projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
While the polls are showing Joe Biden maintaining his lead (Siena +8%, and ABC News +10%), Senate polls are almost all favorable for Democratic candidates.
| State | Pollster & Rating | Democrat | Republican |
| AZ |
Hart (B/C)*
Data Prog. (B-) |
Kelly 55%
47% |
McSally 43%
38% |
| GA | YouGov (B) | Ossoff 42% | Perdue 47% |
| ME | Colby – | Gideon 45% | Collins 41% |
| MI |
Marist (A+)
Hart (B/C)* |
Peters 49%
50% |
James 43%
42% |
| MN | Suffolk (A) | Smith 45% | Lewis 35% |
| NC | YouGov (B) | Cunningham 48% | Tillis 38% |
| SC |
YouGov (B)
Brill. Corn. -* |
Harrison 44%
45% |
Lindsey 45%
43% |
| TX | Data Prog. (B-) | Hegar 38% | Cornyn 40% |
*= Partisan Poll
Incumbent Republican Senators are losing in Maine, Arizona, and North Carolina and are struggling in South Carolina, Texas, and Georgia. According to polls earlier this week, Republican seats are also in danger in Iowa and Kansas and the Georgia special election.
Colorado Senate race has also been moved to “Lean Democrat” by Cook Political Ratings. We could use new Senate polls from Alaska and Montana.
