Demographics

The usual handicapping for a new Fed Chair is happening, but likely it’s too early. Lael Brainard and William Spriggs would be front-runners. Jay Powell's term is up next February, when Biden can choose to extend his appointment. We’ll know so much more then, what with a looming recession. x Biden...

More
  • May 11, 2021

Matthew Dowd analyzes the Census and concludes with something I agree with. While the noise on the mainstream media is that it is a net loss for Democrats, I believe the converse is true. Matthew Dowd correct about census See full episodes here. It was refreshing listening to Matthew Dowd as he...

More
  • April 28, 2021

Friendly reminder, there’s a big Governor’s race in Virginia this year: Virginia Republican state Sen. Amanda Chase is no stranger to making provocative statements, and comments she made this week related to the Derek Chauvin murder trial have once again stirred up controversy. After a jury found Chauvin guilty of killing...

More
  • April 22, 2021

President Joe Biden announced today that every state has removed age eligibility for Covid-19 vaccinations so anyone 16 or over can received a Pfizer/BioNtech shot and anyone18 or over can receive a dose of Moderna’s vaccine. Biden’s goal of 200 million vaccinations in his first 100 days should be reached this Wednesday, eight days...

More
  • April 19, 2021

As of today, 50% of US residents over the age of 18 have been vaccinated with at least one shot for Covid-19. Yesterday’s report by the CDC showed 49.7% of adults have received the first injection while 31.8% have completed their vaccinations. The report also shows 39% of the total...

More
  • April 17, 2021

As of today, 50% of US residents over the age of 18 have been vaccinated with at least one shot for Covid-19. Yesterday’s report by the CDC showed 49.7% of adults have received the first injection while 31.8% have completed their vaccinations. The report also shows 39% of the total...

More
  • April 17, 2021

Republican Strategist says it plainly. The GOP has nothing to offer other than suppressing the vote of those unlikely to vote for them. Republican Strategist comes clean See full episodes here. Rick Tyler has always been partisan. To describe his former Republican Party as he is defining it now explains the...

More
  • March 29, 2021

The Trumpist GOP identifies its allegiances. Nice to see Philip Bump using DKos data. Eleven members of the House Republican caucus took the unusual step Thursday of supporting a Democratic-led effort to punish freshman Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) for comments she made before coming to Congress. It was the latest...

More
  • February 6, 2021

From The Intercept: IF SEN. DAVID PERDUE wins reelection in Georgia’s runoff in January, the Republican Party will almost certainly maintain its Senate majority. Perdue, an outspoken climate denier, urged President Donald Trump to withdraw from the Paris Climate Accords; voted against a Senate resolution that affirmed that climate change is real and that...

More
  • November 14, 2020

Here’s some encouraging news out of South Carolina courtesy of today Morning Consult’s poll: #ALsen:Tuberville (R) 51% (+12)Jones (D-inc) 39%.#KYsen:McConnell (R-inc) 51% (+11)McGrath (D) 40%.#TXsen:Cornyn (R-inc) 47% (+4)Hegar (D) 43%.#SCsen:Graham (R-inc) 46% (+2)Harrison (D) 44%@MorningConsult, LV, 10/22-31https://t.co/7AsGqSmIR8 — Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 2, 2020 From the results: That’s a pretty...

More
  • November 2, 2020

Gravis Marketing leads off with a 13 point lead for Joe Biden in Michigan. That would be a fantastic number if it is accurate.  It would mean Democrats would likely roll up good numbers in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. Even Ohio, which was 8% more Republican than Michigan in 2016, would...

More
  • October 25, 2020

Kathy Lewis is the grassroots candidate the Democratic Party should be yearning for throughout the country. Yet they failed her. If Kathy Lewis wins, she will have an earned independence x x YouTube Video See full episodes here. While doing hourly perusing at on articles by my favorite authors at DailyKos,...

