Some very big news today out of Texas courtesy of PPP’s latest poll done on behalf of EMILY’s List:
Ã¢ÂÂ Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 2, 2020
FYI, EMILY’s List has endorsed MJ Hegar in the Democratic primary.
President Donald Trump would beat former Vice President Joe Biden in Texas by 4 percentage points if the election were held today, according to a new poll from the University of Texas and the Texas Politics Project.
The Republican incumbent’s narrow lead four months before the election suggests Texas, a state where no Democratic presidential candidate has prevailed since 1976, is competitive in 2020.
The poll found 48% of Texas registered voters support Trump, while 44% support Biden. Partisans are sticking with their nominees at this point, with 91% of Republicans saying they’d vote for Trump and 93% of Democrats supporting Biden. Among self-identified independent voters, Trump holds a 41-27 edge over his challenger.
Men favor Trump, 53-41, while women favor Biden, 48-43. Among white voters, 59% favor Trump, while 79% of Black voters favor Biden. Among Hispanic voters, Biden holds a 46-39 edge.
Voters are split on the job Trump is doing as president, with 46% giving him good marks — a group that includes 85% approval among Republicans. Slightly more, 48%, say they disapprove of the president’s job performance, including 93% of Democrats. In a University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll a year ago, 52% approved of Trump’s performance while 44% did not.
But what is clear is that Texas is very competitive both at the Presidential and Senate level. Speaking of the Senate, MJ Hegar (D. TX) has an edge heading into the July 14th runoff:
MJ Hegar raised $1.7 million in the second quarter of this year and has $1.6 million for the July runoff contest against state Sen. Royce West of Dallas, a campaign official said Thursday morning.
The fundraising haul, the most Hegar has raised in a quarter since her Senate campaign launched, relates to the period from April 1 through June 24, as well as money she collected from June 24 to June 30.
The former Air Force helicopter pilot has raised about $6.5 million over the course of her campaign, records show.
“With over 56,000 donors, donations from over 190 counties in Texas, over $6.5 million dollars raised, and endorsements from Texas labor unions and other key groups across Texas we have built the grassroots operation it is going to take to send John Cornyn packing in November,” Hegar said in a prepared statement.
West has not released his campaign fundraising totals for the quarter. Financial disclosure reports are required to be filed with the Federal Elections Committee on Thursday.
Cathy Murphree of Richardson sets aside an hour each day for her political activism, sending out text messages and making telephones calls on behalf of her favored candidates and causes.
The retired teacher is backing Round Rock’s MJ Hegar for Senate against Republican incumbent John Cornyn. That’s remarkable, since not too long ago Murphree was a Republican.
“I still consider myself a moderate,” she said, explaining that GOP policies related to health care, education, science and other issues don’t appeal to her. “The party itself has changed so much, even without [President Donald] Trump.”
Suburban women like Murphree could determine whether Democrats can turn the state blue, or Republicans can maintain their statewide dominance.
Once firmly controlled by Republicans, more suburban women are voting for Democrats, as evidenced in 2018, when former El Paso Democrat Beto O’Rourke came within 2.6 percentage points of beating Republican incumbent Ted Cruz for Senate. His crossover appeal won him Tarrant County and 46% of the vote in once reliably red Collin County.
Now Hegar, the former Air Force helicopter rescue pilot, is in a July 14 runoff for the Democratic Senate nomination against state Sen. Royce West of Dallas.
As a suburban woman voter herself, Hegar hopes those voters — one of the fastest growing voting blocs in the Democratic Party — will propel her into a November race against Cornyn. Beating the senior senator would make her the first Texas Democratic woman ever elected to the Senate.
“We don’t have enough moms in office who understand the importance of family leave and quality education,” Hegar told The Dallas Morning News. “We need that perspective.”
But West is confident of his appeal to suburban women as well.
“We’re absolutely not conceding anything,” West said. “We’re competing for every vote.”
Once we get our Senate candidate we will be good to go. In the mean time, let’s keep up the momentum and flip Texas Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Biden’s campaign the Texas Democrat of your choice:
Also, quick reminder, Beto O’Rourke’s group, Powered by People, has another big virtual phone bank event coming up on the 6th:
We just set a new record for the number of phone calls that Powered by People volunteers have made in a single night. Last week, we made 338,373 calls in a single night!
It was an amazing start to our push to contact likely Democratic voters in Texas so that we can turn them out in November. But now we need to do more.
To stay on track to reach enough voters to stop Trump’s second term and win a Democratic majority in the State House, we need more people to join us at our next phone bank.
Virtual Voter Contact Phone Bank with Beto
Monday, July 6th
6:30 PM CT
If you join, your calls could make the difference and help stop another four years of Trump’s America. But we won’t be able to call enough voters without you.
Hope to see you on the phone bank!