NC-Sen: Monmouth Poll Has Cal Cunninngham (D) Beating Thom Tillis 46-45, Biden Beating Trump 47-45

Here’s the latest news out of North Carolina courtesy of Monmouth University’s latest poll:

The Monmouth University Poll finds a tight contest in the state’s U.S. Senate election. Among registered voters, Republican first-term incumbent Thom Tillis has 45% support and his Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham, an attorney and former state legislator, has 46% support. Other voter support goes to Libertarian Shannon Bray (2%) and Kevin Hayes of the Constitution Party (1%), with 5% undecided. There is a very small amount of crossover support for both candidates from the top of the ticket. Trump voters back Tillis by 88% to 6% and Biden voters back Cunningham by 87% to 6%. Cunningham performs slightly weaker among voters of color (70% to 20% for Tillis) than the Democratic candidates in the other two races Monmouth polled. Tillis leads among white voters by 54% to 37%.

Among likely voters in a high turnout scenario, Cunningham has 47% support and Tillis has 45% support. The race is even (46% to 46%) in a low turnout scenario. Tillis won the seat in 2014 by just under two percentage points against then-incumbent Kay Hagan.

In the race for governor, Democratic incumbent Cooper holds a large 51% to 40% lead over his Republican challenger, current Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest. Other voter support goes to Libertarian Steven DeFiore (3%) and Al Pisano of the Constitution Party (1%), with 3% undecided. Cooper gets some crossover support from Trump voters (14% to 80% for Forest) while locking in nearly all Biden voters (93% to 3%). Forest leads Cooper by 53% to 40% among white voters, but Cooper has a commanding 81% to 9% advantage among voters of color.

The incumbent maintains a sizable lead among likely voters by 51% to 42% in both the high turnout and low turnout models. In 2016, Cooper beat then-incumbent Pat McCrory by a razor thin margin of just over 10,000 votes.

The poll finds Gov. Cooper has the best overall image among the candidates included in the poll. Currently, 50% of North Carolina voters have a favorable opinion of him and 31% have an unfavorable one, with 19% having no opinion. His opponent, Forest, earns a 32% favorable and 26% unfavorable rating, with 43% having no opinion. Sen. Tillis gets a split 35% favorable and 35% unfavorable rating, with 31% having no opinion. His challenger, Cunningham, gets a 34% favorable and 22% unfavorable rating, with 44% having no opinion.

Monmouth also has Joe Biden beating Donald Trump in North Carolina 47-45. Monmouth polled 401 voters between August 29th to September 1st.

FYI, Fox News’ latest poll gives Cunningham and Biden bigger leads:



— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 2, 2020

East Carolina University’s poll shows a tied race and Trump with a two point lead:



— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 1, 2020


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Let’s keep up the momentum to flip North Carolina Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Cunningham, Cooper, Biden and their fellow North Carolina Democrats campaigns:

Joe Biden

North Carolina:

Cal Cunningham

Roy Cooper For Governor

Yvonne Lewis Holley for Lt. Governor

Josh Stein for Attorney General

Elaine Marshall for Secretary of State

Deborah Ross for Congress

Kathy Manning for Congress

Moe Davis for Congress

North Carolina Democratic Party

  • September 3, 2020