More
  • October 14, 2020

Trump is in the swing states, repeating his tactic of 2016, drawing attention away from whatever other mischief is happening. The GOP herd immunity message is failing even as Trump attempts to normalize its death toll. Millions of Americans would die and immunity would still not be achieved, making “‘Donald Trump… the most...

More
  • October 14, 2020

Kudos to Josh Israel at The American Independent for catching this: In an interview with a local radio network, Perdue seemed to suggest that cutting funding to the popular entitlement programs — which provide health insurance and benefits to American seniors — would help reduce the national debt. “This is...

More
  • October 8, 2020
/ 2007 / 2016 / 2018 / 2020 / 2020election / 2021 / 46 / Abortion / Access / Administration / Ads / ALS / ALSEN / America / appointment / Austin / Ballot / Ballots / Barack Obama / Becoming / Beer / Beto / BetoORourke / biden / Bipartisan / Blue / BlueWave / Campaign / Campaigns / Cancer / CBS / Children / Clinton / CNN / Community / Confirmation / Conversation / Cornyn / CoronaVirus / CoronavirusCornyn / Counties / Court / Covid-19 / Ct / DACA / Dallas / Democracy / Democrat / Democrats / Demographics / Difference / Donald / Donald Trump / DonaldTrump / Donate / Dreamers / Economy / Election / Elections / Facts / Florida / friends / Fundraiser / Future / General / Ginsburg / GOP / Health / Health Care / Hearings / Help / Helping / Hillary / Hillary Clinton / Hispanics / House / Houston / Immigrants / Immigration / info / Integrity / Joe / John / Judiciary / Justice / Legal / Local / Love / Mail / McConnell / McGrath / Media / Men / Messaging / Military / Mitt Romney / MjHegar / MorningConsult / News / Nominations / Nominee / Nov / Obama / October / PAC / Pandemic / Parking / Party / Poison / Politics / Poll / Polling / Polls / Precedent / President / Presidential / Press / Primary / Progressive / qualified / Race / Reelection / Reform / Registration / Republican / Republicans / romney / Senate / Senators / September / Spanish / Speech / Spotlight / State / supporters / Ted Cruz / Texas / Time / Trump / Trust / Turnout / Volunteers / Vote / Voter / Voters / Voting / Washington / Workers

From The Houston Chronicle: Texas has once again shattered vote registration records, adding more than 1.5 million voters since the last presidential election. Texas now surpassed 16.6 million voters, according to the latest numbers announced Tuesday by Texas Secretary of State Ruth R. Hughs. And there are still almost two...

More
  • September 22, 2020

The summary of today's Trump presser: Trump defended Kyle Rittenhouse x Trump actually offers a defense of Kyle Rittenhouse, his right-wing supporter who killed two protesters. “I guess he was in very big trouble, he probably would've been killed.” pic.twitter.com/XFBtDOHP8y— Pod Save America (@PodSaveAmerica) August 31, 2020 x To be...

More
  • August 31, 2020

At some point someone must have told Donald Trump that he needs suburban women to win reelection — and that he’s losing them, badly. If there was one big takeaway from last night’s Kimberly Guilfoyle Ba’al summoning convention speeches, it’s that the suburbs will be abolished in Joe Biden’s America and anarchy...

More
  • August 25, 2020

Trump’s attempts to rationalize his future grievances resemble the excuses he’d created for an anticipated 2016 loss. He had hoped to grift for his quasi-empire from his opposition to a Clinton presidency when he gained it via the Electoral College. He’s repeating that tactic, only this time his adoption of the 1968...

More
  • July 31, 2020

I have mixed feelings about CNBC/Change Research’s polling but their recent poll tested three U.S. Senate race and here’s some good news: The failures of GOP governance are threatening Republicans' control of not only the White House, but also the Senate. Cal Cunningham leads Thom Tillis by a significant 12...

More
  • July 30, 2020

http://www.gravismarketing.com/… Gravis Marketing shows Trump with only a small lead in South Carolina, a state that has not supported a Democrat for President in the last 40 years. In the state of South Carolina where a Democratic nominee for President has not won since Jimmy Carter in 1976, a new...

