New Polling Shows Texas Democrats On The Verge Of Flipping The State House Blue

From Reform Austin:

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RA News polling released Thursday shows the Texas suburbs are ground zero in the The polling, conducted across 22 competitive Texas House districts, also shows Gov. Greg Abbott’s decisions during the pandemic have weakened his standing with suburban voters across Texas, with respondents signaling a strong preference for local government leaders to make decisions with respect to the coronavirus.

The 22 districts include five districts won by Democrats in 2018, and 17 districts House Democrats have identified as targets in 2020. The districts are mostly suburban and exurban in character, and are located in Blanco, Hays, Collin, Dallas, Denton, Fort Bend, Tarrant, Harris, Bexar, Bell and Lampasas Counties.  

Here’s some more info:

In the contests for the State House, only one of the 22 districts shows the Republican candidate with support from more than 50% of respondents. All Democratic incumbents hold comfortable leads, with Democratic candidates in Republican-held districts polling at or above 50% in five districts and holding a lead in six more. Republican incumbents and candidates lead in six districts, but have less than 50% support in five of the six districts. If these polling advantages materialize on Election Day, Democrats would gain 11 seats and win control of the Texas House.

And in congressional districts:

In a generic Congressional ballot across the 22 districts, Democrats lead in 11 of the 17 Republican-held districts and all five of the Democratic-held districts (16 of 22 overall). In five of the six districts where the generic Republican is in the lead, the Republican is below 50% support, meaning there is still room for undecided voters to determine the outcome of the contests. A number of key contested Congressional races overlap with these State House Districts, including TX-02, TX-07, TX-10, TX-21, TX-22, TX-24, and TX-32.

More info below: