State Poll Summary: Surveys From 18 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

State Poll Summary: Surveys From 19 States, Biden Has Georgia on the Mind

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The last couple of days has provided a smorgasbord of state polling, including a number of states that are seldom surveyed. Recent Presidential State Polls State Date Pollster/Rating Biden Trump Trump Margin Trump 2016 AK 7/24 PPP              B 44% 50% +6% +15.2% AZ 7/26 Morn. Con. B/C 49% 42%…

Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…

Inside Elections Changes Ratings on 17 States Toward Biden

insideelections.com/… Inside Elections is the latest political organization to shift its election ratings toward the Democratic candidate. In the Presidential race, it now rates the states of Arizona, Florida, and Wisconsin as “Tilt Democrat” as well as shifting Michigan and Pennsylvania to “Lean Democrat”. Georgia is a “Tossup” and Texas is “Tilt Republican”. Analyzing a combination of…

State Poll Summary: Trump Slump Continues

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… The two major national polls released today are Quinnipiac which shows Biden with an 8% lead and  the Fox News Poll which has Biden with a 12% lead. An average of 10% seems about right and mostly agrees with the state polls. Website 538 shows Trump’s average approval looking at many polls is 41.4% versus…

State Poll Summary: Consensus to Fire Trump Is Building

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/… Donald Trump can’t get no respect these days. The coronavirus won’t disappear as he said it would, and CNN won’t retract their national poll saying he’s 14 points behind Biden. To top that off, the Dow Jones Industrial stock index dropped 1861 (-6.9%) points today when Wall Street suddenly discovered we are in a recession….

State Poll Summary: Senate Surveys Sweeten

fivethirtyeight.com This week’s presidential and senate polls continue to show a weakening of Republican strength, with Biden having about a seven or eight point national lead. Website 538’s average of Trump approval polls is minus 11% (53.6% to 42.6%), the worse it has been since December. Last week the same average was 10.1%. The Trump…

State Polling Summary: Hitting the Fan Edition

This week pollsters have fed us a fair size helping of state polls. Most of which should give Republicans heartburn. The only good poll for Trump is a Hodas and Associates poll showing Trump four points ahead in Pennsylvania, but you can explain that by the breakdown, 43.2% Republican to 36.7% Democratic, in that particular survey. Six other polls…

Oops! Iowa Gov. Reynolds Says Some Test Iowa Samples Were “Potentially Damaged.”

Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds stated today that “some” of the Test Iowa samples for COVID-19 were “potentially damaged.”   Some coronavirus test samples processed under Gov. Kim Reynolds’ “Test Iowa” program could not be processed because they were “potentially damaged,” resulting in incomplete results for an unclear number of Iowans. Pat Garrett, a spokesman for Reynolds,…

#VoteBlueWhateverYouDo … How valuable are the Low-Information Voters in 2020

The Iowa caucus was informative in terms of the current status of low information voting, no different than Rush LImbaugh expressing his horror at Buttigieg kissing his husband following the debate. Accordingly The Trump media operation “reveals” he’s tolerant of voting for someone gay, so how does the hypothetical of voting for a democratic socialist…