Poll Summary: Biden Expands National Lead Slightly as Polls in FL and AZ Conflict

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…

While website 538 shows a small improvement in Joe Biden’s national polling average over the last few days from 6.6% on September 17 to 7.1% today, an ABC News/Washington Post Poll (rated A+) shows Trump taking slight leads in AZ and FL among likely voters.

The ABC Poll has Trump leading in Florida 51% to 47% among likely voters, but reverses the lead among registered voters with Biden leading 48% to 47%.

Likewise, the ABC Poll for Arizona shows Trump leading by 49% to 48% among likely voters, but has Biden leading 49% to 47% among registered voters. 

Two other polls released today show Biden still having edges in both Florida and Arizona, and 538’s average of all polls has Biden leading in both states.

Today's state polls for the presidential race.
Pollster & rating Biden Trump 538 polling average
AZ ABC/WP (A+)

CNBC Ch. Res. (C-)

48%

49%

49%

43%

Biden +5%
FL ABC/WP (A+)

CNBC Ch. Res. (C-)

St. Pete   (C)

47%

49%

50%

51%

46%

47%

Biden +1.7%
GA Monmouth (A+)

High turnout

Low turnout

46%

45%

48%

50%

Trump +1.8%
MI   CNBC Ch. Res. (C-) 51% 43% Biden +7.7%
NC CNBC CH. Res. (C-) 48% 46% Biden +1.3%
PA CNBC Ch. Res (C-) 49% 45% Biden +4.6%
WI CNBC CH. Res (C-) 51% 42% Biden  +6.6%