More
  • July 19, 2020

Received this e-mail today from U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D. NY) in support of Cal Cunningham (D. NC), Jaime Harrison, Rev. Raphael Warnock (D. GA) and MJ Hegar’s (D. TX) U.S. Senate campaigns: Picture this: It’s January 2021, and the following Democrats are being sworn in to the Senate: Senator...

More
  • June 22, 2020

I’m liking CNN’s Chris Cillizza’s take here: On Thursday, Senate Democrats got a bit of an unexpected boost when Jon Ossoff eked above the 50% plateau in the party primary and, in so doing, avoided a runoff for the right to face Republican Sen. David Perdue in Georgia in the fall. In...

More
  • June 12, 2020

Some good news today out of Florida: FLORIDA Head-2-Head:Biden 52% (+4)Trump 48%@PBlankPolitical 5/14-17https://t.co/UwQao3ICaH https://t.co/gfuyJDkyeQ — Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) May 19, 2020 Here’s some more info: Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a small lead over President Donald Trump in a poll of likely Florida voters conducted by Point Blank Political....

More
  • May 19, 2020

How strange will it be that Trump will do things to attract reactionaries regardless of age grouping especially white ones at least until he can betray them after 3 November. x The First Lady is joining her less-popular husband tomorrow for a call with governors. She has advocated mask-wearing as...

More
  • May 18, 2020

Asshole: If a Supreme Court vacancy opens up this year, U.S. Sen. John Cornyn says the Senate has a “responsibility” to consider a nomination from President Donald Trump. But in 2016, Cornyn joined the GOP in refusing to consider any Obama nominees because “the presidential election is well underway.” With 87-year-old Justice Ruth Bader...

More
  • May 8, 2020

The New Republic has a new piece out about the upcoming U.S. Senate race between U.S. Senator “Leningrad Lindsey” Graham (R. SC) and Jaime Harrison (D. SC), who has proven to be one hell of a fundraiser and formidable opponent. The piece discusses the dynamics of the upcoming race and...

More
  • March 18, 2020

For those less familiar with forecasting, you might take a moment and read this Politico article on the person who accurately predicted the 2018 Blue Wave numbers. The problem of “It didn’t matter who was running; it mattered who was voting.” is that it needs much more testing especially in the context...

More
  • February 7, 2020

Fascinating, as the first vote in Port Charlotte, Florida had Klobuchar and Buttigieg in the lead in the first round. Watching real-time democratic processes can be fun despite Chris Cillizza and Scott Jennings on the CNN panel. The demographics reveal themselves with generally older voters in snowbird locations. x Update: the only thing...

More
  • February 3, 2020

Overview Since the earliest days of Donald Trump’s Presidency, we have attempted to catalog all of the harmful actions committed by his administration. Furthermore, by categorizing these actions by policy areas and scoring their relative impact, we have attempted to understand how the Administration operates and measure where it’s done...

More
  • January 20, 2020

I think one of the most exciting primaries for the U.S. Senate is the Democratic primary in Georgia to unseat U.S. Senator David Perdue (R. GA). Democrats are proving to be competitive in this changing deep red to purple state. With U.S. Senator Johnny Isakson (R. GA) retiring early due...

