2020Electio

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Trump lacks a key element that helped his 2016 victory: undecided voters who broke late to him

 Count every vote. #CountEveryVote x Remember that America is a democracy. Every vote deserves to be counted, no matter what Trump and Republicans say https://t.co/HcHI6D5t0N— Barbara Malmet (@B52Malmet) November 3, 2020 x #BREAK Election eve and Twitter has labeled a Trump tweet as misleading. Removed ability for tweet to be retweeted....

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  • November 3, 2020
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Calm down. GOTV. Individual polls still need to be ignored as Biden still leads

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Is getting angry better than being nervous. One poll does not a victory make. Nate Cohn calls the Selzer poll result for Iowa a “miss”, but it does suggest a trend, like the closing state poll in Florida. More useful is Cohn’s conclusion that at this moment Biden wins with...

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  • November 1, 2020
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Exurban sprawl libertarians become a tasty treat as Trump campaign tries to kill its own voters

Negligence is not a feature of libertarianism but it is a tasty bug as the Trump campaign ignores local ordinances and continues to spread the pandemic, mainly in smaller US cities that have large enough airport hangars. The Trump strategy of herd immunity will kill over a half-million people before a...

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  • October 14, 2020
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Kamala Harris responds to Trump SCOTUS selection

Originally scheduled for 215pm ET at Shaw University, an HBCU in Raleigh NC. Will try to live blog below. x YouTube Video Also on C-Span RALEIGH, N.C. — Sen. Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice presidential candidate, will visit Raleigh on Monday for a speech in which she will touch on the...

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  • September 28, 2020
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Brad Parscale out as Trump campaign manager (Remember the Manafort!)

Today in disinformation: the plan continues to be no plan, increasing our information search-costs. The best example of that is removing as campaign manager, Brad Parscale, the real manipulator of the real and imagined 2016 data-sets in the swing-states. What is normal functioning for Trump has been disinformation, as he...

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  • July 16, 2020
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TX-Sen: PPP Shows A 2 Point Race In Both Senate & Presidential Races

Some big news today out of Texas: x POLL RESULTS: Biden is within striking distance of Trump in Texas 👏 [THREAD]#txlege #2020Electionhttps://t.co/Er6Z2APRlt— Progress Texas (@ProgressTX) June 23, 2020 x In June 2018, then-Senate candidate @BetoORourke was polling 5 points behind Cruz -> https://t.co/G5o2i8Mi1o He then went on to lose by...

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  • June 23, 2020
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darn that hyperarousal – 2016 can still repeat, despite Trump blowing it in 70-days of deadly delay

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2020 will again be about margins in marginal areas. x Here is Trump's approval rating in each of the 50 states converted into Electoral College format, via @Civiqs. https://t.co/I9N8fmN4KT pic.twitter.com/VvtJjC8NzT— Matt Rogers (@Politidope) April 7, 2020 One would be optimistic but we know how that optimism failed in 2016. x...

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  • April 8, 2020
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#BlueNoMatterWho …wait until super-Tuesday because 'all your base are belong to us'

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Still early days, even as there will be a pie-fight at the debate tonight. Clarity will arrive on super-Tuesday. The real question will occur when we see whether there are limits to various facts such as who are the real ‘base’ for each primary candidate. One example would be whether Sanders...

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  • February 19, 2020
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CO-Sen: Cory Gardner (R) Just Wrote His Own Political Obituary

Dead Man Walking: Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) doesn’t want to hear from witnesses in President Donald Trump’s impeachment trial. Gardner confirmed his stance in a statement to Colorado Politics on Wednesday. The electorally vulnerable senator, who is up for reelection in 2020, had been viewed as a potential “yes” vote...

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  • January 30, 2020
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