written by someone who not an expert in polling, has not been personally active in a political campaign since 2006, and has had far less time and energy to devote to political matters this election cycle.
Thus, this is a general sense of what I think is happening.
It builds a little bit on Let’s Try Some Electoral Math, perhaps my only “analytical piece this cycle.
It has some observations, a fair amount of interpretation, and some just plain guesswork.
It might make more sense were I to wait a few more days to see another round of quality state and national polls conducted completely after the second debate.
It is what it is, so here goes.