written by someone who not an expert in polling, has not been personally active in a political campaign since 2006, and has had far less time and energy to devote to political matters this election cycle. Thus, this is a general sense of what I think is happening. It builds a little bit on Let’s…
Category: EarlyVoting
Tropical Storm May Hit Gulf Coast Wednesday
Though the long term weather forecast for most of the US looks fairly mild November 3, a tropical storm is projected to hit the Gulf Coast Wednesday. It is then projected to move across the southern Appalachians on Thursday. This could suppress early-in-person votes for a day or two for the Florida Panhandle. x Hurricane…
Let's try some electoral math
this is just a thinking exercise We are currently getting 5million votes per day. That will drop on weekends a bit PERHAPS if some states don’t allow voting on either Saturday or Sunday. We have AT LEAST 42 Million votes in already. In 2016 there were approximately 135 million votes cast. Hillary got 65,853,514 Trump…
Big Democratic Lead in Early Voting
Early voting has started, and Democrats are doing well: Politico: Democrats build big edge in early voting The Democratic dominance spreads across an array of battleground states, according to absentee ballot request data compiled by state election authorities and analyzed by Democratic and Republican data experts. In North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Democrats have a roughly…
MO-Gov: Nicole Galloway (D) Pushes For Early Voting & No-Excuse Absentee Voting In Missouri
Received this e-mail today from State Auditor Nicole Galloway’s (D. MO) gubernatorial campaign: This is simple — Missourians should be able to vote without putting their lives at risk. It shouldn't be a partisan issue. We need an order to allow no-excuse absentee and early voting. And we need it now. Please sign our urgent…
VA-Sen: Sen. Mark Warner (D) Builds Momentum For The Natural Disaster and Emergency Ballot Act
Received this e-mail today from U.S. Senator Mark Warner’s (D. VA) re-election campaign: Mark Warner is proud to sponsor the Natural Disaster and Emergency Ballot Act. This important bill would allow voters nationwide to cast their ballot by mail and would expand in-person early voting to prevent large gatherings. Thanks to our leadership in the…
Louisiana Gov. Runoff: Early Vote Is Heavy
Early voting for Louisiana’s runoff elections which includes the governorship is running stronger in the first three days than a comparable period for the primary and is even running a little ahead of early voting for the 2016 Presidential election. Democrat Governor John Bel Edwards is running for re-election but came up short of 50% in the October…
Educated Voters Have Big Gains in Early Voting for VA and NJ
insights.targetsmart.com/… Early voting in both Virginia and New Jersey is running far ahead of the pace of 2015 with well educated voters making up a considerably larger share than they did in the comparable year of 2015. In Virginia, where there are elections to determine whether Democrats will take control of both houses of the…
Alright Volunteer State: What Does This Record Early Voting Turnout Mean?
There is record setting early voting turnout for Tennessee, but what does this mean for Phil Bredesen? Once again, in my miniseries on “What is going on in other states because there is not much happening in Kentucky?”, I’m just trying to figure out if I should be hopeful or brace myself for disappointment. Here…
OK Texas Kossacks: Texas Tribune on 1st Day Early Voting. You All Tell Me What This Means…
The Texas Tribune has the first day early voting turnout figures, and they break them down by the most populous to the least. Overall: In the first day of early voting, 474,938 Texans cast in-person ballots and 214,675 cast mail-in ballots in the 30 counties where most registered voters in the state — 78 percent — live….