A few not so random thoughts on the election

written by someone who not an expert in polling, has not been personally active in a political campaign since 2006, and has had far less time and energy to devote to political matters this election cycle. Thus, this is a general sense of what I think is happening. It builds a little bit on Let’s…

Tropical Storm May Hit Gulf Coast Wednesday

Though the long term weather forecast for most of the US looks fairly mild November 3, a tropical storm is projected to hit the Gulf Coast Wednesday. It is then projected to move across the southern Appalachians on Thursday. This could suppress early-in-person votes for a day or two for the Florida Panhandle.  x Hurricane…

Let's try some electoral math

this is just a thinking exercise We are currently getting 5million votes per day.  That will drop on weekends a bit PERHAPS if some states don’t allow voting on either Saturday or Sunday. We have AT LEAST 42 Million votes in already. In 2016 there were approximately 135 million votes cast. Hillary got 65,853,514 Trump…

Big Democratic Lead in Early Voting

Early voting has started, and Democrats are doing well: Politico: Democrats build big edge in early voting The Democratic dominance spreads across an array of battleground states, according to absentee ballot request data compiled by state election authorities and analyzed by Democratic and Republican data experts. In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Democrats have a roughly…

Louisiana Gov. Runoff: Early Vote Is Heavy

Early voting for Louisiana’s runoff elections which includes the governorship is running stronger in the first three days than a comparable period for the primary and is even running a little ahead of early voting for the 2016 Presidential election. Democrat Governor John Bel Edwards is running for re-election but came up short of 50% in the October…

Educated Voters Have Big Gains in Early Voting for VA and NJ

insights.targetsmart.com/… Early voting in both Virginia and New Jersey is running far ahead of the pace of 2015 with well educated voters making up a considerably larger share than they did in the comparable year of 2015. In Virginia, where there are elections to determine whether Democrats will take control of both houses of the…

Alright Volunteer State: What Does This Record Early Voting Turnout Mean?

There is record setting early voting turnout for Tennessee, but what does this mean for Phil Bredesen?  Once again, in my miniseries on “What is going on in other states because there is not much happening in Kentucky?”, I’m just trying to figure out if I should be hopeful or brace myself for disappointment.  Here…