Former Vice President Joe Biden is holding on to his lead over President Donald Trump in six 2020 swing states as voters give the president low marks on how he has handled a range of issues, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.
Biden holds an edge over Trump in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while the rivals are virtually tied in North Carolina, the survey released Wednesday found. Biden leads Trump by 49% to 43% among all respondents in the six states, while Libertarian and Green Party candidates Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins get 4% and 1% of support, respectively. Nationally, Biden leads Trump 51% to 41%.
Here’s how Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, and the Republican Trump matched up in individual states:
- Arizona: Biden 51%, Trump 45%
- Florida: Biden 50%, Trump 43%
- Michigan: Biden 48%, Trump 42%
- North Carolina: Biden 47%, Trump 46%
- Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 42%
- Wisconsin: Biden 48%, Trump 42%
Recent versions of the poll, taken every two weeks, show a race that has momentarily swung in Biden’s favor as the coronavirus pandemic continues to ravage the United States. It marks a shift from CNBC/Change Research surveys taken in March and April, which showed Trump leading Biden in most of the swing states.
The poll released Wednesday surveyed 4,332 likely voters across the six states from Friday to Sunday. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.5 percentage points.
The poll also tested the Senate races in Arizona, Michigan and North Carolina:
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