Don’t Look Now, but Democrats Are in… Array?! And Trump now uses emojis.
Repeat after me: the stock market is not the economy
“@CharlesPPierce : He’s in NC, trying to beat the rain, blabbing in front of a battleship.”
This might explain why Biden feels confident in going to Kenosha, Wis., on Thursday; rather than avoid the law-and-order issue, he seems to be saying, “Bring it on.”
Biden has a 7.5 percent national lead in the FiveThirtyEight average, a tick down from a peak of about 9 points. Even still, he has remained remarkably steady since June. He maintains leads in battleground states such as Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Florida, Wisconsin and New Hampshire. Based on current polling, Biden has more than enough to surpass 270 electoral votes needed to win.
The race could certainly change in nine weeks, although none of the recent events seems to have recast the race. The conventions are over; the debates remain. The Commission on Presidential Debates announced the moderators for the three presidential debates — Fox News’s Chris Wallace (who made mincemeat of Trump in their last interview), CSPAN’s Steve Scully and NBC News’s Kristen Welker. It is far from certain that Trump can maintain his a-factual, conspiracy-laden mind-set with an aggressive opponent and unflinching moderator — although there is plenty of research to suggest debates do not change voters’ minds.
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