Received this e-mail from the Progressive Change Campaign Committee: The election experts at The Cook Political Report just UPGRADED ratings for Democrats chances to win control over 8 state legislative chambers in states such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Michigan. This was their second major upgrade since this summer. Can you donate to progressive champions in extremely…
Category: Iowa
State Polls: Biden Tied in TX, +8 PA, +4 FL, +5 IA, +9 NV, +10 MN
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… It’s nearly all plus signs for Joe Biden in today’s state polls. The forecast from 538 has Biden with a 87% of winning and a 10% national lead (some of today’s national polls are quite Republican). Being tied at 47% in Texas is a great achievement for the Biden campaign. poll.qu.edu/… Among those who will vote…
Trump Hands Iowa to Biden
Well, Trump just guaranteed that Iowa will go for Biden: He threatened (promised) Iowans that if they don’t vote for him, he’s never coming back to Iowa again. x The President says if he doesn’t win Iowa, he’ll never return to Iowa again pic.twitter.com/YEdl5DoOY4— Acyn Torabi (@Acyn) October 15, 2020 Judging by the retweets, Iowans…
Top-Rated Poll Shows Biden with 10% Lead in Wisconsin and 8% Lead in Michigan
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The NYT/Siena Poll, rated A+ by 538, has Joe Biden with a 48% to 40% lead in Michigan and a 51% to 41% lead in Wisconsin. The polls are of likely voters and were taken October 8-11. New polls show Biden is gaining in the Northern battlegrounds among white voters… Four years ago, Mr….
Biden +13% in PA, +11% in FL, +5% in IA; Will Begin Ads in Texas
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Let’s start by saying the national polls don’t look promising for Trump. YouGov, a B rated pollster, has Biden leading 51% to 42%, and USC Dornsife, B/C rated, has him ahead 53% to 42%. The unkindest poll of all for Trump is Rasmussen, C rated, which has Biden leading 52% to 40%. The state polls…
Polls Showed Nearly a Sea of Blue Before October Surprise
We don’t know how Trump’s infection by Covid-19 will affect the presidential race which has remained incredibly stable for more than a year. One would have to guess it will, to some degree, dishearten his supporters and destroy his narrative that the pandemic is pretty much going away. Most likely there will be no more presidential…
CNBC Poll Shows Biden Leads by 13% Nationally; Greenfield Takes Big Lead for Iowa Senate
thehill.com/… The CNBC/Change Research Poll shows Joe Biden with the support of 54% of likely voters compared to 41% for Trump. Only 29% of voters thought Trump performed better in the first debated compared to 53% for Biden. Still, the debate doesn’t appear to have had a significant impact on the state of the presidential…
Cook Report Moves IA and OH Presidential Races to Tossup; 7 US House Races Shifted
cookpolitical.com/… Consistent polling weakness in two Midwestern states that Trump won easily four years ago has convinced Cook Political Report to move Iowa and Ohio from Lean Republican to Tossup. In June they moved both states from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Trump is polling much worse among white voters in both states than what he…
NC, ME, SC, MT, IA & AZ-Sen: Robert Reich Wants You To Pay Attention To These 6 Senate Races
Former Secretary of Labor, Robert Reich, has a piece out in Salon and video up on YouTube where he focuses on flipping the U.S. Senate, Specifically on these 6 Senate races: 1. North Carolina: Thom Tillis (R. NC) vs Cal Cunningham (D. NC) 2. Maine: Susan Collins (R. ME) vs Sara Gideon (D. ME) 3….
Top Rated Pollster Shows Biden Leading by 3% in IA and Tied in GA; Trump +3% in TX
http://www.nytimes.com/… The A+ rated NYT/Siena College Poll released this morning shows that Joe Biden is leading in Iowa 45% to 42% and is tied in Georgia with 45%. Trump has a 45% to 42% lead in Texas. Seltzer & Co., another A+ rated pollster, released a poll two days ago with ties in both Iowa and Georgia. This…
This Morning's Polls Show Biden Tied in Iowa and Georgia
Seltzer & Co., an A+ rated pollster from Iowa, published a poll that shows Joe Biden and Trump are tied in that state at 47% each. The survey shows 3% undecided and 4% supporting someone else. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/… Iowa has emerged as an unlikely battleground state this year after Trump carried it by 9 percentage points and Republicans made…
Senate Polls: Ossoff Tied in GA, Bullock -1% in MT, Greenfield +3 in IA
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Polls this weekend are showing a number of close races for Republican held US Senate seats. Democrats have a pretty good chance of winning the upper body of Congress. The same set of polls showed Trump has a 1% edge in Georgia and leads by only 2% in Texas. Trumps leads by 7% in…
Tucker Carlson gives cover to a domestic terrorist who killed two and shot others.
The Kenosha killer was apparently a Trumpist, and wasn’t immediately arrested, even as the police witnessed several people being shot. Jacob Blake’s assailant has also yet to be arrested. Tucker Carlson weighs in on the side of the 17-year old shooter, pitching for a pardon. x Fox News hosts are able to do this because…
Trump's Evangelicals and How to Woo Them
There’s a major story in the Sunday New York Times about Trump’s hold on evangelical Christians: ‘Christianity Will Have Power’ The headline is a quote from the same speech Trump gave in which he said he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue and not lose any votes. The 67-minute speech Mr. Trump gave that day…
State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…
State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…
Cook Report: Democrats Are Favored to Take the US Senate; Florida Changed to “Lean Biden”
cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report has changed the ratings on five US Senate races. In their opinion, the odds now favor Democrats making a net gain of five to seven Senate seats, enough to control the upper house. July Ratings Changes: Arizona: Martha McSally (R) — Toss Up → Lean D Iowa: Joni Ernst (R) — Lean R → Toss Up…
Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates
centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…
Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden
insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…
Minnesota Poll: Biden leads by 16% and 57% approve of Black Lives Matter
http://www.gravismarketing.com/… Gravis Marketing released a poll today showing Joe Biden has a 58% to 42% lead in Minnesota, a closely divided state that was also the scene of racial and anti-police disturbances after the death of George Floyd on May 25. In addition to being a state that Donald Trump came within 1.5% of winning in…