Morning Consult reports some sliding in poll numbers for vulnerable GOP US Senate candidates
The most vulnerable Republican senators are not improving their standing in their home states ahead of a tough 2020 election cycle, while the field of potential Democratic challengers took shape and began to flex its muscle.
According to Morning Consult’s latest quarterly Senator Approval Rankings based on nearly 534,000 responses from registered voters collected July 1 through Sept. 30, Republicans representing Colorado, Arizona, North Carolina, Maine and Iowa all saw their net approval — the share of voters who approve of a senator’s job performance minus the share who disapprove — decline between the second and third quarters of 2019.
As split-ticket voting continues to decline, the latest rankings show Trump continues to be a drag on Republican incumbents. In Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina and Texas, Trump’s net approval with registered voters is worse than that of the incumbent Republican, by double digits in several cases.
Original Deep State actors hard at work on their phony emoluments clause. pic.twitter.com/JzvgViXplD
— Karen Tumulty (@ktumulty) October 21, 2019
The fundraising numbers point to some of the deeper problems that incumbent Republican senators are facing. Trump is taking up much of the Republican fundraising dollars for his own reelection campaign. There are already reports that House Republicans are retiring in waves because they see little chance of taking back the majority in 2020.
Bad news for Mitch McConnell, as three vulnerable Republican incumbent senators were smashed by their Democratic challengers in third-quarter fundraising.
Q3 fundraising reports show four Republican senators were outraised by their Democratic competitors, including three that hail from key battleground states Iowa, Maine and Arizona.
- Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) failed to hit $1 million in funding, while a Democratic challenger, Theresa Greenfield, raised $1.1 million.
- Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) has been outraised in all three quarters, and her cash-on-hand trails Democratic challenger Mark Kelly by nearly $4 million.
- Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) was outpaced by over $1 million, with Democrat Sara Gideon, the speaker of the Maine House, raising $3.2 million.
READ: Pelosi's 'fact sheet' on Trump impeachment
Speaker Nancy Pelosi's office on Monday released a "fact sheet" detailing allegations against Trump amid House Democrats' ongoing impeachment inquiryhttps://t.co/tpKuSqtEb3
— Indivisible Network (@IndivisibleNet) October 21, 2019