How was PredictWise so certain that Ted Cruz had absolutely no chance to win the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses?

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The Politicus
Feb 21, 2016 10:15 AM 0 Answers
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This website seems to be able to predict who will win the 2016 Presidential Election.

But their results are very strange:

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Ted Cruz only has 1% chance of winning!

But in most national polls Ted Cruz is in second place with about 21%.

So my question is: how is PredictWise so sure that Ted Cruz will lose?

Is it because they know top secret information that the general public doesn't know about?

Is it because, even though Cruz has some good chances of winning the Republican Party presidential nomination, he will never be able to beat Clinton or Sanders?

Or is it because the website PredictWise is just bad at making predictions?

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  • February 21, 2016