What is the actual goal of COVID restrictions at this point?

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The Politicus
Jun 29, 2021 02:19 PM 0 Answers
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This question is posed with regards to the current situation in the Republic of Ireland, but will more than likely also apply to other nations as well.

At the beginning of the COVID situation, the Irish government used the reason of "Reducing COVID deaths" as a direct justification for the implementation of freedom-depriving measures.

After the government realised that, even including the incorrectly registered COVID deaths, there were simply not enough people dying to justify the measures that were introduced.

The government then went on to go down the list from deaths to ICU hospitalisations then from ICU to regular hospitalisations and finally from regular hospitalisations to mere "cases" to justify the measures that they either have imposed or will impose.

There hasn't been a COVID-related death in about a week in the country. The governments own numbers on hospitalisations are extremely low. 46 in total. That's less than 1 in 100,000 of the Irish population. That is in contrast to the peak of 2020 people last winter.

The vaccination rollout has seen almost all "vulnerable" individuals inoculated, for those who wanted it.

The governments own "cases" data shows a steady decline. That is including the fact that the government has done its absolute best to get as many people tested by offering 3rd level students several days of free tests "even if you don't have any symptoms" as quoted from their correspondence. Obviously, the more you test, the more chances of positive results and since the positivity rate is almost never used but rather the absolute figure, you get a skewed "cases" out of it. Nevertheless, these case numbers are also down to negligible levels.

Then you look at the Central Statistics Office official data showing all-cause mortality figures for the year 2020 in Ireland and you will see that the increase in total mortality from 2019 (no COVID) to 2020 (with COVID) only increased by 631. To put it into perspective, this number is less than half of the number of people have have said to have died from COVID during the year 2020. See the data here. An increase of only 631, there have been multiple instances where the year to year increase in all cause mortality has been higher than this in the last decade. Including 2017 to 2018 which according to CSO had an increase of 632 (one more than 2019-2020).

We've also heard about the excess death calculations. That have naively used the previous 5 year average and comparing that average with the year in question to see how far the number of actual deaths have gone over what we "expected" (the previous 5 year average). Even if you use this naive formula, you end up with about ~1050 in excess deaths. Again, there have been 4 times in the last decade where this number has been higher than 1050.

The restrictions that have been implemented have had no success in achieving anything positive. There has been no evidence of curbing the spread, reducing hospitalisations and/or deaths.

The government has continued to hold on firm to their belief (whether real or not) that these measures actually work and have just announced that indoor dining is going to be happening even later. To put that into context, all of Europe allows indoor dining with the only exception being Ireland at this moment in time.

On top of that, all Randomised Control Trials have shown that, at the population scale, wearing masks and social distancing only 2m simply does not work.

So the question is: What is the actual goal for the implementation of these measures and why are they doing this?

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  • June 29, 2021