CBS Poll: Biden Leads by 4% in North Carolina and Has 1% Edge in Georgia

A newly released CBS/YouGov poll shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump 48% to 44% in North Carolina and by 46% to 45% in Georgia. cbsnews_20200802_GA_1 Further good news is Cal Cunningham is leading Republican incumbent Thom Tillis in the crucial North Carolina Senate race by 48% to 39%.  Democrat Jon Ossof is only two points behind…

Cook Political Report Shifts Ratings on 6 US House Races, 5 Towards Democrats

cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report has shifted six US Houses, five in the direction of the Democratic candidates. A week ago Cook changed ratings on five Senate seats all in the direction of the Democratic candidate, and said the Democrats are now favored to take control of the upper house this fall. thehill.com/… Two weeks ago, the…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden

insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…

State Poll Summary: Trump Keeps Digging a Deeper Hole

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Most state polling and national averages are showing Joe Biden is maintaining a lead over Trump around eight points better than Hillary Clinton received in 2016, a 10% lead overall. According to website 538, Trump’s approval rate average is 40.4% with a disapproval of 55.8%, -15.4%. This is the worst for Trump since February 2019….

Cook Report Moves Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to Lean Democrat, Biden leading with 279 EV

cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report is shifting its ratings of the key states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”. Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district is also moved to “Lean Democrat” and Georgia is now a considered a “Tossup” state.  Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nebraska’s 2nd district move from Toss Up to Lean Democrat. Maine, once in Lean Democrat, moves to the…

State Poll Summary: Trump Slump Continues

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The two major national polls released today are Quinnipiac which shows Biden with an 8% lead and  the Fox News Poll which has Biden with a 12% lead. An average of 10% seems about right and mostly agrees with the state polls. Website 538 shows Trump’s average approval looking at many polls is 41.4% versus…