EU ETS: if within-EU flight emissions are limited to climate goals, does a person choosing to fly add to emissions?
I've been trying to fly less and less because it seems the right thing to do. But I can't quite counter this thought:
The EU Emission Trading System (ETS) covers commercial aviation. So passenger flight emissions will comply with the goals that the EU has set out (neutral 2050, 55% 2030). The ETS had some startup problems, but works okay now, and EU is serious about it (e.g. fit for 55).
If I don't fly, the airline can sell "my" emissions to a different industry and it'll get emitted somewhere else. It's not this granular, but you get the idea: there's a ceiling/cap and probably everything under that ceiling will be emitted somewhere.
So does my choice to fly or not fly affect actual, total emissions given the new regulations?
Feels like I'm missing something... but maybe I'm not and ETS just works (good enough, for aviation). Can someone confirm or disconfirm this reasoning?