In 2016, the last 9 @USCDornsife polls showed Trump leading Clinton. This time it's much better.

There’s better news for 2020 because the Dornsife poll had predicted the approaching bad news for Clinton in the 2016 election, however accidentally. Biden is in much better shape with three weeks left. But there will be disinformation as the GOP gets desperate. For example, it can be hazardous to draw broad conclusions from voter registration statistics. 

Now, 53.36% Biden vs 41.61% Trump (11.75 point difference) as of Oct. 10 in the #USC Dornsife daily tracking poll. New high water mark for Biden in this poll.

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The 2020 USC Dornsife Presidential Election Poll is tracking changes in Americans' opinions throughout a campaign for the White House. Around 6000 respondents in our representative panel are asked questions every other week on what they care about most in the election, and on their attitudes toward their preferred candidates.

The “Daybreak poll” is updated just after midnight every day of the week. Each day’s data point represents the estimate among voters over the previous fourteen days, representing the poll's full sample. We also offer a 7-day graph which shows more variation due to it relying on a half sample. For more information about the poll and its available data and information, visit the survey methods tab. We have corrected an error in the integration of early voting into the probability-based models. The current graphs reflect corrected values for data points from 9/22 through 10/02. (https://election.usc.edu/)

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— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 10, 2020

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— ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) October 11, 2020

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— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 11, 2020

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— Charles Wang (@charleswangb) October 7, 2020

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