projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
While website 538 shows a small improvement in Joe Biden’s national polling average over the last few days from 6.6% on September 17 to 7.1% today, an ABC News/Washington Post Poll (rated A+) shows Trump taking slight leads in AZ and FL among likely voters.
The ABC Poll has Trump leading in Florida 51% to 47% among likely voters, but reverses the lead among registered voters with Biden leading 48% to 47%.
Likewise, the ABC Poll for Arizona shows Trump leading by 49% to 48% among likely voters, but has Biden leading 49% to 47% among registered voters.
Two other polls released today show Biden still having edges in both Florida and Arizona, and 538’s average of all polls has Biden leading in both states.
| Pollster & rating | Biden | Trump | 538 polling average | |
| AZ |
ABC/WP (A+)
CNBC Ch. Res. (C-) |
48%
49% |
49%
43% |
Biden +5% |
| FL |
ABC/WP (A+)
CNBC Ch. Res. (C-) St. Pete (C) |
47%
49% 50% |
51%
46% 47% |
Biden +1.7% |
| GA |
Monmouth (A+)
High turnout Low turnout |
46% 45% |
48% 50% |
Trump +1.8% |
| MI | CNBC Ch. Res. (C-) | 51% | 43% | Biden +7.7% |
| NC | CNBC CH. Res. (C-) | 48% | 46% | Biden +1.3% |
| PA | CNBC Ch. Res (C-) | 49% | 45% | Biden +4.6% |
| WI | CNBC CH. Res (C-) | 51% | 42% | Biden +6.6% |
