Since the Wisconsin Primary is coming up next Tuesday, Marquette University’s latest poll reminds us how much of a role Wisconsin will play in the general election:
General election matchups betweenTrump and both Democratic candidates indicate a very close race. In the Marchpoll, Biden receives 48 percent and Trump receives 45 percent. In the othermatchup, Sanders is the choice of 45 percent and Trump the choice of 47percent.
And in the Democratic Primary, Biden has a huge lead over Bernie Sanders:
Since the last Marquette Law School poll in February, the Democratic primary field has shrunk to two candidates, Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders. Table 5 shows how support for each candidate has changed each month since November 2019. Biden held a small lead in November through January, while Sanders moved into first place in February. Those results are much different in the March poll, with Biden at 62 percent and Sanders at 34 percent. Among those who say they are absolutely certain to vote, or have already voted, in the Democratic primary, Biden receives 65 percent and Sanders 32 percent. Given the uncertainty created by historically high levels of absentee voting and the unknown levels of election day turnout, these findings should be viewed with more than the usual caution.
Trump’s approval in Wisconsin is 48/49. Governor Tony Evers (D. WI) gets high praise for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. It’s going to be a competitive state but it’s one that we can win.