ME-Sen: Colby College Poll Has Sara Gideon (D) Beating Susan Collins (R) 47-43

Here’s the latest news today out of Maine:

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#MEsen:
Gideon (D) 47% (+4)
Collins (R-inc) 43%
Savage (I) 5%
Linn (I) 2%
.#ME01:
Pingree (D-inc) 58% (+27)
Allen (R) 31%
.#ME02:
Golden (D-inc) 56% (+25)
Crafts (R) 31%

Colby College, LV, 10/21-25https://t.co/4rsSIFxFnh— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 28, 2020

Sara Gideon continued to hold a narrow lead over U.S. Sen. Susan Collins in a new Colby College poll of Maine released Wednesday also showing a close race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden in the 2nd Congressional District.

Gideon, a Democrat, received 46.6 percent of the vote, compared with 43.4 percent for Collins, a fourth-term Republican. The independent candidates in the race, Lisa Savage and Max Linn, trailed with 4.7 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively. About 3.6 percent of voters were undecided, according to the poll released six days before the Tuesday election.

The survey suggests ranked-choice voting will be a dominant factor in deciding the winner, according to Dan Shea, a Colby College government professor and lead researcher on the poll of 879 Mainers conducted from Oct. 21-25 with an error margin of 3.4 percentage points.

That process may break toward Gideon. More than half of voters who picked Savage as their first choice ranked Gideon second, with 29 percent picking Linn as their second choice and 13 percent picking Collins. The smaller group of Linn voters were less consistent in their use of ranked-choice voting, according to the poll.

In the presidential race:

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