PCCC Shifts Focus On Flipping State Legislative Seats In PA, NC, IA, MI, WI & WV

Received this e-mail from the Progressive Change Campaign Committee: The election experts at The Cook Political Report just UPGRADED ratings for Democrats chances to win control over 8 state legislative chambers in states such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Michigan. This was their second major upgrade since this summer. Can you donate to progressive champions in extremely…

State Polls: Biden Tied in TX, +8 PA, +4 FL, +5 IA, +9 NV, +10 MN

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… It’s nearly all plus signs for Joe Biden in today’s state polls. The forecast from 538 has Biden with a 87% of winning and a 10% national lead (some of today’s national polls are quite Republican). Being tied at 47% in Texas is a great achievement for the Biden campaign. poll.qu.edu/… Among those who will vote…

Trump Hands Iowa to Biden

Well, Trump just guaranteed that Iowa will go for Biden: He threatened (promised) Iowans that if they don’t vote for him, he’s never coming back to Iowa again. x The President says if he doesn’t win Iowa, he’ll never return to Iowa again pic.twitter.com/YEdl5DoOY4— Acyn Torabi (@Acyn) October 15, 2020 Judging by the retweets, Iowans…

Biden +13% in PA, +11% in FL, +5% in IA; Will Begin Ads in Texas

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Let’s start by saying the national polls don’t look promising for Trump. YouGov, a B rated pollster, has Biden leading 51% to 42%, and USC Dornsife, B/C rated, has him ahead 53% to 42%. The unkindest poll of all for Trump is Rasmussen, C rated, which has Biden leading 52% to 40%. The state polls…

Polls Showed Nearly a Sea of Blue Before October Surprise

We don’t know how Trump’s infection by Covid-19 will affect the presidential race which has remained incredibly stable for more than a year. One would have to guess it will, to some degree, dishearten his supporters and destroy his narrative that the pandemic is pretty much going away. Most likely there will be no more presidential…

Trump's Evangelicals and How to Woo Them

There’s a major story in the Sunday New York Times about Trump’s hold on evangelical Christians: ‘Christianity Will Have Power’ The headline is a quote from the same speech Trump gave in which he said he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue and not lose any votes. The 67-minute speech Mr. Trump gave that day…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…

Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden

insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…