How many deaths would you condone in order to liberate your state’s economy?
When you admit to an acceptable number of deaths you have already lost the argument. Crimes against humanity are on the horizon for Individual-1.
Huge bump in coronavirus in states without stay at home orders. Oklahoma – 53% increase in cases over the past week. Cases jumped 60% in Arkansas, 74% in Nebraska, and 82% in Iowa. South Dakota saw a whopping 205% spike.https://t.co/HfrZlWgzzO
Ã¢ÂÂ Jonathan Metzl (@JonathanMetzl) April 17, 2020
The White House set six benchmarks to evaluate if states should scale back distancing measures. I made an interactive showing how each state fares on four of them.
The states Trump wanted to Ã¢ÂÂliberateÃ¢ÂÂ today donÃ¢ÂÂt pass. https://t.co/7dBS6ML37c
Ã¢ÂÂ Philip Bump (@pbump) April 18, 2020
President Trump’s approach to scaling back social distancing measures aimed at containing the novel coronavirus is, to put it mildly, inconsistent.
Earlier this week, he claimed to have complete authority to rescind the measures, which he didn’t. His administration, in its recommendations that it released Thursday for considering whether to resume normal economic activity, instead recognizes that governors had that power. And his insistence that businesses reopen is offset by his formal embrace of those standards, which would keep them closed.
Trump is also aware that some of his supporters are vocally opposed to the measures that exist. So on Friday, he embraced a weird sort of middle ground, supporting opponents of distancing measures indirectly by calling on states to be “liberated” from the restrictions — less than 24 hours after offering guidelines to governors about how to do so safely.
Trump’s battle cries seem even more bizarre when you consider that looking only at the first two categories Birx outlined, none of the three states Trump wants to “liberate” actually meet the criteria.
Let’s consider just the first two categories, symptoms and cases.
To resume economic activity the White House — Trump’s White House — has a two-part benchmark measuring symptoms of covid-19, the disease caused by the virus.
The category for cases is an either-or. Either:
- The number of new cases should trend downward over a two-week period, or
- The number of positive tests conducted should trend downward during that period.
So let’s consider Minnesota. How does it fare?
Well, the state just saw an uptick in its ILI activity in the April 5 to 11 period, data for which were released on Friday. The CDC is likely to have more current, daily data, but based on this public data, that alone is enough to indicate that the state shouldn’t begin “liberating.”
The only data available for measuring covid-19-like illness — “syndromic illnesses,” in Birx’s articulation — is offered regionally. In Minnesota’s region, the number of covid-19-like illnesses trended down from late March to early April (the most recent data available). The CDC has daily data on syndromic illnesses in smaller geographic regions which we don’t, so take that metric with a grain of salt.
The daily case totals in a state can vary widely and depend on the number of tests completed. That said, the picture in Minnesota, using data from Johns Hopkins University, doesn’t show a consistent downward trend relative to two weeks ago. Data from the COVID Tracking Project indicates that the percent of tests coming back positive has been trending up. Without hitting one of the two case-total benchmarks, Minnesota fails the test.www.washingtonpost.com/…
Universally, relaxed restrictions bring more infections. Don't ever forget this while the government and big business and brands try to convince you to ease your resolve to stay home and stay safe. https://t.co/NXRc5iXvUB
Ã¢ÂÂ Erin Biba (@erinbiba) April 18, 2020
Just few months before the novel coronavirus likely began spreading in Wuhan, the Trump administration ended a program aimed at…detecting novel coronaviruses.
They were working with a lab in Wuhan. https://t.co/dHpOorsrEp
— Robert Maguire (@RobertMaguire_) April 3, 2020
In revising its death toll upward by 50.0%, Wuhan officials said they adjusted to include people who died at home and to correct earlier misreporting from hospitals that were overwhelmed in the epidemicÃ¢ÂÂs early stages.@JNBPage @xinwenfan @qianweizhanghttps://t.co/RTpFnh6E2G
— Jonathan Cheng (@JChengWSJ) April 18, 2020
The World Health Organization aims for universal health coverage in every country. Here's an explainer on what the WHO does and what it doesn't do pic.twitter.com/cq1YuIsryj
Ã¢ÂÂ Reuters (@Reuters) April 18, 2020
— Reuters (@Reuters) April 18, 2020
Could Trump be criminally liable for his deadly mishandling of coronavirus? | Opinion –We sure as hell hope so!!https://t.co/H1f0K4CTHw
— LynneMarie Olson (@Lmo66Olson) April 17, 2020
Donald trump is not working for us. Every death is on him. https://t.co/avnHxFEjcI
— Rabbi Jill Zimmerman (@RabbiJill) April 17, 2020
Trump tweeted twelve times today but not onceÃ¢ÂÂ not a word of sympathy or remembranceÃ¢ÂÂ for the 4,591 Americans who died yesterday alone.
— Tom Wright (@thomaswright08) April 17, 2020
Ã¢ÂÂYou can debate a lot of things, but not arithmetic,Ã¢ÂÂ says Noam Chomsky on the #NeverBiden movement. Ã¢ÂÂFailure to vote for Biden in this election in a swing state amounts to voting for Trump.Ã¢ÂÂ
— The Intercept (@theintercept) April 18, 2020
Join Lawyers for Biden: https://t.co/P0GgHZLqCx
Make phone calls for Joe: https://t.co/eoHlO9kn6F
Raise funds for the campaign: https://t.co/xUnQN4jJSu
— Andrew Weinstein (@Weinsteinlaw) April 17, 2020