Is sanctioning Turkey a kind of virtue signaling or is the Trump administration prepping the ground to lift Russian sanctions?
In case you forgot that there was a monstrous steel imports tariff on Turkey that Trump promptly rescinded, because it’s virtuous to double a tariff then reduce it by 50% to appear like something happened.
Therefore a Trump economic sanction won’t touch anything remotely affecting the business interests he has in that country. And since in some cases it’s only his name on something that’s not his property, he surely could easily write it off if something happened to it.
To sanction Turkey at this point is mostly an exercise in virtue-signalling. It will let American policymakers feel like they're Doing Something about a disaster caused by a broken policy process. https://t.co/4TE3URaAek
— Gregg Carlstrom (@glcarlstrom) October 14, 2019
Trump, Pompeo, and Mnuchin never ended up sanctioning Turkey, for purchasing Russian-made S-400 air defense missile system https://t.co/K6Kiwfw3ME
— Bridget😷🎾🎧🤟🎸🐶🌊🐬 (@deflep977) October 14, 2019
While the US certainly has the capability to damage Turkey’s already fragile economy, it’s unclear if the Treasury Department will take action given the vague nature of the conditions outlined by Mnuchin.
— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) October 14, 2019
Trump’s decision to authorize Treasury to sanction Turkish officials comes just days after bipartisan legislation sanctioning Turkey was announced from Graham.
Graham, along with Democrat Sen. Chris Van Hollen, announced a sanctions bill on Wednesday, outlining sanctions against top Turkish political leaders as well as “any foreign person who sells or provides financial, material, or technical support” to the country’s military and energy sector. However, it’s unclear if the bill would pass in the House, and the two senators might struggle to get the supermajority necessary if Trump refuses to sign the bill in the first place.
“It’s pretty, pretty devastating,” Henri Barkey, adjunct senior fellow for Middle East studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, told CNN regarding Graham and Van Hollen’s proposal. Barkey, however, expressed skepticism on whether the Treasury would impose sanctions in the first place. “There’s almost an escape clause in there,” Barkey said, pointing to Mnuchin’s statement that the Treasury hopes “we don’t have to use” these sanctions.
Trump & Barr are trying to get other countries’ help in undermining our Intell Community’s conclusion that Russia interfered in our 2016 election so that the anti-Russian sanctions predicated on that conclusion can be lifted. So they’re working overtime to help Putin. Suspicious!
— Laurence Tribe (@tribelaw) October 1, 2019
Lifting Russian sanctions will be aided by GOP politicians.
Another gift to Putin. By the way, @SenMikeLee, did you have good meetings with sanctioned Russian government officials in September? What was discussed? Election interference? Ukraine? Syria? Or just the lifting of sanctions for no reason whatsoever?https://t.co/2MLqEJIKvn pic.twitter.com/OXOk7ExgaH
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 13, 2019
Lifting the sanctions is part of this, but Trump was also trying to direct Ukraine LNG contracts to Russian connected businessmen, he was trying to re-write history to exonerate Russia election interference and create a new narrative in which Ukraine was conspiring with HRC, etc
— Stillwater (@StillwaterCol) October 12, 2019
Arms For Dirt is still about the sanctions:
— Olga Lautman (@OlgaNYC1211) July 5, 2017
This will be a GOP talking point even after Moscow Mitch and doing solids for Deripaska:
Just after stepping down as ambassador to Moscow, Huntsman argues that the US has overdone it on sanctions against Russia and says "it's time for an honest discussion about whether sanctions are achieving their aim." https://t.co/N9RBQI9nZS
— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) October 8, 2019
The Trump administration is pulling out of the Open Skies Treaty, which allows the United States and our allies and partners in Europe to monitor Russian military deployments. Withdrawal risks dividing the transatlantic alliance. #Russia https://t.co/Zqst365U4J pic.twitter.com/UmbPR7cuRO
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 7, 2019
Putin’s goals are to get out from under 2 sets of sanctions: one based on messing with our 2016 election, one on invading Ukraine. Trump’s efforts to pressure Ukraine into settling with Russia & to “prove” Russia didn’t mess with us in 2016 make sense as ways to please Putin. QED
— Laurence Tribe (@tribelaw) October 1, 2019