More
  • December 12, 2019
2000 / 2016 / 2018 / 2019 / 46 / Access / Accountability / Administration / Advocacy / alone / America / Americans / Art / Arts / Assault / Authority / Ballot / Black / Broken / Brown / Budgets / Bullying / Buses / Candidates / Capital / Capitol / caught / Challenge / Change / child care / Children / Cities / Civics / Civil Rights / classrooms / Climate / College / Community / Compensation / Confirmation / Congress / Congressional / Congressman / Connect / Constitution / Corporations / Corruption / Court / Courts / Crisis / Culture / cummings / Dark Money / Data / Dead / Debates / Debt / Decision / deduction / Demographics / Design / Detention / DeVos / Difference / Disabilities / Disability / Discrimination / Diversity / DOJ / Donald / Donald Trump / Donate / Economic / Education / effort / Elizabeth Warren / Empathy / Energy / Enforcement / English / Environment / Environmental Justice / Equality / ERA / Evidence / expansion / EXTRA / Extreme / Facebook / Fail / Failure / FAIR / Families / Family / Federal / Fight / Financial / Food / Fraud / Freedom / Funding / Future / GED / Gender / give / Google / Government / gun safety / Harassment / HBCUs / Health / Health Care / Hearing / heating / Help / Helping / History / Holidays / Homeless / Homelessness / Housing / Houston / humane / Hunger / IDEA / Immigration / Income / Inequality / Information / Infrastructure / Internet / Investigations / IRS / Judges / Justice / Kids / Latinx / Law / Leaders / Leadership / Legislation / legislators / LGBTQ / Listening / Lobbyists / Local / Losing / Massachusetts / members / Mental / mergers / Money / NAACP / New Jersey / Obama / Oklahoma / Oversight / Pacific / person / plans / Police / policies / Positive / Poverty / Power / Precedent / President / Press / Primary / Prison / problem / Progressive / Public / Questions / Race / Racist / redlining / Reform / Representation / Resist / Respect / Responsibility / Rich / Right To Work / Rules / safe / Safety / School / Schools / Security / Segregation / Separation / Service / Sex / Space / State / Stop / Strike / Students / subpoenas / Target / Tax / Taxes / Teacher / Teachers / Teaching / Technology / testing / Threat / toddlers / Transgender / Transition / Transparency / Trauma / Trump / Trust / Truth / Uncomfortable / Union / Unions / Universities / Vaccination / Values / Violence / warren / Washington / Water / Wealth / Wealthy / Whistleblower / WhistleBlowers / Women / Workers / Writing / Youth

I attended public school growing up in Oklahoma. After I graduated from the University of Houston, a public university where tuition cost only $50 a semester, my first job was as a special education teacher at a public school in New Jersey. I later attended a public law school. I...

More
  • November 18, 2019

Here’s the latest news out of Colorado: New Colorado polling released Thursday shows that John Hickenlooper leads Sen. Cory Gardner in a theoretical Senate matchup next year by 11 percentage points and that a majority of Coloradans support the House impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump. The Keating Research-OnSight Public Affairs-Martin...

More
  • October 18, 2019

Growing up as a black kid in America, the running blaxploitation film theme was getting “the man” before he got you. Donald Trump is un-circling the wagons for the white man’s last stand.  That last statement is not a blanket thrown over every white man or woman in America, and...

More
  • September 27, 2019

To many, Omaha Nebraska is where you could buy insurance from the company that sponsored the Wild Kingdom TV show.  Henry Fonda and Johny Carson were from Omaha.  The liberal billionaire, “Oracle” Warren Buffet, lives in Omaha. Yet for 50 years, Omaha also became the most segregated city in the US,...

More
  • September 22, 2019

  I have to preface this diary as “nine percent” guy (Warren supporter who has made up his mind already), but I wanted to share this view from The Hill about Elizabeth Warren: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) appears to be growing her share of support from black voters, who have been slow...

More
  • September 20, 2019

http://www.latimes.com/… Republican Congressman Paul Cook of Yucca Valley, California announced today he will not seek re-election as congressman for California’s 8th US House district but will instead run for a seat on the San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors. Republicans hold a lead of 4 percentage points in voter registration in...

More
  • September 17, 2019

Short Summary A large majority of respondents believed current diagnosis rates are under-diagnosing women relative to men Respondents tended to cite social expectations and biased diagnosis tools for this The online autistic community seems fairly diverse in terms of gender identity and age, and in particular there's a very large...

