MS-Sen: Mike Espy's (D) Internal Polling Has A 5 Point Race Between Him & Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Here’s some encouraging news today out of Mississippi: x #Mississippi Senate Poll: Hyde-Smith (R-Inc) 47%(+5)Espy (D) 42% Garin-Hart-Yang / D Internal— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 13, 2020 An internal poll released by Democrat Mike Espy’s U.S. Senate campaign on Thursday reports he’s gaining ground and is within five points of incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith,…

Trump is fundraising in Texas as he continues to lose in Electoral College polling

Remember that his visit to a Texas oil-rig makes it an “official” trip. He’s whining about Fox News coverage, among other things. His fundraising shtick will have the usual things, although there likely will be some idiocy leaking from the event. Today’s meme is that “Democrats will abolish the suburbs”. The Economist’s polling model continues to find…

SC-Sen: Jaime Harrison's (D) Internal Polling Has Him In A Two Point Race With Lindsey Graham (R)

Meant to post this yesterday: x New @harrisonjaime internal poll has him down 43-41 against @LindseyGrahamSC in #SCSen pic.twitter.com/rxSIvzaAZb— Jamie Lovegrove (@jslovegrove) July 27, 2020 Democrat Jaime Harrison’s Senate campaign released an internal poll on Monday finding him in a statistical tie with Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). The survey, conducted by veteran Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher, finds…

State Polling Summary: Hitting the Fan Edition

This week pollsters have fed us a fair size helping of state polls. Most of which should give Republicans heartburn. The only good poll for Trump is a Hodas and Associates poll showing Trump four points ahead in Pennsylvania, but you can explain that by the breakdown, 43.2% Republican to 36.7% Democratic, in that particular survey. Six other polls…

GOP Internal Polling Shows That Joe Biden Has A Good Shot At Beating Trump In Georgia

Some very good news today out of Georgia: #NEW #Georgia Presidential Election Poll Donald Trump 45% (+1)Joe Biden 44% Cygnal (Internal) April 27, 2020 / 591LVhttps://t.co/8E59L3EKsE — Who's Winning The 2020 Election? (@WhosWinning2020) May 1, 2020 Cygnal is a GOP internal poll and here are the results highlighted by The Atlanta-Journal Constitution: Voters are evenly…

Trump Polling Worse on Pandemic Than All 50 Governors

A survey of nearly 23,000 Americans across every state shows Donald Trump’s response to the pandemic gets a lower rating than every governor in their own state.  While this is not too surprising considering none of the governors (to my knowledge) has mused about people being injected with cleaning fluids, it is interesting to see how…

Trump Junior endorses Al-Qaeda because Dad's polling 'like a dog'

With his dad polling behind in a bunch of states, the spawn does drift far from the roe. x thanks to fox news for getting “Usama bin Laden” to trend. the president who gave the order to kill him has endorsed joe biden. pic.twitter.com/0XyyD0b8Tg— Oliver Willis (@owillis) April 23, 2020 x Fox News launches Osama…

Post-Debate national polling shows mixed trends prior to Nevada caucuses

The reality of tomorrow’s Nevada caucus will be in the details of delegate allocation. The meme of “insurmountable delegate lead” could prevail. Meanwhile Trump does a counter-rally in Vegas. x Post-debate poll (Thursday, Feb. 20):@BernieSanders – 30% (+2)@JoeBiden – 19% (0)@MikeBloomberg – 17% (-3)@ewarren – 12% (+2)@PeteButtigieg – 11% (-1)@amyklobuchar – 5% (-1) MOE +/-2%. https://t.co/DTi3N0Vx2t pic.twitter.com/NOQF7L5wZA—…

Woot! – Civiqs did stellar job with Iowa polling

Civiqs final Iowa Caucus poll performed well in a comparison with the major polls. x A look at how the final polls fared, with all the vote in and… roughly counted. I can think of plenty of ways to measure pollster error in a multi-candidate race, and it's possible other measures are subtly different, but…

TX-Sen: MJ Hegar (D) Leads In Both Polling & Fundraising In The Democratic Primary

Here’s some more news out of Texas: On Wednesday, Texas Lyceum released results from its 14th annual poll, identifying Texans' views on the 2020 elections and primaries. Pollsters surveyed 1,000 adults from Texas via telephone. The results show former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders are essentially tied to win the Democratic presidential nomination among potential Texas Democratic voters. Biden…

Biden still leads polling and the center breathes a sigh of relief

538 declared Biden the winner of the last debate, and Morning Consult’s poll of 5000 shows Biden ahead. x Biden received the highest marks from the debate, but his high pre-debate favorability rating means we expected a lot of voters to be predisposed to viewing his debate performance in a positive light. Warren and Sanders…

Slide in polling for vulnerable GOP senators in 2020

Morning Consult reports some sliding in poll numbers for vulnerable GOP US Senate candidates The most vulnerable Republican senators are not improving their standing in their home states ahead of a tough 2020 election cycle, while the field of potential Democratic challengers took shape and began to flex its muscle. According to Morning Consult’s latest…