projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…
Category: Iowa
State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…
Cook Report: Democrats Are Favored to Take the US Senate; Florida Changed to “Lean Biden”
cookpolitical.com/… Cook Political Report has changed the ratings on five US Senate races. In their opinion, the odds now favor Democrats making a net gain of five to seven Senate seats, enough to control the upper house. July Ratings Changes: Arizona: Martha McSally (R) — Toss Up → Lean D Iowa: Joni Ernst (R) — Lean R → Toss Up…
Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates
centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…
Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden
insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…
Minnesota Poll: Biden leads by 16% and 57% approve of Black Lives Matter
http://www.gravismarketing.com/… Gravis Marketing released a poll today showing Joe Biden has a 58% to 42% lead in Minnesota, a closely divided state that was also the scene of racial and anti-police disturbances after the death of George Floyd on May 25. In addition to being a state that Donald Trump came within 1.5% of winning in…
State Poll Summary: Trump Slump Continues
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The two major national polls released today are Quinnipiac which shows Biden with an 8% lead and the Fox News Poll which has Biden with a 12% lead. An average of 10% seems about right and mostly agrees with the state polls. Website 538 shows Trump’s average approval looking at many polls is 41.4% versus…
State Poll Summary: Consensus to Fire Trump Is Building
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Donald Trump can’t get no respect these days. The coronavirus won’t disappear as he said it would, and CNN won’t retract their national poll saying he’s 14 points behind Biden. To top that off, the Dow Jones Industrial stock index dropped 1861 (-6.9%) points today when Wall Street suddenly discovered we are in a recession….
IA-Sen: Sen. Mazie Hirono (D. HI) Helps Theresa Greenfield (D) Take Away Moscow Mitch's Majority
Received this e-mail today from U.S. Senator Mazie Hirono (D. HI) in support of Theresa Greenfield’s (D. IA) U.S. Senate campaign: Theresa Greenfield (D. IA) Folks, we need to flip four seats to take back the Senate this year, and the path to victory runs right through Iowa. Theresa Greenfield is running in Iowa’s Senate…
State Poll Summary: Senate Surveys Sweeten
fivethirtyeight.com This week’s presidential and senate polls continue to show a weakening of Republican strength, with Biden having about a seven or eight point national lead. Website 538’s average of Trump approval polls is minus 11% (53.6% to 42.6%), the worse it has been since December. Last week the same average was 10.1%. The Trump…
State Polling Summary: Hitting the Fan Edition
This week pollsters have fed us a fair size helping of state polls. Most of which should give Republicans heartburn. The only good poll for Trump is a Hodas and Associates poll showing Trump four points ahead in Pennsylvania, but you can explain that by the breakdown, 43.2% Republican to 36.7% Democratic, in that particular survey. Six other polls…
Michigan Secretary of State Destroys Trump's Claim on Mailing Absentee Applications
Michigan’s Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson tweeted a response to Trump’s claim that mailing out absentee ballot applications to all voters is illegal, pointing out that a number of Republican states are doing the same thing for the primaries. Trump has threatened to withhold federal election funding from Michigan and Nevada over their attempts to…
All California Voters Will Receive Mail Ballots this Fall
California’s Democratic Governor Gavin Newson is having a ballot mailed to every voter in the state for this fall’s election and strongly urging every voter to vote by mail or adhere to strict new rules for voting in person to preserve public health in the pandemic. http://www.latimes.com/… California currently has a patchwork system for voting…
Oops! Iowa Gov. Reynolds Says Some Test Iowa Samples Were “Potentially Damaged.”
Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds stated today that “some” of the Test Iowa samples for COVID-19 were “potentially damaged.” Some coronavirus test samples processed under Gov. Kim Reynolds’ “Test Iowa” program could not be processed because they were “potentially damaged,” resulting in incomplete results for an unclear number of Iowans. Pat Garrett, a spokesman for Reynolds,…
Huh? Report That COVID-19 Test Out of Utah Under Reports Positive Results. Same Test Used in Iowa.
The Salt Lake Tribune is reporting that there may be problems with a coronavirus test out of Utah run by UtahTest.com. Basically, UtahTest is reporting less than half the positive test results as those performed with other tests in other parts of Utah. Why this might be bad enough for the residents of Utah who…
IA-Sen: Chuck Schumer (D. NY) Helps Theresa Greenfield (D) Take Away Moscow Mitch's Majority
Received this e-mail today from U.S. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D. NY) in support of Theresa Greenfield’s (D. IA) U.S. Senate campaign: Democrats only need to flip FOUR seats to take back the U.S. Senate, and Theresa Greenfield's race in Iowa is one of our best chances to win. In a moment, I'm going to ask you…
Meat Packing Towns Are Hotspots for Virus Endangering Workers and Food Supply
http://www.bloomberg.com/… (April 17) Meat packing centers in the Midwest are some of the fastest growing pandemic centers, according to Bloomberg News, the New York Times, and other news media. Workers in some plants complain about close working conditions and lack of protective equipment. Industry analysts see supply disruptions and higher prices. Fortunately, the food supply is not thought…
BS Alert: Iowa Public Health Department Claiming That Coronavirus Curve Is Flattening There.
The Iowa Public Health Department has made the following announcement: Although the number of new cases of COVID-19 reported in Iowa hit a one-day high of 125, state health officials said Thursday they are beginning to see an overall flattening of the curve. With the deaths of two Linn County residents, 29 Iowans now have died…
Media Treatment of Democrats: Why I Almost Feel Sorry For Joe Biden.
I almost feel sorry for Joe Biden, especially with regards to how the Media has turned on him after he lost in both Iowa and New Hampshire. Let me explain. Since Joe Biden got into the race for the Democratic nomination, the Media and the Biden campaign have been telling the rest of the voting…
#VoteBlueWhateverYouDo … How valuable are the Low-Information Voters in 2020
The Iowa caucus was informative in terms of the current status of low information voting, no different than Rush LImbaugh expressing his horror at Buttigieg kissing his husband following the debate. Accordingly The Trump media operation “reveals” he’s tolerant of voting for someone gay, so how does the hypothetical of voting for a democratic socialist…
