Siena Poll: Biden +4% in NC; Quinnipiac Poll: Biden +7% in GA, +1% in OH

int.nyt.com/…

The NYT/Siena Poll, rated A+ by 538, shows Joe Biden with a 46% to 42% lead over Trump in North Carolina with minor party candidates taking 4% of the vote. 

Meanwhile, Democratic candidate for Senate, Cal Cunningham, leads Republican incumbent Thom Tillis by 41% to 37%, with 7% going to others in the race. For an incumbent to fall below 40% is a very poor performance.

Democratic Governor Roy Cooper has a comfortable lead of 51% to 37% over Republican Dan Forest with 3% saying they will vote for some else.

The poll was taken October 9-13 of 627 likely voters. The margin of error is 4.5%

Website 538 gives Biden a 66% of winning the Tar Heel State currently. Through much of August and September it was a 50/50 race.

electproject.github.io/…

Early vote by mail began in North Carolina on September 4, and is being tracked along with the other states by Michael McDonald.

Ballots Returned: 505,946
Return Rate: 38%

Mail Ballots Returned and Accepted by Party Registration

Party	Returned Ballots	Freq. Distribution	Requested Ballots	Return Rate
Democrats	257,766	50.9	624,014	41.3
Republicans	90,445	17.9	255,060	35.5
Minor	1,791	0.4	7,071	25.3
No Party Affiliation	155,944	30.8	446,061	35.0
TOTAL	505,946	100.0	1,332,206	38.0

Mastergardener2k

See author's posts