State Polls: Biden Tied in GA, MI +13%, TX +3%, NC +4%, FL +2%

Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate.  It would mean Democrats would likely roll up good numbers in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. Even Ohio, which was 8% more Republican than Michigan in 2016, would be a likely win. This…

Private Polls Are Showing Big Swings to Democrats in the Suburbs

It’s becoming the story of the election that the suburban areas, especially those with many well-educated people are shifting strongly toward Joe Biden and Democratic candidates. According to Dave Wasserman of Cook Reports, most congressional districts are shifting by about 8 points, but some suburban districts are shifting more. It seems Andrea Mitchell of NBC…

Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden

insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…

State Poll Summary: Senate Surveys Sweeten

fivethirtyeight.com This week’s presidential and senate polls continue to show a weakening of Republican strength, with Biden having about a seven or eight point national lead. Website 538’s average of Trump approval polls is minus 11% (53.6% to 42.6%), the worse it has been since December. Last week the same average was 10.1%. The Trump…

US Life Expectancy Has Declined for Three Years

http://www.nytimes.com/… jamanetwork.com/… The New York Times reports that life expectancy, especially for Americans between the ages of 25 to 64, is declining despite the highest per capita spending in the world on health care, according to a study newly published in the Journal of the American Medical Association. According to the new study, the death rate from 2010…

Swing State Presidential Polls Looking Good

http://www.vox.com/… Donald Trump’s approval rate is quite dismal in many of the key states that will decide the 2020 election, according to Morning Consult. This is one of a series of polls that show Trump in trouble despite an economy that has been doing well until now. morningconsult.com/… New Hampshire: 39% to 58% Wisconsin: 42%…

Looks More Like Rural Tribalism Hurt Democrats in Redstates in 2018.

As with many, I’ve been trying to look at some numbers now of several disappointing Democratic races in several redstates to make some sense of what happened.  It’s taken some time to actually look at the numbers because I got my hopes up and the let down has been painful.  The ones I’m looking at…

Checking in On the U.S. Senate Race in Indiana.

OK.  I admit that I should give a “pass” to Senator Joe Donnelly who is running for reelection in Indiana.  I went to undergrad at Indiana University, and I know plenty of Hoosiers.  They are a unique bunch of people.  I think the last liberal who Hoosiers voted for was Birch Bayh in 1974. But…

Keith Olbermann: Still Crazy After All These Years

Yes – that crazy, liberal, Progressive, left-leaning Keith Olbermann is still at it.  He's still doing crazy, liberal, Progressive, left-leaning stuff.  Standing up for a minority group in America?  Yes that's crazy, liberal, Progressive, and left-leaning.  And yes – I still love the guy for it. What's he up to this time?  Nothing that doesn't…