Has there been a cost-benefit analysis of what would happen if the Russian Federation were to be disconnected from the Internet?

The Politicus
Jun 15, 2022 01:10 AM 0 Answers
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A number of the Russian industries have been cut off from being able to engage with the outside world as a result of sanctions imposed in response to Russian Federation's war of aggression against Ukraine.

The sanctions are clearly insufficient since the RF is still not considering withdrawing from the Ukrainian territory.

Russia clearly has anticipated being disconnected from the Internet while it was planning this war. It has conducted a study of how its internal processes would fare in case of a complete disconnect from the global Internet.

It is widely believed that the next round of sanctions cannot yet completely eliminate purchases of Russia's natural gas.

But what about cutting off of all Internet traffic to/from Russia? Since Russia's own disconnect from the Internet hasn't affected the natural gas deliveries, it should be possible to disconnect Russia from the global Internet without interfering with the flow of the natural gas and payments for the natural gas.

Q: Is there any government-conducted study on the ECONOMIC IMPACT of such disconnecting (at the IP routing level, so no IP traffic in or out) of all or most of global Internet from Russia?

Obviously all traffic cannot be stopped without stopping all telecommunications (including telephone land lines), but the aim of sanctions is never to stop all trade within a certain sphere, just most of it.

As, an example, of what such sanctions may entail, it could mean

  • disconnecting all servers located geographically inside of Russia from the Internet backbone;
  • mandating, by law, ICANN and RIPE NCC to invalidate Russia's IP address allocations;
  • forbidding of export of any cell-phone tower equipment to the RF as well as sale of any cell-phone tower equipment, or any equipment which can be used to upgrade cell-phone tower equipment, to any entity servicing equipment on the territory of the Russian Federation.
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