We’re at a crucial point, with the Coronavirus, with the economy collapsing and America’s political future hanging in the balance. At this time, Joe Biden seems poised to the Democratic nomination. To this I have to warn: do NOT nominate Joe Biden. It would be an absolute disaster, not just in 2020 (though it would be), but for decades to come.
To explain, I'm going to work backwards, starting with the long term consequences I'm certain of, (specifically the political ones since that's what most people seem to care about), then get to the potentially more disastrous immediate ones.
Joe Biden’s Political Strategy Ensures A Political Catastrophe For The Democrats In The 2022 Midterms, The 2024 Election And Decades To Come
Joe Biden's candidacy has been banking on (relatively) low youth voter turn and winning over centrist Republicans and Republican leaning candidates alienated by Trump. I'll leave aside whether this could work in 2020, but it would be a disaster in 2022 and a total catastrophe in 2024.
First, to state the obvious, you can't base an election strategy entirely on ignoring young voters in favor of old ones for the simple fact that older voters die and are replaced by younger voters. As a general rule, younger voters are farther to the left, and despite expectations that they'll moderate more than ten years of political experience indicates they have not. By now the “young voters” who Bernie wins in landslide with are anyone under 50. Contrary to the popular narrative, they are showing up for Bernie, they're just simply getting swamped by generally high turnout and discouraged by long waiting lines. However they won't show up if you don't give them a reason.