Is getting angry better than being nervous. One poll does not a victory make. Nate Cohn calls the Selzer poll result for Iowa a “miss”, but it does suggest a trend, like the closing state poll in Florida. More useful is Cohn’s conclusion that at this moment Biden wins with 306 to 232 electoral votes…
Tag: leads
CNBC/Change Research Poll Shows Biden Leads by 13% Nationally
thehill.com/… The CNBC/Change Research Poll shows Joe Biden with the support of 54% of likely voters compared to 41% for Trump. Only 29% of voters thought Trump performed better in the first debated compared to 53% for Biden. Still, the debate doesn’t appear to have had a significant impact on the state of the presidential…
CNBC Poll Shows Biden Leads by 13% Nationally; Greenfield Takes Big Lead for Iowa Senate
thehill.com/… The CNBC/Change Research Poll shows Joe Biden with the support of 54% of likely voters compared to 41% for Trump. Only 29% of voters thought Trump performed better in the first debated compared to 53% for Biden. Still, the debate doesn’t appear to have had a significant impact on the state of the presidential…
Biden leads by 10% nationally (Q-Poll)
Biden continues to lead with no slippage nationally, and is apparently perceived by 13% as more intelligent than Trump (sic). x New Quinnipiac national poll: Biden 52%Trump 42% Second national poll of the day putting Biden +10, after MU Lawhttps://t.co/xUqrQzeaBs— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) September 23, 2020 x Brutal numbers for Trump in national Quinnipiac poll…
Biden Leads by 5% in FL, 10% in WI, and 3% in NC
Several state polls released this afternoon show the Biden campaign doing fairly well in a number of key states. http://www.monmouth.edu/… Monmouth University Poll gives Joe Biden a 50% to 45% lead in Florida among likely voters under a high turnout scenario. With a lower turnout, Biden’s lead shrinks to 49% to 46%. Monmouth is rated…
AP poll: Biden leads by 12% but 21% are undecided (of which 32% are “independents”)
50 days and Biden still leads nationally but there are fewer undecideds than 2016 in the details when you get to registered and likely voters, even if they have been declining since July. Like most polling, the devil’s in the details. x NEW via @AP: Biden is beating Trump nationally among women by 16 points…
CBS Poll: Biden Leads by 4% in North Carolina and Has 1% Edge in Georgia
A newly released CBS/YouGov poll shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump 48% to 44% in North Carolina and by 46% to 45% in Georgia. cbsnews_20200802_GA_1 Further good news is Cal Cunningham is leading Republican incumbent Thom Tillis in the crucial North Carolina Senate race by 48% to 39%. Democrat Jon Ossof is only two points behind…
North Carolina Polls: Biden leads by 7%, Cooper by 20%, and Cunningham by 9%
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The NBC/Marist College Poll, a pollster rated A+ by 538, gives Joe Biden a significant lead of 7% in North Carolina, a state where the polls have been back and forth, usually within the margin of error. Biden has the support of 51% compared to 44% for Trump. Just as important is the 9%…
Quinnipiac: Biden Has 13% Lead in Florida; Fox Poll: Biden Has Major Leads in PA, MI, and MN
poll.qu.edu/… The Quinnipiac University Poll has just released a survey showing Joe Biden leading Trump by 51% to 38% in Florida, one of the largest swing states. The last time Quinnipiac polled Florida was in April when Biden had a 4% lead. Website 538 rates Quinnipiac as a B+ pollster. aarp-states.brightspotcdn.com/… Earlier today, St. Pete Polls…
State Poll Summary: Biden Holds 10% Margin; McConnell Only Leads by 4% in KY
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The year 2020 has been quite a year, and we are only about half way through. It is 110 days until the election and less than six weeks until the first absentee votes are cast. Trump is in trouble, but his polling isn’t getting worse as fast as the pandemic is spreading, at least if…
US still leads in COVID deaths, as Trump slows testing, visits Arizona today
Trump’s going to visit the three miles of new fence (197 miles are replacement fencing), and do undoubtedly another youth rally, remembering that the last one featured a presidential crest with golf clubs held by the eagle. A campaign shake-up looks to be ahead that might exclude Kushner while dumping Parscale, WHO says poor global leadership making…
Minnesota Poll: Biden leads by 16% and 57% approve of Black Lives Matter
http://www.gravismarketing.com/… Gravis Marketing released a poll today showing Joe Biden has a 58% to 42% lead in Minnesota, a closely divided state that was also the scene of racial and anti-police disturbances after the death of George Floyd on May 25. In addition to being a state that Donald Trump came within 1.5% of winning in…
KY-Sen: PPP Shows Moscow Mitch Only Leads Dems By 3 Points While Trump Beats Biden By 16 Points
Here’s the latest news out of Kentucky courtesy of Public Policy Polling: PPP’s newest Kentucky poll finds that Mitch McConnell continues to be unpopular in the state, with only 41% of voters approving of the job he’s doing to 48% who disapprove. Only 69% of Republicans approve of the job he’s doing, and independents split…
Latest Polls: Biden at 53% in Florida; Trump Leads by 2% in GA and 3% in NC
The website 538 lists five presidential polls in Florida since April 1 and Donald Trump does not lead in any of them. Each of the polls are by different pollsters and use different methodology. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Presidential polls florida Pollsters Biden Trump Dates Links Florida Atlantic University 53 47 5/8-5/12 business.fau.edu/… Fox News 46 43 4/18-4/21 http://www.scribd.com/……
IL-Sen: Dick Durbin (D) Leads The Call To Stop Moscow Mitch’s Protege From Becoming A Federal Judge
Received this e-mail today from U.S. Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin’s (D. IL) re-election campaign: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is bringing the Senate back in the middle of a pandemic to appoint Justin Walker, an unqualified judicial nominee described as a “McConnell protege.” There are more important things for the…
fools and their money: Trump leads Biden 50/44 in the betting markets
RCP has Trump over Biden 49.9 / 42.0. Even if you don’t wager, at present 538 thinks Trump remains dependent on an Electoral College win. It’s still about GOTV, despite all the impending constraints like vote-by-mail. Cautionary tails are being chased. This data highlights a few things. First, at least at the moment, Florida, Michigan,…
State Poll Summary: Biden Leads, But Swing States Are Still Close
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… A number of recent state polls have been released over the past week and almost all have good news for Biden. The bump Trump got in his approval in March is now history, in fact a Morning Consult Poll shows Trump’s rating of his handling of the pandemic has dropped 22 points since their…
welcome to unhingery: Trump says “Staying at home leads to death.”
Trump is implying he’s saved millions of lives since the death toll won’t be 2.2 million and is so willing to restart the economy that he claims that “Staying at home leads to death”. x Trump says it's true that opening up could lead to death, but: “Staying at home leads to death also. And…
My primary vote still went to Bernie but November will belong to Biden (who leads all polls)
Even as I started as a Harris supporter, and then went to Warren and now to Sanders, the goal remains the same. GOTV That goal remains the same in spite of the Sanders suspension of campaigning. It is not like 2016 as much as GOP magical thinking might be projected by Trump. It makes one wonder about…
