Fox News Polls: Biden MI +12%, PA +5%, WI 5%, OH -3%

In a day full of polls, Fox News adds to the stack of largely favorable surveys for Joe Biden. These polls of likely voters were taken October 17-20; 538 rates Fox News Poll as A-. Presidential Polls published 10/21 (after 4 p.m.) ST. Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Others Trump 16 MI Fox News A- Data Prog. 52%…

Siena Poll: Biden +4% in NC; Quinnipiac Poll: Biden +7% in GA, +1% in OH

int.nyt.com/… The NYT/Siena Poll, rated A+ by 538, shows Joe Biden with a 46% to 42% lead over Trump in North Carolina with minor party candidates taking 4% of the vote.  Meanwhile, Democratic candidate for Senate, Cal Cunningham, leads Republican incumbent Thom Tillis by 41% to 37%, with 7% going to others in the race….

Biden +13% in PA, +11% in FL, +5% in IA; Will Begin Ads in Texas

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Let’s start by saying the national polls don’t look promising for Trump. YouGov, a B rated pollster, has Biden leading 51% to 42%, and USC Dornsife, B/C rated, has him ahead 53% to 42%. The unkindest poll of all for Trump is Rasmussen, C rated, which has Biden leading 52% to 40%. The state polls…

NBC Poll Shows Biden Expanding Lead to 14% After Debate

The NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll, rated A- by 538, has Joe Biden leading Trump 53% to 39%. The poll of registered voters was taken September 30 through October 1 after Tuesday’s debate but before Trump’s positive test for Coronavirus was made public. assets.documentcloud.org/… Joe Biden’s national lead over President Donald Trump nearly doubled after Tuesday’s presidential…

Polls Show Some Republican House Seats Surprisingly Competitive in Swing States

A number of swing states or potential swing states have recent polls showing tighter than expected races in some Republican districts, including some incumbents. A poor showing by a congressional candidate can have some impact for that state’s Presidential or Senate elections, at least for states that having really close elections.  Most of these polls are by partisan…

Cook Political Report Shifts Ratings on 6 US House Races, 5 Towards Democrats

cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report has shifted six US Houses, five in the direction of the Democratic candidates. A week ago Cook changed ratings on five Senate seats all in the direction of the Democratic candidate, and said the Democrats are now favored to take control of the upper house this fall. thehill.com/… Two weeks ago, the…

Only 32% Approve of Trump's Handling of Pandemic

apnews.com/… Public approval of Donald Trump’s handling of the Covid-19 pandemic continues its death glide, according to a survey by The Associated Press-NORC Poll. It is so sad that it takes the deaths of thousands of Americans each week to convince Trump’s devoted followers to abandon him. The poll finds that currently of 32% of voters support the President’s attempts at…

Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…

“Operation Grant” – targeting Ohio (Lincoln Project & RVAT)

No Republican has ever been elected without winning Ohio. Now two groups, The Lincoln Project and Republican Voters Against Trump, have joined together to target Ohio. As you can read in this Cleveland Plain Dealer article: Both The Lincoln Project and Republican Voters Against Trump are going up on the airwaves in a plan they’ve…

State Poll Summary: Three Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Three separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton Strategies all released state polls, some of which are surprising positive for Joe Biden, especially Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Presidential State Polls with Pollsters Ratings by 538 State…

State Poll Summary: Four Pollsters Release Numbers That Will Give Republicans Major Headaches

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Four separate pollsters released swing state polls today that might give Republicans serious health issues. The Sienna/New York Times Poll, Fox News Poll, Hodas and Associates, and Redfield and Wilton Strategies all released state polls, some of which are surprising positive for Joe Biden, especially Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Presidential State Polls with Pollsters Ratings…

State Poll Summary: Is Trump's Base Starting to Crack?

The New York Times reports that the Trump campaign is deeply worried about their candidate’s internal polls, and if they are anything like the publicly available polls, one can see why. National polls still show Joe Biden leading by seven or eight points on average though some of the higher quality polls are starting to…

Trump Polling Worse on Pandemic Than All 50 Governors

A survey of nearly 23,000 Americans across every state shows Donald Trump’s response to the pandemic gets a lower rating than every governor in their own state.  While this is not too surprising considering none of the governors (to my knowledge) has mused about people being injected with cleaning fluids, it is interesting to see how…