NC-Sen: New ECU Poll Shows A Toss Up Race Between Thom Tillis (R) & Cal Cunningham (D)
Here’s some more news out of North Carolina courtesy of ECU Center for Research’s latest poll:
With roughly six months to go until the November general election, the latest ECU poll shows President Donald Trump with a slight lead of three percentage points over former Vice President Joe Biden among registered voters in North Carolina (46% to 43%). In the race for governor, Democratic incumbent Roy Cooper holds a comfortable 15-point lead over Republican challenger Dan Forest (51% to 36%). The race for United States Senate is a virtual tie, with Republican incumbent Thom Tillis leading Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham 41% to 40%.
Public opinion among registered voters in North Carolina is near evenly divided on President Trump’s overall job performance, as well as his handling of the federal government’s response to the coronavirus. When asked to assess President Trump’s overall job performance, 48% of registered voters in North Carolina express approval compared to 47% who express disapproval (with 5% who answered they are not sure). On the question of President Trump’s handling of the federal government’s response to the coronavirus outbreak in the United States, 46% approve and 46% disapprove (with 8% who answered they are not sure).
On the Senate race:
In summarizing the results, Dr. Peter Francia, the Director of the ECU Center for Survey Research, remarked, “Taken together, these results offer some good news for both the Democratic Party and the Republican Party. For Democrats, the good news is that Governor Roy Cooper has a significant lead in his bid to win re-election and has earned mostly high marks from voters for his handling of the coronavirus. For Republicans, the good news is that President Trump still appears to be a slight favorite to win North Carolina despite only a split review of his coronavirus response.” Francia added that the tight race in North Carolina’s Senate contest between Thom Tillis and Cal Cunningham is important nationally. “Tillis and Cunningham are running neck and neck right now, and the winner could well determine which party controls the U.S. Senate after the 2020 election,” said Francia.
This poll was conducted May 7-9, 2020. The sample consisted of 1,111 registered voters in North Carolina, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3.4 percentage points. The data were weighted by age, education, race, gender, mode, and 2016 election modeling. Data were collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=733) and an online panel provided by Lucid (n=378).
North Carolina is a swing state and polling is going to be all over the place but this poll just confirms that North Carolina is very winnable and we need to be ready. Click below to donate and get involved with Cunningham, Cooper, Biden and these North Carolina Democrats’ campaigns: