More Roman-fiddling by Trump as he continues to measure his success by the rising death toll and his continuing incompetence. The death toll could reach 233,000 from “reopening”. Trump urgency is only about winning the election with some semblance of a growing economy, ignoring the unemployment figures and a looming second wave of contagion.
New data from the University of Pennsylvania suggests that relaxing lockdowns across U.S. cities and states could have serious consequences for the country’s battle to contain the coronavirus, which has infected over a million people while killing more than 66,000 people.
According to the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM), reopening states will result in an additional 233,000 deaths from the virus — even if states don’t reopen at all and with social distancing rules in place. This means that if the states were to reopen, 350,000 people in total would die from coronavirus by the end of June, the study found.
Kent Smetters, the PWBM’s director, said the decision to reopen states is ultimately a “normative judgement that comes down to the statistical value of life.”
He explained: “That’s not a crude way of saying we put a dollar value on life, but it’s the idea that people will take risks all the time for economic reward.”
That figure far surpasses estimates and models that the White House has cited from the University of Washington, which put the death toll at roughly 73,000 by the start of August.
— Critical Reading (@CriticalReading) May 4, 2020
— It's Going Down (@IGD_News) May 2, 2020