Louisiana Gov. Runoff: Early Vote Is Heavy
Democrat Governor John Bel Edwards is running for re-election but came up short of 50% in the October 12th primary so he is facing Republican Eddie Rispone in the November 16th runoff. Edwards got 46.6% of the vote and Rispone received 27.4%, but the combined vote of the three Republicans in the primary totaled 51.8%. However, there is no guarantee that all Republicans will now vote for Rispone or even bother to vote at all.
The early vote total is at 230,896 versus 164,843 in the October 2019 primary for a comparable period.
LOUISIANA 2019 EARLY VOTING, DAY 3: Turnout remained strong. To illustrate (Day 3/Cumulative) – note how EVing STILL outpacing the Pres EV after three days:
Election (Day 3 early voting/ and cumulative early voting)
(2019 runoff) 66816/230896
(2016 President) 66068/228865
(2019 primary) 42686/164834
(2015 runoff) 38141/119381
Black turnout as % of the total EV remained strong (but, as expected, is slipping). Below are the cumulative (day 1+2+3) numbers:(2019 runoff) 68-29.5 white/black (74-24 in primary)
(2015 runoff) 69-29 white/black
(2016 President) 71-26 white/black
Also somewhat favorable for Edwards is the partisan breakdown of the first 3 days of early voting. That has been 46% registered Democrats to 39.5% Republican. In the primary where there were two strong Republican candidates, it was 44% Democratic to 42% Republican. Of course some people register as Democrats even though they vote Republican.
Recent polls show a close race, but Edwards has a slight edge in most.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
Primary results:
