What could the CIA director have hoped to achieve with his recent warning to the Russians regarding Havana Syndrome? [closed]

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The Politicus
Nov 26, 2021 10:08 PM 0 Answers
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A recent article in Washington Post says:

CIA Director William J. Burns delivered a confidential warning to Russia’s top intelligence services that they will face “consequences” if they are behind the string of mysterious health incidents known as “Havana Syndrome” afflicting U.S. diplomats and spies around the world, according to U.S. officials familiar with the exchange.

During a visit to Moscow earlier this month, Burns raised the issue with the leadership of Russia’s Federal Security Service, the FSB, and the country’s Foreign Intelligence Service, the SVR. He told them that causing U.S. personnel and their family members to suffer severe brain damage and other debilitating ailments would go beyond the bounds of acceptable behavior for a “professional intelligence service,” said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss highly sensitive conversations.

The warning did not assign blame for what U.S. officials are calling “anomalous health incidents,” or AHIs. The fact that Burns formulated the warning by saying “if” suggests that after four years of investigations across multiple administrations, the U.S. government remains unable to determine a cause of the unusual incidents. Nevertheless, the director’s decision to raise the possibility of Russian involvement directly to his counterparts in Moscow underscored the deep suspicion the CIA has of Kremlin culpability.

Havana Syndrome is a mysterious ailment that has already affected more than 200 U.S. diplomats and spies and manifests as a brain injury. A U.S. government report has found that the most probable cause is directed microwave radiation. FBI has recently called dealing with Havana Syndrome a top priority. An article says CIA investigators were able to deduce the whereabouts of Russian agents and place them in close physical proximity to the CIA officers at the time they had been attacked. Russia denied any involvement.

What could the CIA director have hoped to achieve with his warning to the Russians? To stop the attacks? One problem: if the Russians are behind the attacks and stop them after the warning, won't they thereby make it clear it was them? Also, don't the Russians know anyway that they will face consequences if caught doing such things?

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  • November 26, 2021