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super-Tuesday moves clarity forward as Biden now leads in delegates

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Weird night as Jill Biden tackled a protester on stage in California and voters waited over 5 hours to vote in Texas.

Had Trump not gotten caught shaking down Ukraine, he might have won the 2020 election like 2016. Because of the GOP’s Biden(s) vitriol, the Arms for Dirt scandal and its subsequent impeachment may have actually helped build the Biden brand so much that very little resources were necessary for Biden to win some primaries.

There seem to be no majority paths and a contested convention awaits, complete with deal-making and a second ballot of superdelegates. There remains the departures of Warren and Bloomberg, considering what can only be described as a poor super-Tuesday showing in terms of not reaching many 15% thresholds.

Otherwise, crowding (out) effects in candidates have ruled the primary season. And the real hits and misses are with African-American constituencies plus the Latinx support is stronger for Sanders (CA, TX, NV), even as that youth vote remains disappointing.

G. Elliott Morris  @gelliottmorris The Biden surge projects.economist.com/democratic-pri…

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— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) March 3, 2020

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— Shannon Pettypiece (@spettypi) March 3, 2020

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— The New York Times (@nytimes) March 3, 2020

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— Ariel Edwards-Levy (@aedwardslevy) March 3, 2020

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