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NC-Sen: ECU Poll Has Cal Cunningham (D) Beating Thom Tillis (R) 44-40, Biden & Trump Tied 47-47

3 min read

Here’s some good news today out of North Carolina courtesy of East Carolina University’s latest poll:

A little less than three months ahead of the November general election, the latest ECU poll, conducted August 12-13, shows a dead heat in the race for president among registered voters in North Carolina. President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are in a tie at 47%.

In one of the nation’s key battleground contests for party control of the U.S. Senate, Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham holds a slight lead over Republican incumbent Thom Tills, 44% to 40%. This is the first ECU poll to show Cunningham with a lead over Tillis. The last ECU poll taken in June showed the election tied at 41%.

While North Carolina appears headed for highly competitive elections for president and U.S. Senate, the race for governor continues to show the Democrat incumbent, Roy Cooper, with a significant lead over Republican challenger Dan Forest. The poll results show Cooper ahead of Forest, 52% to 38%. Previous ECU polls also showed Cooper ahead of Forest among registered voters by double-digits in May and June.

This is the fourth poll to be released to confirm Cunningham in the lead. Last week, GOP polling firm, Harper, confirmed Cunningham was beating Tillis:



— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 13, 2020

CNBC/Change Research:


And Emerson:

The latest Emerson College poll of North Carolina voters finds President Trump with a small lead in the presidential race, with 48% of the vote compared to former Vice President Joe Biden who is at 46%. Six-percent (6%) of voters remain undecided. Of those who are undecided, 41% are leaning towards voting for President Trump, and 59% are leaning towards Biden.

Regarding what method they plan on using to vote in November, 75% of North Carolina voters plan to vote in-person, while 25% are voting by-mail. Of those who are voting in-person, 58% plan to vote for President Trump. Among voters who will vote-by-mail, 72% plan to vote for Biden.

A majority of the state’s voters, 51%, approve of the job that President Trump is doing, compared to 46% who disapprove and 3% who are neutral.

Democratic Governor Roy Cooper also has a majority approval rating of 52% approval, with 38% disapproval and 10% neutral. In Cooper’s re-election bid this November, he is currently leading Republican challenger Dan Forest by 6 points: 50% for Cooper, 44% for Forest, with 7% undecided.

In the race for US Senate, incumbent Republican Thom Tillis is trailing his Democratic opponent Cal Cunningham, with Cunningham capturing 44% of the vote compared to Tillis with 42%. A larger portion of voters, 14%, are still undecided on this race.

When asked which congressional candidate they would generally lean towards in their district, 45% of voters reported that they would lean Republican, compared to 44% that indicated they would lean towards voting for the Democratic candidate. Eleven-percent (11%) were unsure which party they would vote for.

Let’s keep up the momentum and flip North Carolina Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Cunningham, Cooper, Biden and their fellow North Carolina Democrats campaigns:

Joe Biden

North Carolina:

Cal Cunningham

Roy Cooper For Governor

Yvonne Lewis Holley for Lt. Governor

Josh Stein for Attorney General

Elaine Marshall for Secretary of State

Deborah Ross for Congress

Kathy Manning for Congress

Moe Davis for Congress

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