Biden with 10% Lead in Florida
centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted ratings on seven states that Trump won easily in 2016 from “Safe Republican” to “Likely Republican”. The states of Alaska, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, South Carolina, Kansas, and Utah have a total of 48 electoral votes, none of which Joe Biden needs to win. Even if Joe Biden fails…
Larry Sabato Shifts Ratings on 11 US House Races, “10 Texas Seats Could Be Vulnerable”
In a move somewhat reminiscent of 2018’s blue wave in US House elections, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted ratings on 10 US House away from the Republican candidates and has moved one Democratic seat in the other direction. Four of the ones shifted today are GOP seats in Texas. centerforpolitics.org/… Table 1: Crystal Ball House rating changes Member/District Old…
Former Sen. Joe Donnelly (D. IN) Gets The Last Laugh On The GOP By Helping Joe Biden Beat Trump
Received this e-mail today from former U.S. Senator Joe Donnelly (D. IN) in support of former Vice President Joe Biden’s presidential campaign: You were always so kind to me when I served in the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate from Indiana. I knew I could always count on your support in some of the…
State Poll Summary: Senate Surveys Sweeten
fivethirtyeight.com This week’s presidential and senate polls continue to show a weakening of Republican strength, with Biden having about a seven or eight point national lead. Website 538’s average of Trump approval polls is minus 11% (53.6% to 42.6%), the worse it has been since December. Last week the same average was 10.1%. The Trump…
US Life Expectancy Has Declined for Three Years
http://www.nytimes.com/… jamanetwork.com/… The New York Times reports that life expectancy, especially for Americans between the ages of 25 to 64, is declining despite the highest per capita spending in the world on health care, according to a study newly published in the Journal of the American Medical Association. According to the new study, the death rate from 2010…
Another Day, Another Republican Will Retire From Congress
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/… Yesterday, Republican Congressman Pete Olson (TX CD-22) announced his retirement to spend more time with his family and today it is Republican Congresswoman Martha Roby (AL CD-2) who announced she will not run for re-election in 2020. Roby apparently gave no particular reason to retire though she is only 43 years old. http://www.detroitnews.com/… Earlier…
Swing State Presidential Polls Looking Good
http://www.vox.com/… Donald Trump’s approval rate is quite dismal in many of the key states that will decide the 2020 election, according to Morning Consult. This is one of a series of polls that show Trump in trouble despite an economy that has been doing well until now. morningconsult.com/… New Hampshire: 39% to 58% Wisconsin: 42%…
Mike Lux of Crooks and Liars Brings Up Valuable Insights on Redstate Senate Contests.
I want to highlight what Mike Lux over at Crooks and Liars has written about the redstate Senate contests in 2018 and 2020. No, it is not gloom and doom. In 2018, we saw three different strategies to winning in red state America. The first was to run as a conservative, separating yourself from the…
Looks More Like Rural Tribalism Hurt Democrats in Redstates in 2018.
As with many, I’ve been trying to look at some numbers now of several disappointing Democratic races in several redstates to make some sense of what happened. It’s taken some time to actually look at the numbers because I got my hopes up and the let down has been painful. The ones I’m looking at…
Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is Merlin1963: Info on Amy McGrath, Joe Donnelly, and Liz Watson.
I have decided to bring any updates on KY and IN races to the folks here on Daily Kos. Some of it is info you may have already seen. But I tried to see if I could get info on Maine and West Virginia, and I thought, “You might as well return the favor and…
The Pussy Cat of Indiana – Senator Joe Donnelly – Coughs Like He Has a Hair Ball on Kavanaugh.
Donnelly’s office said the following: “Senator Donnelly takes his responsibility to consider Supreme Court nominees – regardless of the president making the nominations – very seriously. With both Judges Garland and Gorsuch, and now with Judge Kavanaugh, Senator Donnelly has evaluated Supreme Court nominees based on their understanding of the law, their ability to be…
Checking in On the U.S. Senate Race in Indiana.
OK. I admit that I should give a “pass” to Senator Joe Donnelly who is running for reelection in Indiana. I went to undergrad at Indiana University, and I know plenty of Hoosiers. They are a unique bunch of people. I think the last liberal who Hoosiers voted for was Birch Bayh in 1974. But…
One Nation Is Running Ads for Republican Tax Cuts and Against Senator Joe Donnelly of Indiana.
I’ve seen two ads from a dark money organization called One Nation pushing the Republican tax cuts as GREAT and bashing Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly of Indiana for not voting for the tax cuts. Here is a YouTube video for one of those ads: x x YouTube Video Anyone else seeing this type of advertisement?…
Keith Olbermann: Still Crazy After All These Years
Yes – that crazy, liberal, Progressive, left-leaning Keith Olbermann is still at it. He's still doing crazy, liberal, Progressive, left-leaning stuff. Standing up for a minority group in America? Yes that's crazy, liberal, Progressive, and left-leaning. And yes – I still love the guy for it. What's he up to this time? Nothing that doesn't…