More
  • September 7, 2019

I am not sure if people realize the significance of the dramatic and probable, irreversible loss of Greenland's ice by warming oceans and atmospheric changes. Most of the time I feel a good majority simply don’t give a rat’s ass. Here is a tip for you, if you even bothered...

More
  • August 16, 2019

Breaking: SHAZAM! Iowa:Warren 28%Biden 17%Sanders 17%Buttigieg 13%Harris 8%Booker 3%O'Rourke 3% Change Research poll, caveats apply, please read all fine print, all wagers finalhttps://t.co/zAXhmsvbf3 — David S. Bernstein (@dbernstein) August 15, 2019 Here’s some more info: Elizabeth Warren’s early investment in Iowa is paying off. A new Iowa Starting Line-Change Research...

More
  • August 15, 2019

(Disclaimer: IANAL) The GOP and the Trump administration have been trying all kinds of ways to skew the 2020 census toward traditionally Republican states. It’s now getting attention that they had more sneaks in mind than mucking up the census questionnaire. Another of their tactics is being noticed: Getting the...

More
  • August 12, 2019

Martha McSally ran for Congress multiple times in 2012, both in a special election that year and in the regular election. She lost both races. She tried a third time in the wave election year of 2014 and won by the skin of her teeth—under 200 votes. She then ran for...

More
  • July 5, 2019

Martha McSally ran for Congress multiple times in 2012, both in a special election that year and in the regular election. She lost both races. She tried a third time in the wave election year of 2014, and won by the skin of her teeth—under 200 votes.  She then ran...

More
  • July 5, 2019

We received some very big news in New Mexico yesterday: Rep. Ben Ray Luján plans to run for the Senate in New Mexico and is set to officially announce his candidacy Monday, according to two sources familiar with the Democrat’s decision. The seat opened after Democratic incumbent Tom Udall announced Monday he would not...

More
  • March 29, 2019

I’m loving this:  Texas Democrats are waiting for the news from U.S. Rep. Joaquín Castro on whether they’ll have another competitive Senate race this year. There is anticipation that he’ll soon announce if he’ll take on longtime Republican incumbent John Cornyn, the state’s senior senator, and with that anticipation is...

More
  • March 25, 2019

While Beto O’Rourke is passing on another U.S. Senate run, you should still be super excited about this U.S. Senate race because we are going to be landing one Hell of a candidate: U.S. Rep. Joaquin Castro appears likely to forgo re-election next year and instead challenge U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas. According...

More
  • March 21, 2019

Well, it’s not like they can say that they weren’t warned. The “autopsy report” following the 2012 election was both blunt, and honest. It said that the GOP, in its current iteration, was dying. It’s core constituency was mainly white, older, rural, less educated men, heavy emphasis on the older. Every...

More
  • March 19, 2019

http://www.texasmonthly.com/… Texas Monthly reports that Congressman Joaquin Castro will run against Texas Republican Senator John Cornyn in 2020 possibly boosting Hispanic turnout and putting that state into play for the Presidential race. Castro, the Democratic congressman from San Antonio, “is all but certain” to enter next year’s race for U.S....

More
  • March 15, 2019

In a 1991 James Fallows wrote a piece in the Atlantic trying to explain what exactly he found so obnoxious about the magazine, the Economist. To do this he related an anecdote about a government official going on to him about about he’d just read on Japan’s economic miracle. This book, he...

More
  • March 13, 2019

The U.S. — The downtrodden and the wanna-haves, the disillusioned and the government haters, were on the warpath again. Which means that political ads were on television again. One charlatan Republican spoke directly to the disenfranchised among us. “Europe and China are fucking us on jobs and trade, and immigrants are...

More
  • March 12, 2019

It’s starting to sink in: Republican Sen. Cory Gardner helped mastermind the GOP’s midterm strategy of pushing Senate candidates closer to President Donald Trump. But heading into his own 2020 re-election bid in Colorado, he’s allowing more distance with the not-so-popular president. And he’s not alone. Sen. Thom Tillis of...

More
  • January 22, 2019
Available for Amazon Prime