Crystal Ball Changes Ratings on 8 US House Races, 7 in Favor of Democratic Candidates

centerforpolitics.org/… Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has shifted its ratings on another eight US House races. Five Republican held seats have moved toward the Democratic candidate. Two Democratic seats have gone from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat”, and WI CD-3 has been shifted the other way from “Safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat”. http://www.dailykos.com/… On July 2, Crystal Ball changed…

Vote-By-Mail Doesn't Favor Dems – But Blocking It Favors Trump

An analysis in this morning’s New York Times — Does Vote-by-Mail Favor Democrats? No. It’s a False Argument by Trump. — shows that voting by mail (VBM) doesn’t necessarily tilt the election to the Democrats: As with false claims by Republicans about vote-by-mail fraud, there is no evidence to back up the argument from the…

Javelin Catcher: what's the cost of a favor if it's not a quid pro quo

Recalling the delaying action of the Bill Barr “summary” of the Mueller report, the White House released a 5-page memo to frame the eventual release of the whistle-blower complaint. In it Ukraine President Zelensky mentions Javelin missiles (page 2), and then Trump immediately asks for a “favor”. In this context, the absence of a specific quid pro…

Arms for Dirt: Trump violated constitutional duty by holding up aid for a 'favor'

One person’s kayfabe is another’s article of impeachment. Despite the possibility of future entreaties for election interference, the Ukraine deal is about a simple shake down with taxpayer money for $250+ million worth of interference. BREAKING: President Trump openly declares his recommendation that Ukraine and China investigate the Bidens. https://t.co/kdrUxk2XiK pic.twitter.com/AnSKFjn2Jg — NBC News (@NBCNews)…

Trump did Putin's bidding and sold out Ukraine for “a favor, though”

Like the tool he is, Trump favored Putin’s interests, squeezed Ukraine on military aid and tried to get dirt on the Bidens. Meanwhile an already weakened Ukrainian domestic politics began to capitulate to Russia while the US removed an ambassador. There were resignations and some will appear before Congress soon. Trump will probably get some…