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TX-Sen: Morning Consult Poll Confirms A Tight Senate Race & Has Joe Biden Beating Trump 47-46

3 min read

Some more encouraging news out of Texas today courtesy of Morning Consult’s latest poll:


No Senate candidate is running statistically ahead of his or her party’s presumptive presidential nominee in the four states, mirroring Morning Consult findings from polls in three battleground states — Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina — released last week.

The biggest gap appears in Texas, where Biden and Trump are statistically tied, 47 percent to 46 percent.

MJ Hegar, an unsuccessful 2018 House candidate who recently emerged from a tough Democratic primary, underperforms Biden in the Lone Star State by 9 percentage points, with 38 percent support — 6 points behind Republican Sen. John Cornyn, who roughly matches the president’s vote share in the state with 44 percent support. That gap is driven by independents and Democrats, among each of whom Hager underperforms Biden by double digits.

Democrats smell blood in the water and they are going all in to help Hegar close the gap and get rid of Cornyn:

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee announced Tuesday that it will spend at least $1 million to help MJ Hegar in her challenge to U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas.

The DSCC said it will be the first time the committee has made a coordinated investment in a general election in Texas, and the money will go toward TV ads, polling and other campaign resources. The announcement comes after the DSCC commissioned a poll that found Cornyn and Hegar in a tight race.

“This race is a dead heat, and our increased investment reflects how MJ's campaign and the increasingly competitive climate has put another offensive opportunity on the map,” DCCC Executive Director Scott Fairchild said in a statement to Politico, which first reported the news.

The DSCC called the spending a “seven-figure coordinated investment” but did not elaborate further. The Federal Election Commission has capped such spending — known as coordinated party expenditures — at $2,239,500 for the general election this cycle in Texas, and the DSCC already spent toward the limit supporting Hegar in her primary runoff.

There’s more:

Cornyn, a Republican seeking a fourth term, has led by as much as 13 points in surveys dating to February, including a Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll two months ago. He led by 11 points in that poll three weeks ago.

“That is the right trajectory that Hegar needs to be on. Now she just needs to generate the money,” said Jessica Taylor, a Senate handicapper with the Cook Political Report. “I don’t think that Hegar has to be another Beto. She is running in what could very well be a better political environment.”

The same survey found that President Donald Trump trails narrowly in Texas, with former Vice President Joe Biden leading 47-46. That’s in line with a flurry of polls showing a dead heat.

Later Tuesday morning, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee released a poll it commissioned showing a dead heat in the Senate contest, with Hegar trailing by a single point, 43-42. National Democrats have long ignored Texas contests, conserving resources for more competitive states, especially given how costly it is to run an effective statewide campaign in Texas.

So let’s get ready to kick some Republican ass in Texas big time. Click below to donate and get involved with Hegar and Biden’s campaigns:

MJ Hegar

Joe Biden

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