CNN Poll: Biden Increases Lead to 16 Points

http://www.cnn.com/… A newly released Poll by CNN shows Joe Biden leading Trump 57% to 41% among likely voters nationally. The poll was taken October first through the fourth. The last head to head survey by CNN/SSRS was taken August 28 through September 1 and had Biden leading 51% to 43%. It is important to note that…

Polls Showed Nearly a Sea of Blue Before October Surprise

We don’t know how Trump’s infection by Covid-19 will affect the presidential race which has remained incredibly stable for more than a year. One would have to guess it will, to some degree, dishearten his supporters and destroy his narrative that the pandemic is pretty much going away. Most likely there will be no more presidential…

This Morning's Polls: Biden Winning WI (+9), AZ (+9), ME (+17), NC (+1)

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The top rated pollster Siena College/NYT Upshot gives Joe Biden a 17% lead in Maine, a 9% lead in Arizona, and a 1% edge in North Carolina. The polls were taken September 11-17 (10-16 for AZ) from likely voters by Siena, which is rated A+ by 538. Siena/NYT Upshot Poll Biden Trump Arizona 49% 40%…

Former Michigan GOP governor endorses Biden, calls Trump a 'bully'

Well, this sure isn’t good news for the guy who won Michigan by the gross, spray-tanned skin of his weird, wobbly dentures. Seems another GOP stalwart has jumped off the Donald Trump boat parade and onto the Biden juggernaut.  The Detroit News: Republican former Gov. Rick Snyder said Thursday he planned to vote for Democratic…

Early Voting Means We Need Early Counting

No question, the November election is shaping up to be a unique one. Between the pandemic, the sabotage of the Postal Service (and have you thanked a postal employee today? I have), the fear of longer lines at the fewer polling places, lots and lots of voters are planning to mail their ballots in as…

Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate can have some impact for that state’s Presidential or Senate elections, at least for states that having really close elections.  Most of these polls are by partisan…

Cook Report Moves 2 US House Races to Tossup, AZ CD-6 and MO CD-2

twitter.com/… Cook Political Report has changed its ratings on five US House races, four in the direction of the Democratic candidate. Kansas CD-2 became more likely to remain Republican after incumbent Steve Watkins-R lost his primary. Watkins was charged with voter fraud after he listed a UPS store as his official residence. David Schweikert of Arizona’s…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…