EU

Time and anti-tank weapons favor the Ukrainians even if air superiority remains complicated. An extended siege of Kyiv looks possible with the current stalemate, and long-range bombardment continues. Mercenaries are being recruited to support Russian forces. The disinformation campaign continues, including the relocation of some of the Mariupol population elsewhere,...

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  • March 21, 2022

The military situation is not without progress as bombardment continues with little appreciable changes in position. Unfortunately civilians remain in the line of fire. Politics continues to be extended by war, and unfortunately, ​Putin is no Yuri Andropov, one of many who facilitated the violent suppressions in Hungary and Czechoslovakia. Russia’s advances...

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  • March 19, 2022

The situation has become fraught with increases in attacks on civilians, amid charges and counter charges. Bombardment continues and a few Ukrainian counter attacks are offset by brutality in places like Mariupol. Russia appears to be trying to achieve the capture of the land bridge from Moldova to Donbas. Ukraine...

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  • March 18, 2022

We haven’t yet reached that point where the losses to the Russians are sustainable. Replacements may be on their way to the front. They likely will not see the same troops who have until now resisted any new advances. There have been some Ukrainian counter-attacks. The Russians now settle for longer range...

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  • March 17, 2022

Bombardment continues with over 900 missiles launched against Ukraine and the notable media appearance was the on-air protest by an editor on Russian State TV. She was arrested and seems to be held incommunicado from her lawyers. “(T)oo many civilian targets have been hit by Russian bombs for them all...

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  • March 15, 2022

All wars are battles among falcons, they are never fought between hawks and doves. A UN enforced no-fly-zone would have no doves. As James Clapper said on CNN: “The game’s on”. The reality is that wars like Ukraine-Russia are fought in blood even if they can be modeled as a series of...

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  • March 14, 2022

An “operative lull” seems now ready to end. Bombardment resumes and the messaging about “foreign fighters” increases with the slowing of the Russian advance to take major cities. Smaller cities that have been captured are being repressed by Russians and some proxies with brutal efficiency. The war continues to be...

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  • March 13, 2022

The US calls it “forced diversion” and the EU uses “State Hijacking”. Belarus’s Lukashenko regime resembles a successful 1/6 with rogue international behavior, martial law and questionable elections, complete with client relations resembling the Soviet era. The latest is interfering with air transport to arrest a dissident journalist. RIGA, Latvia — European leaders...

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  • May 24, 2021
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