New Quinnipiac Poll Has Joe Biden Beating Trump In Ohio 48-47

Some very encouraging news today out of Ohio courtesy of Quinnipiac University’s latest poll:

OHIO: BIDEN 48%, TRUMP 47%

VOTING IN 2020

In Ohio, 46 percent of likely voters plan on voting in person on Election Day. Thirty-five percent plan on voting by mail/absentee ballot, and 16 percent plan on voting at an early voting location.

OHIO: BIDEN VS. TRUMP
Ohio likely voters give Biden a mixed favorability rating, with 45 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of him and 49 percent saying they have an unfavorable opinion.
Trump has a negative favorability rating among likely voters in Ohio, 45 – 51 percent.
Biden leads on the coronavirus response and racial inequality, while President Trump has the advantage on the economy. Likely voters are mixed when it comes to handling the military and keeping your family safe:

  • On handling the economy: Trump 52 percent, Biden 45 percent;
  • On handling the military: Trump 50 percent, Biden 47 percent;
  • On keeping your family safe: Trump 48 percent, Biden 48 percent;
  • On handling the response to the coronavirus: Biden 50 percent, Trump 45 percent;
  • On handling racial inequality: Biden 53 percent, Trump 41 percent.

OHIO: TRUMP APPROVALS
Likely voters slightly disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job as president, 51 – 46 percent, and also disapprove of his handling of the response to the coronavirus, 52 – 45 percent.
From September 17 – 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

  • 1,085 likely voters in Ohio with a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percentage points;
  • 1,078 likely voters in Texas with a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percentage points.

The poll notes that 97% of respondents have made up their mind about who they are voting for while 3% remain undecided. This is the second poll this week to show Biden with a small lead in Ohio:

The Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Poll, conducted in partnership with Ohio Northern University in Ada and Oakland University near Detroit, offers a snapshot of voter sentiment just ahead of the first presidential debate next week in Cleveland.

Conducted from Sept. 8 through Tuesday, the poll focused on four states that were key to Donald Trump’s victory in 2016. It found Democratic challenger Joe Biden with substantial leads over Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin, and up slightly in Ohio and Pennsylvania, though within the margin of error for the latter two states.

Biden leads by 9.3 points in Wisconsin (50.3% to 41%), 8 points in Michigan (49.9% to 41.9%), 2.7 points in Pennsylvania (47.3% to 44.6%) and by less than a point in Ohio (44.9% to 44.3%).

FYI:

In the past two weeks, Trump has shifted TV money among several states. Ohio was cut the most by far, losing more than $2 million worth of TV slots while states such as Florida, North Carolina and Arizona each received more than $1 million more apiece, analytics from Advertising Age show. The recap noted that some of Trump’s Ohio money could have been re-directed to later weeks, too.

In the past two weeks, Trump has shifted TV money among several states. Ohio was cut the most by far, losing more than $2 million worth of TV slots while states such as Florida, North Carolina and Arizona each received more than $1 million more apiece, analytics from Advertising Age show. The recap noted that some of Trump’s Ohio money could have been re-directed to later weeks, too.

At the same time, Biden increased his TV presence in Ohio, which is one of the 10 states receiving most of his on-screen focus.

Also:

The Ohio Union County Democratic Party has alerted the Marysville Police Department after they discovered a video on Instagram of someone named Drew Hardy allegedly showing a trove of stolen signs promoting the Democratic nominees for President and Vice President, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

The video included the caption “F*ck Biden” and tagged four other Instagram accounts.

On Twitter, the county Democratic Party reposted the video and alleged that Hardy is the son of a Marysville police officer. The police department currently has an Officer Steve Hardy, but it's unclear if Drew is his son.

Trump and Biden are set to debate in Ohio on September 29th in Cleveland on the Health Education Campus of Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic. We have a great shot at flipping Ohio Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Biden and his fellow Ohio Democrats campaigns:

Biden-Harris

Monique Smith

Nancy Day-Achauer

Sara Bitter

Matt Shaughnessy

Casey Weinstein

Amy Cox

Alexis Miller

Kate Schroder for Congress

Desiree Tims for Congress

Hillary O’Connor Mueri for Congress

Jennifer Brunner for Ohio Supreme Court

John P. O’Donnell for Ohio Supreme Court

Ohio Democratic Party

Ohio House Democratic Caucus

Ohio Senate Democrats