Pennsylvania is Key to Victory

538 has a new web page up, 2020 Election Forecast, which shows the current state of vote predictions state by state, and is updated daily. It starts with 24 maps showing the combination of states that give either candidate a win. Right now, there are 5 winning combinations for Trump and 19 for Biden. Further…

Early Voting Means We Need Early Counting

No question, the November election is shaping up to be a unique one. Between the pandemic, the sabotage of the Postal Service (and have you thanked a postal employee today? I have), the fear of longer lines at the fewer polling places, lots and lots of voters are planning to mail their ballots in as…

Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate can have some impact for that state’s Presidential or Senate elections, at least for states that having really close elections.  Most of these polls are by partisan…

Cook Report Moves Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to Lean Democrat, Biden leading with 279 EV

cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report is shifting its ratings of the key states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”. Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district is also moved to “Lean Democrat” and Georgia is now a considered a “Tossup” state.  Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nebraska’s 2nd district move from Toss Up to Lean Democrat. Maine, once in Lean Democrat, moves to the…

State Poll Summary: Three Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Three separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton Strategies all released state polls, some of which are surprising positive for Joe Biden, especially Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Presidential State Polls with Pollsters Ratings by 538 State…

State Poll Summary: Four Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Four separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Fox News Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton Strategies all released state polls, some of which are surprising positive for Joe Biden, especially Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Presidential State Polls with Pollsters Ratings…

Renewable Energy Surges Past Coal in Production of US Electricity

The New York Times reports that renewable energy sources including wind and solar power are now regularly outproducing coal fired electric power plants in the United States. Just 10 years ago, almost 50 percent of electricity came from coal but lower costs are now driving up renewables and increasing making coal the dirty fuel of a…

The DNC Boosts The Pennsylvania Democratic Party's Vote-By-Mail Campaign

Received this e-mail from the Pennsylvania Democratic Party: Today we launched a campaign with @PADems to text over 400,000 voters and encourage vote-by-mail. This is just a part of our expansion of our digital organizing efforts to talk to voters during these unprecedented times and work to make sure Donald Trump is a one-term president….

Fox News Poll Has Joe Biden Beating Trump In Pennsylvania 50-42

Latest news out Pennsylvania courtesy of Fox News’ latest poll: With most Pennsylvania voters concerned about catching coronavirus and nearly six-in-ten believing the Trump administration was too slow to act, Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in that battleground state. Biden is preferred over Trump by 8 percentage points (50-42 percent), according to a Fox News…